OK, let's start with who's returning from the 10th place team in the Pac-12:
Jaelyn Brown (started 32 games): 4.1 ppg, 7.9 rpg
CJ West (1 start): 3.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg
Alaysia Styles (0 starts): 1.9 ppg, 2.2 rpg
Oft-injured Mi'Cole Cayton and seldom-seen post Chen Yue are the other two.
So that's the start: The cupboard is bare, and no elite recruits (as far as anyone can tell) are on the way.
Now, look at Cal's recent Pac-12 history, a 30-42 record over the past four seasons. The finishes?
7th
5th
7th
10th
And those finishes came with the No. 8 overall pick in the WNBA draft in the middle.
Finally, Kianna Smith transferred already, and McKenzie Forbes is in the portal.
And remember, the Pac-12 is the best women's basketball conference in the country, so there's not much opportunity for quick improvement. A 10th place team losing everyone (with nothing coming in) is unlikely to improve, and much more likely to drop in the standings.