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NCP Pick'em Week 5

Streak One

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Nov 11, 2003
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Here are the games for this week. Picks are due by 7:00 PM on Friday. The Game of the Week is Antioch-Freedom.

Palma vs. Salinas
Serra vs. Mitty
Cal at Granada
Antioch at Freedom (Game of the Week)
Campolindo at El Cerrito
St. Mary's at Bishop O'Dowd
Yuba City at River Valley
Live Oak-Morgan Hill at Pioneer-San Jose
Elk Grove at Sheldon
Lincoln at Eureka
 
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Here are the games for this week. Picks are due by 7:00 PM on Friday. The Game of the Week is Antioch-Freedom.

Palma vs. Salinas
Serra vs. Mitty
Cal at Granada
Antioch at Freedom (Game of the Week)
Turlock at Downey
St. Mary's at Bishop O'Dowd
Yuba City at River Valley
Live Oak-Morgan Hill at Pioneer-San Jose
Elk Grove at Sheldon
Lincoln at Eureka
I believe the Turlock @ Downey game is next week unless of course they have changed their bye week and I missed it.
 
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10) Serra
9) Cal
8) Lincoln
7) Campo
6) St. Mary's
5) River Valley
4) Antioch - (35-28)
3) Palma
2) Live Oak (Morgan Hill) (thanks for the correction!)
1) Sheldon
 
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10 River Valley
9 Sheldon
8 Palma
7 Antioch 36-20
6 Eureka
5 Serra
4 Campolindo
3 Granada
2 Bishop O'Dowd
1 Pioneer-San Jose
 
10. Bishop O'Dowd
9. Serra
8. Eureka
7. River Valley
6. Palma
5. Sheldon
4. Cal
3. El Cerrito
2. Pioneer
1. Freedom (38-35)

*Note- This will be River Valley's first home game as they got new turf this year. The first 2 "home" games were played at Yuba City.
 
O'Dowd
Campolindo
Serra
Palma
Eureka
Sheldon
Cal
River Valley
Freedom (27-24)
Pioneer
 
Palma vs. Salinas- palma 9
Serra vs. Mitty- Serra 2
Cal at Granada-cal 10
Antioch at Freedom - 4 Antioch (42-28)
Campolindo at El Cerrito-8 campo
St. Mary's at Bishop O'Dowd-BOD 7
Yuba City at River Valley-RV 6
Live Oak-Morgan Hill at Pioneer-San Jose-LO 3
Elk Grove at Sheldon-1 sheldon
Lincoln at Eureka-eureka 5
 
10) River Valley
9) Serra
8) Sheldon
7) Cal
6) Live Oak
5) Campo
4) Antioch (31-27)
3) St. Mary's
2) Salinas
1) Lincoln
 
10. Eureka
9. California
8. Sheldon
7. Palma
6. Serra
5. Antioch (28-21)
4. Campolindo
3. River Valley
2. Bishop O'Dowd

1. Pioneer
 
10. Sheldon
9. Lincoln
8. Bishop o Dowd
7. Campolinda
6. Cal
5. Antioch 31-28
4. Mitty
3. Pioneer
2. River valley
1. Palma
 
10) Serra
9) Cal
8) Bishop O’Dowd
7) Palma
6) Eureka
5) River Valley
4) Antioch (35-28)
3) Sheldon
2) Live Oak
1) Campolindo
 
10. Palma
9. Serra
8. Antioch 35-24
7. Cal
6. Pioneer-San Jose
5. Campolindo
4. Bishop O'Dowd
3. Eureka
2. Sheldon
1. Yuba City
 
10. Serra
9. Eureka
8. River Valley
7. Palma
6. Sheldon
5. Cal
4. Antioch (35-28)
3. Campolindo
2. Live Oak-Morgan Hill
1. St. Mary's
 
10. Serra
9. CAL
8. Palma
7. BOD
6. River Valley
5. Eureka
4. Antioch 42-21
3. Pioneer
2. Elk Grove
1. Campo
 
10) Antioch 37-28
9) Serra
8) Bishop O'Dowd
7) Cal
6) Sheldon
5) Eureka
4) Campolindo
3) Palma
2) River Valley
1) Live Oak
 
10. Serra
9. Eureka
8. Campolindo
7. California
6. Live Oak
5. Sheldon
4. Bishop O'Dowd
3. River Valley
2. Antioch 31-28
1. Salinas
 
10 Eureka
9. Sheldon
8. River Valley
7. Cal
6. Serra
5. Live Oak
4. Campo
3. BOD
2. Antioch (37-31)
1. Salinas
 
SearsPoints Says:

10. Serra
9. Bishop O'Dowd
8. Palma
7. Eureka
6. Cal
5. River Valley
4. Sheldon
3. Antioch (35-34)
2. El Cerrito
1. Live Oak
 
10 - Serra
9 - Sheldon
8 - Palma
7 - Campolindo
6 - Live Oak-Morgan Hill
5 - Cal
4 - Freedom (28-21)
3 - Eureka
2 - River Valley
1 - Bishop O'Dowd

Bonus Pick
0 - Mater Dei (35-27)
 
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10. Serra
9. Campolindo
8. Eureka
7. Sheldon
6. Live Oak
5. River Valley
4. California
3. Bishop O'Dowd
2. Palma
1. Freedom (31-28)
 
NorCalSportsFan Week 5 Pickem

10. Serra
9. California HS
8. Eureka
7. River Valley
6. Palma - & heading to Taquitos before where there will be both Chieftain and Cowboy fans.
5. Campolindo
4. Antioch (34-28)
3. Bishop O’Dowd
2. Sheldon
1. Pioneer
 
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10. Sheldon
9. California
8. Palma
7. Serra
6. Lincoln
5. Pioneer -San Jose
4. Bishop O'Dowd
3. Yuba City
2. Antioch (37-30)
1. Campolindo
 
10 Serra
9 California
8 Eureka
7 Palma
6 River Valley
5 Campolindo
4 Bishop O'Dowd
3 Antioch (35-32)
2 Sheldon
1 Live Oak
 
Antioch @ Freedom Straw Poll 9/21/2018, 2:47PM
23 confidence votes, 23 score predictions

Antioch Win: 19 votes; average confidence 4.5
Freedom Win: 4 votes; average confidence 2.0

Sum average score prediction:
Antioch: 34 ~ Freedom: 28

This Game of the Week pick has the lowest confidence level of any week of NCP 2018 Pick'em. No team receiving the most votes averaged below 5.7 in the past. But Antioch, the preferred team this round, averaged 4.5. And likewise, Freedom, the less preferred team, had an average of 2.0 which is also the lowest of all GOTW games this year. The natural conclusion is that most posters were relatively unsure of who will win this game.

This GOTW also had among the largest total game points predicted of all GOTW games. Posters predicted an average of 61.78 points to be scored in this game with the top prediction being 73 points. Surprisingly, the only other GOTW game with higher predictions was the Folsom @ De La Salle GOTW game averaging 62.58 points with the highest prediction being a total of 87 points. We all know how that game turned out! It may end up being the lowest scoring GOTW this year.
 
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@Hatchball
My Bonus pick
IMG 28 ~ MD 27
It could be a blow out game but I'm predicting a close one - a game won by either team with a two-point conversion or a field goal or possibly a fouled up play like a safety or missed PAT.

I think the travel and over-confidence by the IMG team will be their downfall. I'm also not sure how they do it in Florida but also keep in mind a lot of the Mater Dei kids are a year older than they should be for their high school class designation because of redshirting.
 
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I think the travel and over-confidence by the IMG team will be their downfall. I'm also not sure how they do it in Florida but also keep in mind a lot of the Mater Dei kids are a year older than they should be for their high school class designation because of redshirting.
Hope you are right about MD winning!
 
10) Serra
09) Cal
08) Eureka
07) Palma
06) River Valley
05) Campolindo
04) Sheldon
03) St. Mary's
02) Antioch (35-31)
01) Live Oak-Morgan Hill
 
Antioch @ Freedom Straw Poll 9/21/2018, 2:47PM
23 confidence votes, 23 score predictions

Antioch Win: 19 votes; average confidence 4.5
Freedom Win: 4 votes; average confidence 2.0

Sum average score prediction:
Antioch: 34 ~ Freedom: 28

This Game of the Week pick has the lowest confidence level of any week of NCP 2018 Pick'em. No team receiving the most votes averaged below 5.7 in the past. But Antioch, the preferred team this round, averaged 4.5. And likewise, Freedom, the less preferred team, had an average of 2.0 which is also the lowest of all GOTW games this year. The natural conclusion is that most posters were relatively unsure of who will win this game.

This GOTW also had among the largest total game points predicted of all GOTW games. Posters predicted an average of 61.78 points to be scored in this game with the top prediction being 73 points. Surprisingly, the only other GOTW game with higher predictions was the Folsom @ De La Salle GOTW game averaging 62.58 points with the highest prediction being a total of 87 points. We all know how that game turned out! It may end up being the lowest scoring GOTW this year.

Really have enjoyed these Game of the Week breakdowns. Fun to see the collective brain of the pickers
 
10 - Serra
9 - Sheldon
8 - Palma
7 - Campolindo
6 - Live Oak-Morgan Hill
5 - Cal at Granada
4 - Freedom (28-21)
3 - Eureka
2 - River Valley
1 - Bishop O'Dowd

Bonus Pick
0 - Mater Dei (35-27)

Hatch, did you pick a winner for the Cal-Granada game?
 
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Ugh! Maybe the worst pick 'em yet as I got slaughtered! Only way I could have done worse is if I'd picked Mitty in an upset over Serra. I had Antioch winning comfortably in the GOW and I had LOTS of company in thinking Palma would be able to handle Salinas.
 
I picked the Salinas vs Palma game wrong too. I thought Salinas had a good chance to beat Palma but I figured the Palma discipline would overcome. It was only after I lost that pick that I saw I had driven the confidence level for Palma so high. There were just too many 1 confidence level games to keep it lower.

Salinas has the talent and now I think the team is starting to jell. If they can stay healthy and the coaches can "coach" ahead of the Cowboys' potential, they might do very well.
 
Here are the scores with Cal 14 taking the weekly win. Scores are final at 7:00 PM on Monday


Sheldon beat Elk Grove 21-14

Yuba City beat River Valley 46-27

Freedom beat Antioch 14-7

Live Oak beat Pioneer 38-13

California beat Granada 24-21

St. Mary's beat Bishop O'Dowd 44-20

Campolindo beat El Cerrito 41-14

Serra beat Mitty 42-6

Salinas beat Palma 24-14

Eureka beat Lincoln 34-22


Cal 14 46

Streak One 45

Hatchball 44

Bella123 42

Ncscalfootball 40

Bulldogmgc 40

Irish_Cheers 37

mshNASTY 36

Kiddman32 35

FootballJunkie101 35

FBAddict 35

Espot 34

NorCalSportsFan 34

RidgeRider 32

NorCalHSFan 31

Lakers2480Bulldogs 30

MC415 29

SearsPoints 28

EN_FB_Alum 27

RLS13 27

Concrete17 26

Rmbr26 25

John Mellencamp 24

Sacchiefs 23


Yearly Top 5:


1.NorCalHSFan 214

2. Cal 14 213

3. FBAddict 208

4. NorCalSportsFan 206

5. FootballJunkie101 199
 
Here are the scores with Cal 14 taking the weekly win. Scores are final at 7:00 PM on Monday


Sheldon beat Elk Grove 21-14

Yuba City beat River Valley 46-27

Freedom beat Antioch 14-7

Live Oak beat Pioneer 38-13

California beat Granada 24-21

St. Mary's beat Bishop O'Dowd 44-20

Campolindo beat El Cerrito 41-14

Serra beat Mitty 42-6

Salinas beat Palma 24-14

Eureka beat Lincoln 34-22


Cal 14 46

Streak One 45

Hatchball 44

Bella123 42

Ncscalfootball 40

Bulldogmgc 40

Irish_Cheers 37

mshNASTY 36

Kiddman32 35

FootballJunkie101 35

FBAddict 35

Espot 34

NorCalSportsFan 34

RidgeRider 32

NorCalHSFan 31

Lakers2480Bulldogs 30

MC415 29

SearsPoints 28

EN_FB_Alum 27

RLS13 27

Concrete17 26

Rmbr26 25

John Mellencamp 24

Sacchiefs 23


Yearly Top 5:


1.NorCalHSFan 214

2. Cal 14 213

3. FBAddict 208

4. NorCalSportsFan 206

5. FootballJunkie101 199

Congrats Cal14 for the weekly win and for moving up to number 2 in the Yearly top 5.
 
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