4 weeks from today, the brackets will all be out. So here's my predictions of who gets in, along with a favorite and dark horse for each division.
D-I
1 - De La Salle
2 - Monte Vista
3 - Pittsburg
4 - Foothill
5 - Antioch
6 - California
7 - Freedom
8 - Amador Valley
9 - Dublin
10 - Logan
11 - San Leandro
12 - Dougherty Valley
13 - Irvington
Call it a hunch, but I think the Pirates beat Antioch, which moves Monte Vista into the 2 seed based on head-to-head. Also, I don't see Liberty, Deer Valley or Heritage getting enough wins to qualify, since they would have to beat at least one of Pittsburg, Antioch or Freedom, though Heritage would qualify with wins over both Liberty and Deer Valley, and I think that would get them a 12 seed if so.
Favorite = De La Salle
Dark Horse = Monte Vista
It's kind of a cheat to call a 2 seed a dark horse, but isn't anybody a dark horse in the same division as DLS?
D-II
1 - Clayton Valley
2 - Miramonte
3 - Pinole Valley
4 - Granada
5 - American
6 - Casa Grande
7 - Concord
8 - Tennyson
9 - Windsor
10 - Carillo
11 - Livermore
12 - Northgate
Beyond 12, Alameda, Hayward, Mt. Eden, Redwood and Washington are all likely to qualify (Washington probably stays home if that happens).
Favorite = Clayton Valley
Dark Horse = Casa Grande - not a great record, but they're as tested as anybody
D-III
1 - Campolindo
2 - Analy
3 - Rancho Cotate
4 - O'Dowd
5 - Petaluma
6 - Acalanes
7 - DeAnza
8 - Kennedy
9 - Novato
10 - Terra Linda
11 - Albany
It looks like there could be more teams with .500 or worse records in the playoffs than not in D-III, but that's all that have any kind of a realistic chance to qualify.
Favorite = Campo
Dark Horse = O'Dowd (only because I have to pick a dark horse - Campo's gonna run away with this)
D-IV (only really competitive one!)
1 - Cardinal Newman
2 - Marin Catholic
3 - Fortuna
4 - Moreau
5 - St. Helena
6 - Piedmont
7 - Justin-Siena
8 - St. Mary's
9 - Hercules
10 - Ft. Bragg
11 - San Marin
12 - Del Norte
13 - Encinal
14 - Lower Lake
15 - Harker
16 - Healdsburg
I don't see Drake qualifying. Some of this has already been discussed, but here goes. I think CN's schedule is tougher than Marin Catholic's, so I gave them the 1 seed. I think Fortuna's going to get a lot of love in the seeding meeting coming in undefeated and playing a decent schedule for a team that far north. I won't be shocked if the St. Helena/Ft. Bragg winner ends up the 4 seed to give them a home game against the next best candidate (Moreau). Moreau gets that nod over Piedmont who gets the nod over Justin-Siena based on head-to-head(-to-head). I know there's a lot of respect for St. Mary's, but their "signature" win over O'Dowd looks pretty mild now that they also just lost to Tennyson. Sets up some fun potential playoff matches. Wouldn't be stunned to see Del Norte go win at St. Helena, and I'm sure Moreau would love a crack at Encinal now that Tenorio's gone after some of those pastings they took in the BSAL.
Favorite = Cardinal Newman
Dark Horse = Fortuna
I'm gonna skip D-V for now - I don't really follow it as much...
Let the debate begin!
D-I
1 - De La Salle
2 - Monte Vista
3 - Pittsburg
4 - Foothill
5 - Antioch
6 - California
7 - Freedom
8 - Amador Valley
9 - Dublin
10 - Logan
11 - San Leandro
12 - Dougherty Valley
13 - Irvington
Call it a hunch, but I think the Pirates beat Antioch, which moves Monte Vista into the 2 seed based on head-to-head. Also, I don't see Liberty, Deer Valley or Heritage getting enough wins to qualify, since they would have to beat at least one of Pittsburg, Antioch or Freedom, though Heritage would qualify with wins over both Liberty and Deer Valley, and I think that would get them a 12 seed if so.
Favorite = De La Salle
Dark Horse = Monte Vista
It's kind of a cheat to call a 2 seed a dark horse, but isn't anybody a dark horse in the same division as DLS?
D-II
1 - Clayton Valley
2 - Miramonte
3 - Pinole Valley
4 - Granada
5 - American
6 - Casa Grande
7 - Concord
8 - Tennyson
9 - Windsor
10 - Carillo
11 - Livermore
12 - Northgate
Beyond 12, Alameda, Hayward, Mt. Eden, Redwood and Washington are all likely to qualify (Washington probably stays home if that happens).
Favorite = Clayton Valley
Dark Horse = Casa Grande - not a great record, but they're as tested as anybody
D-III
1 - Campolindo
2 - Analy
3 - Rancho Cotate
4 - O'Dowd
5 - Petaluma
6 - Acalanes
7 - DeAnza
8 - Kennedy
9 - Novato
10 - Terra Linda
11 - Albany
It looks like there could be more teams with .500 or worse records in the playoffs than not in D-III, but that's all that have any kind of a realistic chance to qualify.
Favorite = Campo
Dark Horse = O'Dowd (only because I have to pick a dark horse - Campo's gonna run away with this)
D-IV (only really competitive one!)
1 - Cardinal Newman
2 - Marin Catholic
3 - Fortuna
4 - Moreau
5 - St. Helena
6 - Piedmont
7 - Justin-Siena
8 - St. Mary's
9 - Hercules
10 - Ft. Bragg
11 - San Marin
12 - Del Norte
13 - Encinal
14 - Lower Lake
15 - Harker
16 - Healdsburg
I don't see Drake qualifying. Some of this has already been discussed, but here goes. I think CN's schedule is tougher than Marin Catholic's, so I gave them the 1 seed. I think Fortuna's going to get a lot of love in the seeding meeting coming in undefeated and playing a decent schedule for a team that far north. I won't be shocked if the St. Helena/Ft. Bragg winner ends up the 4 seed to give them a home game against the next best candidate (Moreau). Moreau gets that nod over Piedmont who gets the nod over Justin-Siena based on head-to-head(-to-head). I know there's a lot of respect for St. Mary's, but their "signature" win over O'Dowd looks pretty mild now that they also just lost to Tennyson. Sets up some fun potential playoff matches. Wouldn't be stunned to see Del Norte go win at St. Helena, and I'm sure Moreau would love a crack at Encinal now that Tenorio's gone after some of those pastings they took in the BSAL.
Favorite = Cardinal Newman
Dark Horse = Fortuna
I'm gonna skip D-V for now - I don't really follow it as much...
Let the debate begin!