Calpreps SBG projections
- Thread starter ararar
- Start date
With the way Folsom is playing on defense right now and on both sides of the line, I look for Folsom to make it 3 and a row over Cathedral!
This will be the third match up between the two schools. All three games have/been played in Southern California.
Still on a high from watching Folsom dominate DLS in the trenches on both sides of the ball. It was like watching a perfect in sync symphony.
This will be the third match up between the two schools. All three games have/been played in Southern California.
Still on a high from watching Folsom dominate DLS in the trenches on both sides of the ball. It was like watching a perfect in sync symphony.
I was just looking at this so thanks for posting. 7 of 15 are projected as double digit games including a number of the lower division games.
Interesting that CP favors So Cal in the top 5 games and NorCal in the bottom 10.Home field advantage?
My guess is home field plays a role but also the type of teams NorCal sends to those games compared to SoCal. I know how SoCal does playoffs, but there is quality teams in the lower brackets for NorCal
Both teams playing their best ball right now however Cathedral is limited on offense and has a suspect defense.I would favor Folsom don’t know why the computer has CC by 9
NorCal does seem to win the majority of the lower divisions no matter the venue
I wonder if this is partly due to the trend of bigger talent transferring to higher level programs, which is far more common down south, weakening the lower divisions down south?
Possibly,but I feel like NorCal has more small town communities where football 🏈 is little more important. like you find in the small communities in Texas for example
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In the case of Folsom, I'm sure the computer algorithm is taking into account two losses (Rocklin and Granite Bay), as the likely culprit, depending on how they are weighted.
I will say this. Folsom and CC are both peaking at the right time. But CC given up 62pts doesn’t sit well with me. (Even though they won). Folsom D has stepped up. Only 51 pts allowed the last 3 games against very good teams.
I do see this as one of the more entertaining games on the venue.
I do see this as one of the more entertaining games on the venue.
I think Folsom handles CC just stack the box and contain Lucky Sutton and it’s a wrap
A little off topic, but one of my nephews has been an official for several years in the CCS. It's interesting to get his perspective on high school football, since he's right there on the field with the players and coaches. He says most coaches of average teams start trying to get in their head and gain an advantage from the opening kickoff. Griping about calls and non calls, even the obvious ones. He got to officiate the Serra/St. Francis and because the teams and coaches are so good there was none of that gamesmanship at all.
I've said this many times, I'll take mid-sized/level NorCal teams over mid-sized SoCal teams a majority of the time.
SoCal does centralize talent to a handful of programs, which strips a lot of players from other (mostly public) schools. That doesn't happen in NorCal quite as much.
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A great example is many Norcal public programs have one or two D1 college caliber players, no more no less. However, these two players can make a big difference for their respective teams on both sides of the ball. If either or both of these players transfer out, like what happens a lot down south, the team suffers.
I don't know how the calpreps algorithm works, but as I was looking through the teams for my SoCal bowl game picks, I was surprised to see how many 2-8 type teams carried 20+ calpreps ratings. I get strength of schedule factors in, but at some point teams that get blown out multiple times cant be that good.
You could be right, but I've always been a believer in strength of schedule. Having been a pretty good high school nosetackle I wasn't very fast, but I was quick for about five yards. It always seemed that against the better teams my pursuit angle on the ball carrier was a bit off 😀
SoCal seems to be focused on being the best in the nation not just the best in the state of California. In order to do this they have to stack their teams to stay ahead of the IMG type schools.
Bubba3000,
I think those elite teams have so much going on in terms of the x and o’s there is little energy spent on the mind games bs.
Wilcox has really been playing a lot better ball lately. They gave Pitt a lot of trouble in each of the last two games with them.
I can give a whole dissertation on this. Yes, SoS matters, but so does MoV, whether the game was in the regular season vs playoffs, the phase of the moon, or what brand of cereal the players had for breakfast.
Just kidding, the phase of the moon doesn't matter.
I think MD and SJB did this in order to finally best DLS. Once they did that, they set their sights on the other top teams in the country.
But, "SoCal ball" as a whole isn't all that different and often isn't as good when it comes to the normal teams. I will say that it seems that SoCal teams tend to be more offense-orientated, while NorCal teams tend to favor defense a little more.
I remember reading that a few punters would talk about taking just enough of a wrong angle on long returns so that they didn't have to tackle anybody.
Interesting Im not sure I agree however. Take Aquinas from SoCal who has a enrollment of around 600 coed plays in like D5 or D6 I forget but is forced up to compete against much larger programs with around 1500-2k enrollment. This leaves a void in the lower level where inferior teams replace these programs. This is one example of why socal struggles in lower divisions, I would suspect transfers have little to no impact honestly.
The southern part of the state has twice the population of up north. More talent
Exactly which is why I doubt the transfers play much of a role in outcome of lower level games. More to do with voids being left by teams playing up or down, and more schools in general which thins talent distribution.
