In Pinewood's game against SHC last night, they were repeatedly getting back door baskets and wide open looks at threes. These turned into a lot of easy points for PW. Defense has been a problem for SHC this year, and I don't think Pinewood will be getting as many of these easy points against Mitty. I'm not saying Pinewood couldn't pull the upset (like they did last year against SMS,) but I think it's also just as likely that Mitty could win by 20+.
And as I say every year, a big venue (like Santa Clara University) tends to work against the teams that rely more heavily on outside shooting. In this case that would be Pinewood. Mitty can be dominant in the paint, and PW has no real size to counter that.
Also, it can become demoralizing when Mitty's second unit comes in, and you realize they're as good as your starters. Again, not an insurmountable obstacle, but Pinewood has to keep their composure and continue to attack, even if they fall behind by double digits.
My prediction: Mitty 76 - PW 48.