NCS OPEN, D1, D2

[northbaybbguru]

Ok...going STRAIGHT BY MaxPreps and NOT taking into account H2H or common opponents. Also taking into account teams can only move up 2 levels max (unless OPEN)...

OPEN:
1. Acalanes....locked into the 1 unless theres a major upset.

2. SRV
3. CLET
Another matchup looms between these 2 hated rivals in their league playoffs championship. SRV won the 1st matchup and I honestly feel the winner of the NEXT matchup will get the 2 seed.

4. CN ..comfortably in 4 spot.

5. Piedmont
6. BOD
BOD won the 1st matchup and # 2 is tomorrow 2/5. Again i feel the winner of tomorrow's game will be the 5 seed.

* now here's the interesting situation...if BOD loses 2/5 then Eureka may take that 6th open spot. Eureka is currently #7 in the section and ONLY 1 SPOT BEHIND BOD in the state rankings so in other words RIGHT ON THEIR HEELS READY TO PASS.

*Eureka has no business being in the NCS Open but as we saw with San Marin in football the seeding committee doesn't care.

D1.
1. Eureka
2. CVC
3. Calif
4. Redwood
5. Arcata
6. Dublin
7. San Marin
8. Northgate
9. Miramonte
10. Alameda
11. American
12. Freedom
13. Maria Carrillo
14. Washington
15. Montgomery
16. Alhambra

D2
1. Justin Siena
2. Salesian
3. University
4. Marin Catholic
5. McKinleyville
6. Moreau Catholic
7. Lick Wilmerding
8. Pinole Valley
9. Ukiah
10. Heritage
11. Campo
12. Mt Diablo
13. SM B
14. American Canyon
15. Del Norte
16. Healdsburg

 

[northbaybbguru]

Arcata has already beaten Eureka earlier this year and they play again @Arcata the last game of the season so any OPEN speculation for Eureka could end with an Arcata win that game.

And if that's the case then that drops Eureka down behind Arcata in the D1 seedings (with 2 losses h2h)

 

[ClayK]

Carondelet and Cal High will play twice before the possible Carondelet-SRV matchup (once to end the regular season Friday, and then in the EBAL playoffs). Cal High is a good team, well-coached and #9 overall.

 

[northbaybbguru]

Carondelet and Cal High will play twice before the possible Carondelet-SRV matchup (once to end the regular season Friday, and then in the EBAL playoffs). Cal High is a good team, well-coached and #9 overall.

SRV beat Cal Hi by 40. I looked at Cal hi and agree that they are "the best of the rest" but not on the same level as CLET/OPEN. A Cal Hi win over CLET would be a huge upset and may even open up the door for CN to pass CLET in the NCS rankings and get the 3 seed. I just don't see the upset happening TBH.

 

[Coach Cardinal]

Ok...going STRAIGHT BY MaxPreps and NOT taking into account H2H or common opponents. Also taking into account teams can only move up 2 levels max (unless OPEN)...

OPEN:
1. Acalanes....locked into the 1 unless theres a major upset.

2. SRV
3. CLET
Another matchup looms between these 2 hated rivals in their league playoffs championship. SRV won the 1st matchup and I honestly feel the winner of the NEXT matchup will get the 2 seed.

4. CN ..comfortably in 4 spot.

5. Piedmont
6. BOD
BOD won the 1st matchup and # 2 is tomorrow 2/5. Again i feel the winner of tomorrow's game will be the 5 seed.

* now here's the interesting situation...if BOD loses 2/5 then Eureka may take that 6th open spot. Eureka is currently #7 in the section and ONLY 1 SPOT BEHIND BOD in the state rankings so in other words RIGHT ON THEIR HEELS READY TO PASS.

*Eureka has no business being in the NCS Open but as we saw with San Marin in football the seeding committee doesn't care.

D1.
1. Eureka
2. CVC
3. Calif
4. Redwood
5. Arcata
6. Dublin
7. San Marin
8. Northgate
9. Miramonte
10. Alamo
11. American
12. Freedom
13. Maria Carrillo
14. Washington
15. Montgomery
16. Alhambra

D2
1. Justin Siena
2. Salesian
3. University
4. Marin Catholic
5. McKinleyville
6. Moreau Catholic
7. Lick Wilmerding
8. Pinole Valley
9. Ukiah
10. Heritage
11. Campo
12. Mt Diablo
13. SM B
14. American Canyon
15. Del Norte
16. Healdsburg

Does H2H or common opponents make any difference?

 

[Coach Cardinal]

Ok...going STRAIGHT BY MaxPreps and NOT taking into account H2H or common opponents. Also taking into account teams can only move up 2 levels max (unless OPEN)...

OPEN:
1. Acalanes....locked into the 1 unless theres a major upset.

2. SRV
3. CLET
Another matchup looms between these 2 hated rivals in their league playoffs championship. SRV won the 1st matchup and I honestly feel the winner of the NEXT matchup will get the 2 seed.

4. CN ..comfortably in 4 spot.

5. Piedmont
6. BOD
BOD won the 1st matchup and # 2 is tomorrow 2/5. Again i feel the winner of tomorrow's game will be the 5 seed.

* now here's the interesting situation...if BOD loses 2/5 then Eureka may take that 6th open spot. Eureka is currently #7 in the section and ONLY 1 SPOT BEHIND BOD in the state rankings so in other words RIGHT ON THEIR HEELS READY TO PASS.

*Eureka has no business being in the NCS Open but as we saw with San Marin in football the seeding committee doesn't care.

D1.
1. Eureka
2. CVC
3. Calif
4. Redwood
5. Arcata
6. Dublin
7. San Marin
8. Northgate
9. Miramonte
10. Alamo
11. American
12. Freedom
13. Maria Carrillo
14. Washington
15. Montgomery
16. Alhambra

D2
1. Justin Siena
2. Salesian
3. University
4. Marin Catholic
5. McKinleyville
6. Moreau Catholic
7. Lick Wilmerding
8. Pinole Valley
9. Ukiah
10. Heritage
11. Campo
12. Mt Diablo
13. SM B
14. American Canyon
15. Del Norte
16. Healdsburg

Is #10 Alameda?

 

[northbaybbguru]

Does H2H or common opponents make any difference?

I can only go by what happened in football.

MP was the deciding factor for the divisions. Once placed in Division h2h came into play to make some adjustments to the order of seedings.

 

[ClayK]

As far as anyone can tell, the MaxPreps algorithm does not take into account head-to-head results.

Other questions about the algorithm:

1) Does it factor in margin of victory? If so, how? Does it cut off the advantage at 20 points? 40? Is it a sliding scale?

2) How important are wins in and of themselves? In other words, is 20 wins against a really weak schedule the same as 15 against a good one?

3) Are there any adjustments for home, road and neutral sites?

4) Is there any recency bias?

5) Does strength of schedule take into account the strength of schedule of a team's opponents?