You can bet both squads (except for maybe the Royals Ps!) studied IF/OF players' tendencies to the most minute details. Hosmer knows he's got pretty much his slowest teammate (Perez) at the plate. Follow me, because this is semi-, but not pure instinctual. He knows Wright's (one of my favorite players of all time, right behind Bij) tendencies. Captain, CIF who takes command, reg. SS is out. Wright does the 2b style flip throw across the diamond with regularity, especially when he knows he has time. Fast runner? He's going 3/4 and gunning it. No wheels, casual drop down flip. Remember, IF was in. Wright's reacting cutting in front of Flores, "look him back- which he did- accurate flip, no need to gun with Perez running, IF is in, no way Hosmer taking off." It's subconscious thinking by Hosmer + LOTS of film on Mets tendencies + knowing Perez will bust down the line + the ingrained aggressive nature of Royals baserunning that provoked his risk,. Kudos to Perez for hustling on the broken bat one hop. He was two steps from the bag when Duda gloves it. This gave Duda the subconscious impression, "I gotta get this throw off" when in reality Hosmer's just reaching the plate circle (13') at the moment the ball sails past d'Arnaud's glove. It's akin to the guy who steals third after one look and he's off. Tendencies get drilled, then stored into such higher thinkers necessary to compete at the MLB level.