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NCP Pick'em Week 12 Games

Streak One

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Nov 11, 2003
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We have reached the final week of the Pick'em Contest. Picks are due by 7:00 PM this week

Liberty at Heritage
De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (Game of the Week)
Marin Catholic at San Marin
St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
Antelope at Tracy
Palma at Salinas
St. Francis vs. Mitty
Edison-Stockton at Turlock
Willow Glen at Del Mar
 
10) Tracy
9) Marin Catholic
8) Willow Glen
7) Edison-Stockton
6) DLS (21-14)
5) Salinas
4) Lincoln-Stockton
3) Liberty
2) St. Mary's-Berkeley
1) St. Francis
 
My picks are in bold

10) Antelope at Tracy
09) Marin Catholic at San Marin
08) Liberty at Heritage
07) De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (35-24)
06) Willow Glen at Del Mar
05) St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
04) Palma at Salinas
03) St. Francis vs. Mitty
02) Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
01) Edison-Stockton at Turlock


My analysis for my top 5 picks …

If Lincoln-Stockton can rush for over 400 yards vs Antelope and beat Antelope 63-23, Tracy will beat Antelope in similar fashion. Tracy’s ground game is better than Lincoln-Stockton. Tracy is a 14 point favorite. But, I foresee a bigger victory for Tracy.

Marin Catholic ease of victory vs common league opponents Tamalpais and Redwood vs close wins vs these two team. Both Varsity and JV San Marin teams lost Marin Catholic last year. Marin Catholic is a 22 point favorite.

Liberty vs Heritage performance vs common league opponents Antioch and Pittsburg favors Liberty quite a bit.

De La Salle vs CVC I show CVC performing a bit better vs common league opponents. But, those losses to Salinas, Del Oro, and Turlock do not compare to DLS’s losses has me leaning with DLS.

Willow Glen’s lone league loss vs Hill was a forfeit, even though actual score was 64-8 in Willow Glen’s favor. The true disparity is common opponent Mt Pleasant with Willow Glen winning 30-6 vs Del Mar losing 7-21. Picking Willow Glen.

My bottom 5 picks are tossups, decided by coin tosses, accounting for 15 points total. My current margin for my lead is more than 15 points to date.

** Flipped the coins for the bottom 5 picks “again”. Kinda interesting this time the coin picked both Stockton teams, but moved Edison game to #1 because they are the underdogs. Really just counting on my picks 6-10.
 
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10. DLS Spartans 36-16 CVC Ugly Eagles
3. Mitty Monarchs 24-23 St. Francis Lancers
9. Tracy Bulldogs 42-31 Antelope Titans
2. Lincoln Trojans 29-28 Sheldon Huskies
8. (M)arin (C)atholic Wildcats 31-18 San Marin Mustangs
1. Salinas Cowboys 18-17 Palma Chieftains
7. Willow Glen Rams 44-34 Del Mar Dons
6. Turlock Bulldogs 41-37 Edison Vikings
5. St. Mary's Panthers 26-24 St. Patricks/Vincent Bruins
4. Liberty Lions 38-30 Heritage Patriots
 
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10. Marin Catholic
9. Tracy
8. St. Francis
7. Liberty
6. De La Salle (27-21)
5. St. Patrick-St. Vincent
4. Willow Glen
3. Turlock
2. Sheldon
1. Palma
 
We have reached the final week of the Pick'em Contest. Picks are due by 7:00 PM this week

Liberty at Heritage
De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (Game of the Week)
Marin Catholic at San Marin
St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
Antelope at Tracy
Palma at Salinas
St. Francis vs. Mitty
Edison-Stockton at Turlock
Willow Glen at Del Mar
Liberty 30, Heritage 21.
CVC 34, DLS 29.
Marin Catholic 31, San Marin 28.
SPSV 21, SM-Berkeley 20.
Lincoln-Stockton 35, Sheldon 31.
Tracy 45, Antelope 28.
Salinas 35, Palma 24.
St. Francis 22, Mitty 21.
Turlock 28, Edison 25.
Willow Glen 22, Del Mar 15.
We have reached the final week of the Pick'em Contest. Picks are due by 7:00 PM this week

Liberty at Heritage
De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (Game of the Week)
Marin Catholic at San Marin
St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
Antelope at Tracy
Palma at Salinas
St. Francis vs. Mitty
Edison-Stockton at Turlock
Willow Glen at Del Mar
 
10. Marin Catholic
9. Tracy
8. Turlock
7. De La Salle (30-21)
6. Willow Glen
5. Salinas
4. Liberty
3. St. Patrick-St. Vincent
2. Sheldon
1. Mitty
 
10 Marin Catholic
9 Willow Glen
8 Tracy
7 Turlock
6 St. Patrick-St. Vincent
5 Lincoln-Stockton
4 Liberty
3 St. Francis
2 Clayton Valley Charter 28-26
1 Salinas
 
10. Marin Catholic
9. De La Salle (34-20)
8. St. Mary’s-Berkeley
7. SF
6. Liberty
5. Turlock
4. Antelope
3. Sheldon
2. WG
1. Palma
 
10 Marin Catholic
9 DLS (31-26)
8 WG
7 Tracy
6 Turlock
5 Lincoln-S
4 SF
3 Liberty
2 SP-SV
1 Salinas

You missed a good game in the NS. EN (8-1) @ Colusa (8-1), winner takes SVL and #1 seed in DIV.
 
Liberty at Heritage- Liberty 9
De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (Game of the Week)- DLS 2 31-28
Marin Catholic at San Marin- MC 10
St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent- SMB 3
Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon- Sheldon 6
Antelope at Tracy-Tracy 7
Palma at Salinas-Palma 1
St. Francis vs. Mitty- SF 8
Edison-Stockton at Turlock- Turlock 5
Willow Glen at Del Mar- WG 4
 
10. De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (35-14)
9. Marin Catholic at San Marin
8. St. Francis vs. Mitty
7. Liberty at Heritage
6. Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
5. St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
4. Willow Glen at Del Mar
3. Antelope at Tracy
2. Edison-Stockton at Turlock
1. Palma at Salinas
 
10 Marin Catholic
9 Liberty
8 St. Francis
7 St. Patrick-St. Vincent
6 De La Salle (35-22)
5 Tracy
4 Willow Glen
3 Lincoln
2 Salinas
1 Turlock
 
10 DLS (38-24)
9 Marin Catholic
8 Liberty
7 Turlock
6 Sheldon
5 Salinas
4 St P-V
3 Del Mar
2 Antelope
1 Mitty
 
SearsPoints Says:

10 - Marin Catholic
9 - Tracy
8 - Salinas
7 - Liberty
6 - De La Salle (31-21)
5 - St Patrick St Vincent
4 - Willow Glen
3 - St Francis
2 - Turlock
1 - Lincoln Stockton
 
10 MC
9 Tracy
8 Liberty
7 DLS 27-21
6 St. Patrick-St. Vincent
5 WG
4 Turlock
3 Sheldon
2 Salinas
1 Mitty
 
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10) Tracy
9) Marin Catholic
8) Liberty
7) Turlock
6) Willow Glen
5) St Francis
4) Salinas
3) De La 27-24
2) St Pat-St Vin
1) Sheldon
 
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10 Marin Catholic
9 Liberty
8 St. Francis
7 Willow Glen
6 Lincoln-Stockton
5 Edison-Stockton
4 Tracy
3 DLS 31-30
2 Palma
1 St. Mary’s-Berkeley

Picking some upsets to try to break into the top 3 *fingers crossed*
 
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100% via calpreps.com. Margin of victory was used to create confidence level. Team rating was used to break ties. Calpreps.com was 85% recently...it will be interesting to see how they do here.

10- Marin Catholic 35-13 (22)
9- Tracy 42-28 (14)
8- Salinas 28-20 (8)
7- Liberty 28-21 (7)
6- St. Patrick-St. Vincent 38-31 (7)
5- Willow Glen 31-24 (7)
4- DLS 31-26 (5)
3- St. Francis 26-21 (5)
2- Turlock 31-26 (5)
1- Lincoln 38-35 (3)
 
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10. Salinas
9. Tracy
8. Marin Catholic
7. Willow Glen
6. Stockton Lincoln
5. St. Patrick-St. Vincent
4. Liberty
3. St. Francis
2. Turlock
1. Clayton Valley Charter 23-21
 
My picks are in bold

10) Antelope at Tracy
09) Marin Catholic at San Marin
08) Liberty at Heritage
07) De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (35-24)
06) Willow Glen at Del Mar
05) St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
04) Palma at Salinas
03) St. Francis vs. Mitty
02) Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
01) Edison-Stockton at Turlock


My analysis for my top 5 picks …

If Lincoln-Stockton can rush for over 400 yards vs Antelope and beat Antelope 63-23, Tracy will beat Antelope in similar fashion. Tracy’s ground game is better than Lincoln-Stockton. Tracy is a 14 point favorite. But, I foresee a bigger victory for Tracy.

Marin Catholic ease of victory vs common league opponents Tamalpais and Redwood vs close wins vs these two team. Both Varsity and JV San Marin teams lost Marin Catholic last year. Marin Catholic is a 22 point favorite.

Liberty vs Heritage performance vs common league opponents Antioch and Pittsburg favors Liberty quite a bit.

De La Salle vs CVC I show CVC performing a bit better vs common league opponents. But, those losses to Salinas, Del Oro, and Turlock do not compare to DLS’s losses has me leaning with DLS.

Willow Glen’s lone league loss vs Hill was a forfeit, even though actual score was 64-8 in Willow Glen’s favor. The true disparity is common opponent Mt Pleasant with Willow Glen winning 30-6 vs Del Mar losing 7-21. Picking Willow Glen.

My bottom 5 picks are tossups, decided by coin tosses, accounting for 15 points total. My current margin for my lead is more than 15 points to date.

** Flipped the coins for the bottom 5 picks “again”. Kinda interesting this time the coin picked both Stockton teams, but moved Edison game to #1 because they are the underdogs. Really just counting on my picks 6-10.
Giving all of your secrets away in week 12? Where was this in week 5? 😋
 
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We have reached the final week of the Pick'em Contest. Picks are due by 7:00 PM this week

Liberty at Heritage
De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (Game of the Week)
Marin Catholic at San Marin
St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
Antelope at Tracy
Palma at Salinas
St. Francis vs. Mitty
Edison-Stockton at Turlock
Willow Glen at Del Mar
Nice to see the alma mater finally showing up on a football field again. Long time coming
 
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We have reached the final week of the Pick'em Contest. Picks are due by 7:00 PM this week

Liberty at Heritage
De La Salle at Clayton Valley Charter (Game of the Week)
Marin Catholic at San Marin
St. Mary’s-Berkeley at St. Patrick-St. Vincent
Lincoln-Stockton at Sheldon
Antelope at Tracy
Palma at Salinas
St. Francis vs. Mitty
Edison-Stockton at Turlock
Willow Glen at Del Mar
10 DLS
9 Tracy
8 mc
7 liberty
6 salinas
5 Turlock
4 st Francis
3 Sheldon
2 SPSV
1 WG
 
10. Marin Catholic
9. Salinas
8. Liberty
7. St. Mary’s-Berkeley
6. Lincoln-Stockton
5. Tracy
4. St. Francis
2. Turlock
1. De La Salle(35-28)
 
NorCalSportsFan - Roll the dice Pick'em

10) Marin Catholic
9) Tracy
8) Liberty
7) Salinas (If Palma wins, I will still be happy losing shot at placing in Pickem)
6) Willow Glen
5) Turlock
4) St. Patrick-St. Vincent
3) St Francis
2) DeLaSalle (24-21)
1) Lincoln
 
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Even though Bulldogmgc tried hard to jinx his picks by stating he was sure he was going to totally choke this round and tried to claim some extra pick losses, I think he still wins.
 
Missed in my analysis of the Tracy vs Antelope game was the fact that Tracy’s defense is NOT very good. In fact, the team St. Mary’s scored the most against this season was Tracy with 63 points. That late fumble cost them big-time. But, credit Antelope. They didn’t give up.
 
The final week in the books. Bella's weekly win moved him into third place. Once scores are final at 12:00 PM on Monday, I will send out gift cards for the winners (@bulldogmgc and @bella123). Also, @RLS13 is the winner that was drawn for playing every week. Please email me at norcalpreps@yahoo.com so I know where to email the gift cards to.

Since I took second place, I'll put that up for the winner of the upcoming playoff pick'em.

Thanks everyone for playing again!

Liberty beat Heritage 35-28
De La Salle beat Clayton Valley Charter 42-6
Marin Catholic beat San Marin 32-15
St. Mary's beat St. Patrick-St. Vincent 28-20
Sheldon beat Lincoln-Stockton 33-22
Antelope beat Tracy 41-38
Turlock beat Edison-Stockton 35-0
Willow Glen beat Del Mar 48-19
Salinas beat Palma 47-14
St. Francis beat Mitty 35-13

bella123 54
MC415 47
Sacchiefs 47
H.E.A.T. 44
concrete17 43
RLS13 42
M.C. Fan 41
EN_FB_Alum 41
ArmchairGOAT 41
NorCalSportsFan 41
Streak One 40
FBAddict 40
SearsPoints 40
2wcats 39
Macallan 39
John Mellencamp 38
bulldogmgc 37
espot 36
kiddman32 34
sweetjfromthebay 34
Cal 14 34
carlmerritt 28

Yearly Top 10:

1. Bulldogmgc 469
2. Streak One 454
3. bella123 448
4. NorCalSportsFan 445
5. John Mellencamp 444
5. ArmchairGOAT 444
5. MC415 444
8. Cal 14 442
9. RLS13 438
10. sweetjfromthebay 437
 
Congrats Bulldogmgc, Bells and Streak! That was one very challenging Pickem contest. Thanks Streak for making it painstakingly tough to figure out any team advantage on a weekly basis. It was truly a pickem although Bulldogmgc seemed to figure something out with his commanding win. Well it's on to the playoffs and high stakes elimination.
 
100% via calpreps.com. Margin of victory was used to create confidence level. Team rating was used to break ties. Calpreps.com was 85% recently...it will be interesting to see how they do here.

10- Marin Catholic 35-13 (22)
9- Tracy 42-28 (14)
8- Salinas 28-20 (8)
7- Liberty 28-21 (7)
6- St. Patrick-St. Vincent 38-31 (7)
5- Willow Glen 31-24 (7)
4- DLS 31-26 (5)
3- St. Francis 26-21 (5)
2- Turlock 31-26 (5)
1- Lincoln 38-35 (3)
Tied for 14th for the week. 7-3 overall. 9, 6 and 1 point games lost. Calpreps is no match for this group :)
 
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