Early Look at the CIF Bowl Divisions

[Cal 14]

Once again, these are not predictions as to who I think will win each division, but rather a preview of what the bowl landscape could end up being. The teams listed are the highest remaining seeds in their respective division. Commentary once again will be a reply to this list.


Open Division (Section Division, Calpreps ratings)

North: De La Salle (NCS Open, 67.0) vs. South: Mater Dei (SS D-I, 102.0)

D-1AA

North: Clovis East (CS D-IAA, 62.6) vs. Folsom (SJS D-1, 59.9)

South: Murrieta Valley (SS D-2, 62.8) vs. Lincoln (SDS Open, 61.0)

D-1A

North: Pittsburg (NCS D-1, 54.9) vs. St. Ignatius (CCS Open, 47.2)

South: Simi Valley (SS D-3, 50.5) vs. San Marcos (SDS D-I, 43.9)

D-2AA

North: Rocklin (SJS D-2, 44.1) vs. St. Francis (CCS D-I, 43.8)

South: St. Bonaventure (SS D-4, 43.0) vs. Bakersfield Christian (CS D-II, 31.3)

D-2A

North: Twelve Bridges (SJS D-4, 37.0) vs. Wilcox (CCS D-II, 33.6)

South: Bakersfield (CS D-IA, 32.9) vs. Palos Verdes Estates (SS D-5, 32.5)

D-3AA

North: Bradshaw Christian (SJS D-6, 30.5) vs. Liberty (NCS D-2, 29.8)

South: Narbonne (LACS Open, 26.0) vs. Dana Hills (SS D-6, 24.1)

D-3A

North: Oakdale (SJS D-3, 27.9) vs. McClymonds (OS, 15.6)

South: University City (SDS D-II, 20.9) vs. West Torrance (SS D-7, 18.0)

D-4AA

North: Pleasant Valley (NS D-2, 23.1) vs. Acalanes (NCS D-3, 18.1)

South: Shafter (CS D-IV, 18.7) vs. Highland (SS D-9, 16.6)

D-4A

North: Hughson (SJS D-5, 20.8) vs. St. Vincent de Paul (NCS D-5, 16.3)

South: Porterville (CS D-II, 18.5) vs. Serrano (SS D-8, 15.2)

D-5AA

North: Carmel (CCS D-III, 15.5) vs. Ukiah (NCS D-4, 12.2)

South: Central (SDS D-III, 7.5) vs. St. Anthony (SS D-10, 6.6)

D-5A

North: Winters (NS D-4, 8.4) vs. Arcata (NCS D-6, 5.5)

South: El Capitan (SDS D-IV, 2.0) vs. Baldwin Park (SS D-11, -0.4)

D-6AA

North: Lassen (NS D-3, 7.6) vs. Moreau Catholic (NCS D-7, 4.9)

South: Bishop Union (CS D-V, -0.2) vs. Mary Star of the Sea (SS D-12, -3.1)

D-6A

North: Summerville (SJS D-7, 4.8) vs. Piedmont Hills (CCS D-IV, 0.9)

South: Eagle Rock (LACS D-I, -5.9) vs. Gahr (SS D-13, -11.4)

D-7AA

North: Lincoln (SFS, -9.9) vs. South San Francisco (CCS D-IV, -10.0)

South: Vista (SDS D-V, -17.1) vs. Arleta (LACS D-II, -22.6)

D-7A

North: Minarets (CS D-VI, -12.9) vs. Maxwell (NS, -21.6)

South: Pioneer (SS D-14, -28.8) vs. Los Angeles (LACS D-III, -40.1)

 

[Cal 14]

North:

1. Still uncertain as to where the committee might place Folsom, due to common opponent (Serra) with the top CCS teams. One thing to watch is how their Calpreps rating will progress in a slightly stripped-down SJS D-1, relative to the other divisions in this region.

2. The top divisions in the NCS, CCS, and CS will have their champions after this weekend. Some shuffling could be the result.

3. In a review of McClymonds situation, I feel that their rating is artificially low. Two results in particular are drags (Berean Christian and Fremont). My guess is that their true rating should probably be in the mid-20s. Plus, as speculated in last week's list, not so sure the CIF voters would place them lower than this, considering their history.

South:

1. A number of high seeds went down last week in this region. In some brackets, the highest remaining seed is #5.

2. It amazes me that Narbonne has been allowed to continue in this year's playoffs after all of the findings involving ineligible players. I don't think this would have happened in many other CIF sections.

3. Surprising how many teams in lower divisions have passed those in higher after last week's round of games.

Overall:

1. I was able to do some finagling and move every team away from an opponent from within the same section. Luckily, in doing this, none of the new matchups are blowouts on paper.

2. There was a lot of shuffling in the middle divisions, while those in the upper and lower remained fairly stable. Even in cases where ratings shifted, the upper and lower matchups largely remained the same.