CCS play-off projections with four weeks to go
Here are the CCS Play-off projections with four weeks left in the season. Barring an upset where one of these teams’ losses to someone other than those in the Open/D1 division, this field looks set although seedings could change. Some small edits to this as the Saturday scores adjust Calprep and CCS rankings but this will be pretty close to final for this week (edits made)
Open/D1
8. Riordan 4-6 65.5 at 1. St. Ignatius 9-1 80.5
7. Salinas 8-2 67 at 2. St. Francis 8-2 77
Winners of Round 1 play for open championship – loser of open championship plays winner of round two game below for D1 championship.
6. Valley Christian 5-5 66.5 at 3. Los Gatos 9-1 76
5. Soquel 8-2 72 at 4. Serra 6-4 75
D2
8. Palma 5-5 48.5* at 1. Christopher 9-1 61
5. Burlingame 9-1 52.5 at 4. Sacred Heart Cathedral 4-6 55
6. Menlo School 7-3 52* at 3. Wilcox 6-4 58.5
7. Monterey 6-4 52* at 2.Menlo-Atherton 8-2 59.5
Elevated to D2 as no B league team can play in D1 or D2
D3
8. Aptos 5-5 40.5 at 1. Carmel 10-0 62*
5. Hollister 5-5 46 at 4. Santa Teresa 9-1 47.5
6. Palo Alto 5-5 43 at 3. Willow Glen 10-0 50.5*
7. Capuchino 8-2 41.5 at 2. Half Moon Bay 10-0 56.5*
Dropped to D3 as no B league team can play in DI or D2
D4
8. Live Oak 3-7 28** at 1. Piedmont Hills 8-2 41.5
5. Hillsdale 5-5 33.5 at 4. Sacred Heart Prep 3-7 33.5
6. San Mateo 7-3 33. at 3. Sobrato 8-2 36.5
7. North Salinas 7-3 32 at 2. Branham 7-3 39
Elevated to D4 as no A league team an be in D5 and all C league teams must be in D5.
D5
8. Gunderson 7-3 19 at 1. North Monterey County 8-2 31.5
5. Alisal 6-4 24 at 4. Pioneer 6-4 24.5
6. Gunn 10-0 23.5 at 3. Woodside 8-2 30.5
7. South San Francisco 7-3 23 at 2. San Lorenzo Valley 10-0 31**
Dropped from D4 to D5 as all C league teams must be in D5.
WCAL
Top four automatic qualifiers will go to St. Ignatius, St. Francis and Valley Christian. Riordan and Sacred Heart Cathedral will likely get two at -large bids. Winner of round robin between league’s 3 3-0 teams Si, VC and St. Francis will get at least a share of the title. Big game this coming week is SI vs St. Francis.
PAL-Bay
Los Gatos is a prohibitive favorite to win this league outright already having defeated Menlo-Atherton. This league gets five automatic berths and Menlo-Atherton, Wilcox, Menlo School, and Palo Alto based on their win this week over Sacred Heart Prep figure to get the other spots. Sacred Heart Prep is currently projected to get the final at-large berth even if it losses its remaining games.
Gabilan
Soquel will be favored to win the league championship when they face-off with Salinas on the road on 11-01. A remarkable ascent for a team that played in a C league in 2018 and a B league in 2022. They are projected to end up as the #2 public school in the CCS. Salinas, Hollister and Monterey are in line to win the other three automatic berths and Palma and Aptos will likely get at-large berths.
Mount Hamilton
Christopher has already beaten the next two highest ranked league opponents Santa Teresa and Branham and should cruise to a league championship. Santa Teresa, Branham and Live Oak should get the last three automatic spots. Lincoln and Leigh are unlikely to get an at-large berth.
PAL-Deanza
This A league gets three automatic berths. Burlingame is favored to win this league with Capuchino and Hillsdale projected to get the other two berths. Kings Academy is projected as fourth and will not get an at-larger spot.
PAL Ocean
Half Moon Bay is a strong favorite to win the league outright and finish the season 10-0 with A league wins over Burlingame, Hillsdale and Sacred Heart Prep. Half Moon Bays power point projections would place them in the middle of D2 but the new CCS rules will drop them to D3 for the play-offs. San Mateo is projected for second ahead of Carlmont and Milpitas (they have beaten both teams). Carlmontis on the bubble for an at-large berth and is currently projected to get edged out by Sacred Heart Prep.
Mission South
Carmel is a prohibitive favorite win this league and finish 10-0 with wins over A league teams Christopher and Monterey. Despite being currently ranked the 9th in the CCS and having the 9th most points the new CCS play-off rules will place them in D3. North Salinas is a strong favorite to get the second spot from this league already having beaten Pacific Grove which is projected for third. Due to their weak schedule Pacific Grove is unlikely to get an at-large spot.
Mission North
With their win over Alisal this week, North Monterey County is a strong favorite to win this league. Alisal and St. Francis figure to contend for the second automatic berth. No one from this league will be strong enough to get an at-large berth.
Valley
With their win over Sobrato this week, Willow Glen should finish 10-0 and win the league outright. Sobrato is a heavy favorite over Leland to capture the second play-off spot.
Foothill
Piedmont Hills is projected as a strong favorite to win this league over Pioneer and Overfelt. Pioneer is projected to get the second automatic berth over Overfelt.
El Camino
The championship should be decided in this weeks game between Woodside at South San Francisco with the loser likely to get the second play-off spot from this league.
Santa Lucia
San Lorenzo Valley is a strong favorite to finish 10-0 and get this C league’s only play-off berth. Stevenson is projected as the second place team from this league.
Lake
This will be an extremely competitive league between Gunn, Jefferson and Saratoga. The winner of the round robin will likely win the league and if they all end up 1-1 the winner will likely be whoever wins the Jefferson vs Gunn game as Saratoga has a tie in league against Monta Vista. Gunn is a slight favorite to end 10-0 and has only given up one touchdown through 6 games.
West Valley
This week’s game between Gunderson and Evergreen Valley will likely determine the league championship and who will be the league’s paly-off representative.
Here are the CCS Play-off projections with four weeks left in the season. Barring an upset where one of these teams’ losses to someone other than those in the Open/D1 division, this field looks set although seedings could change. Some small edits to this as the Saturday scores adjust Calprep and CCS rankings but this will be pretty close to final for this week (edits made)
Open/D1
8. Riordan 4-6 65.5 at 1. St. Ignatius 9-1 80.5
7. Salinas 8-2 67 at 2. St. Francis 8-2 77
Winners of Round 1 play for open championship – loser of open championship plays winner of round two game below for D1 championship.
6. Valley Christian 5-5 66.5 at 3. Los Gatos 9-1 76
5. Soquel 8-2 72 at 4. Serra 6-4 75
D2
8. Palma 5-5 48.5* at 1. Christopher 9-1 61
5. Burlingame 9-1 52.5 at 4. Sacred Heart Cathedral 4-6 55
6. Menlo School 7-3 52* at 3. Wilcox 6-4 58.5
7. Monterey 6-4 52* at 2.Menlo-Atherton 8-2 59.5
Elevated to D2 as no B league team can play in D1 or D2
D3
8. Aptos 5-5 40.5 at 1. Carmel 10-0 62*
5. Hollister 5-5 46 at 4. Santa Teresa 9-1 47.5
6. Palo Alto 5-5 43 at 3. Willow Glen 10-0 50.5*
7. Capuchino 8-2 41.5 at 2. Half Moon Bay 10-0 56.5*
Dropped to D3 as no B league team can play in DI or D2
D4
8. Live Oak 3-7 28** at 1. Piedmont Hills 8-2 41.5
5. Hillsdale 5-5 33.5 at 4. Sacred Heart Prep 3-7 33.5
6. San Mateo 7-3 33. at 3. Sobrato 8-2 36.5
7. North Salinas 7-3 32 at 2. Branham 7-3 39
Elevated to D4 as no A league team an be in D5 and all C league teams must be in D5.
D5
8. Gunderson 7-3 19 at 1. North Monterey County 8-2 31.5
5. Alisal 6-4 24 at 4. Pioneer 6-4 24.5
6. Gunn 10-0 23.5 at 3. Woodside 8-2 30.5
7. South San Francisco 7-3 23 at 2. San Lorenzo Valley 10-0 31**
Dropped from D4 to D5 as all C league teams must be in D5.
WCAL
Top four automatic qualifiers will go to St. Ignatius, St. Francis and Valley Christian. Riordan and Sacred Heart Cathedral will likely get two at -large bids. Winner of round robin between league’s 3 3-0 teams Si, VC and St. Francis will get at least a share of the title. Big game this coming week is SI vs St. Francis.
PAL-Bay
Los Gatos is a prohibitive favorite to win this league outright already having defeated Menlo-Atherton. This league gets five automatic berths and Menlo-Atherton, Wilcox, Menlo School, and Palo Alto based on their win this week over Sacred Heart Prep figure to get the other spots. Sacred Heart Prep is currently projected to get the final at-large berth even if it losses its remaining games.
Gabilan
Soquel will be favored to win the league championship when they face-off with Salinas on the road on 11-01. A remarkable ascent for a team that played in a C league in 2018 and a B league in 2022. They are projected to end up as the #2 public school in the CCS. Salinas, Hollister and Monterey are in line to win the other three automatic berths and Palma and Aptos will likely get at-large berths.
Mount Hamilton
Christopher has already beaten the next two highest ranked league opponents Santa Teresa and Branham and should cruise to a league championship. Santa Teresa, Branham and Live Oak should get the last three automatic spots. Lincoln and Leigh are unlikely to get an at-large berth.
PAL-Deanza
This A league gets three automatic berths. Burlingame is favored to win this league with Capuchino and Hillsdale projected to get the other two berths. Kings Academy is projected as fourth and will not get an at-larger spot.
PAL Ocean
Half Moon Bay is a strong favorite to win the league outright and finish the season 10-0 with A league wins over Burlingame, Hillsdale and Sacred Heart Prep. Half Moon Bays power point projections would place them in the middle of D2 but the new CCS rules will drop them to D3 for the play-offs. San Mateo is projected for second ahead of Carlmont and Milpitas (they have beaten both teams). Carlmontis on the bubble for an at-large berth and is currently projected to get edged out by Sacred Heart Prep.
Mission South
Carmel is a prohibitive favorite win this league and finish 10-0 with wins over A league teams Christopher and Monterey. Despite being currently ranked the 9th in the CCS and having the 9th most points the new CCS play-off rules will place them in D3. North Salinas is a strong favorite to get the second spot from this league already having beaten Pacific Grove which is projected for third. Due to their weak schedule Pacific Grove is unlikely to get an at-large spot.
Mission North
With their win over Alisal this week, North Monterey County is a strong favorite to win this league. Alisal and St. Francis figure to contend for the second automatic berth. No one from this league will be strong enough to get an at-large berth.
Valley
With their win over Sobrato this week, Willow Glen should finish 10-0 and win the league outright. Sobrato is a heavy favorite over Leland to capture the second play-off spot.
Foothill
Piedmont Hills is projected as a strong favorite to win this league over Pioneer and Overfelt. Pioneer is projected to get the second automatic berth over Overfelt.
El Camino
The championship should be decided in this weeks game between Woodside at South San Francisco with the loser likely to get the second play-off spot from this league.
Santa Lucia
San Lorenzo Valley is a strong favorite to finish 10-0 and get this C league’s only play-off berth. Stevenson is projected as the second place team from this league.
Lake
This will be an extremely competitive league between Gunn, Jefferson and Saratoga. The winner of the round robin will likely win the league and if they all end up 1-1 the winner will likely be whoever wins the Jefferson vs Gunn game as Saratoga has a tie in league against Monta Vista. Gunn is a slight favorite to end 10-0 and has only given up one touchdown through 6 games.
West Valley
This week’s game between Gunderson and Evergreen Valley will likely determine the league championship and who will be the league’s paly-off representative.
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