NorCal teams for Regional D1AA game?

[bulldogmgc]

I think it would take a monumental upset for the SJS D-I winner to not be in at least D-1AA. This is especially true now that Clovis West got thumped.

Agree! SJS D1 assured of at least NorCal D1AA regional playoff spot. The games still need to be played to determine which “team” it will be. Folsom, no doubt, the favorite for NorCal D1AA regional playoff spot. I only say that because there’s another SJS D1 team that’s not afraid to get picked for the NorCal Open spot. 😉

 

[Cal 14]

Calpreps does NOT EQUAL “reality”! If it did, whoever relies on Calpreps 100% for their pick’ems would have a perfect score each and every week, and would be kicking my arse. Not the case! 😉

This got me curious to see exactly where the Calpreps predictions would have placed, had it entered into the NCP weekly pick'em. So, I went back and tallied the results.

The way I determined the weight of each pick was the predicted MoV. This is to say that the prediction with the highest MoV was placed at 10 and the lowest at 1, etc. There were a number of instances where the MoVs for multiple games were the same, so the result I'll be providing will be a range, rather than a single number. It's entirely possible that the tied predicted MoV with a winner might have been placed higher just as easily as it could have consistently been placed lower.

Because Calpreps did not start to make official predictions until week 5, that's where I started.

In comparison, I also tallied the results of the current top 4 overall in the contest (no disrespect intended to the rest of the field). I could have determined the top point earners from week 5 on, but this was already becoming too much work and I just didn't want to take that extra step. 😋

So, without further ado, I will first list the results from the current top 4 contestants of our pick'em, from weeks 5-10:

1. bulldogmgc - 220 pts
2. John Mellencamp - 210
3. Streak One - 206
4. Cal 14 - 204

The resulting range for Calpreps.com is...

drumroll, please...





205-211

If you assume that the tied MoV games would have been equally distributed amongst the lower- and higher-weighted picks, then one might realistically say it would have scored 208. Not bad. Among the top pickers overall, it would have potentially placed somewhere between 2nd and 4th in this time range and amongst this group.

I'll continue to tally the final two weeks to see how they'd do overall.