NCP Pick'em Week 7

[Streak One]

Sorry for getting the games up late but here they are. Picks are due at 3:00 PM FRIDAY due to some early starts

Granada at Amador Valley
Freedom at Pittsburg
El Cerrito at Kennedy-Richmond
Pitman vs. Gregori
Merced vs. Buhach Colony
Oak Ridge at Del Oro
Terra Nova at Menlo Atherton
Valley Christian at St. Francis (Game of the Week)
Bellarmine at Mitty
Durham at Colusa

 

[kiddman32]

10) Mitty
9) Pittsburg
8) El Cerrito
7) St. Francis (24-14)
6) Merced
5) Menlo-Atherton
4) Gregori
3) Oak Ridge
2) Colusa
1) Amador Valley

 

[ncscalfootball]

Would be nice to see Vanden vs Vacaville on here since it will be the first time they meet in recent memory. 30 years since they last played & they are close to each other. Vanden gets some players from South Vacaville. This is gonna be a Really Big Rivalry!

 

[ncscalfootball]

10) Mitty
9) Pitt
8) Amador Valley
7) Merced
6) El Cerrito
5) Menlo Atherton
4) Valley Christian (27-18)
3) Pitman
2) Colusa
1) Oak Ridge

 

[Hatchball]

10 million - Mitty
9 - Pitman
8 - Pittsburg
7 - Merced
6 - Amador Valley
5 - Del Oro
4 - Valley Christian (21-14)
3 - Menlo Atherton
2 - Colusa
1 - El Cerrito

 

[FootballJunkie101]

(10) Mitty
(09) Merced
(08) Amador Valley
(07) El Cerrito
(06) Colusa
(05) Del Oro
(04) Valley Christian (21-14)
(03) Pittsburg
(02) Menlo Atherton
(01) Gregori

 

[Irish_Cheers]

10. Mitty

9. Colusa

8. St. Francis (21-10)

7. Del Oro

6. El Cerrito

5. Gregori

4. Granada

3. Merced

2. Pittsburg

1. Menlo Atherton

SHC 21 SI 7

 

[Streak One]

10. Mitty
9. Merced
8. Menlo-Atherton
7. Pittsburg
6. St. Francis (17-10)
5. El Cerrito
4. Pitman
3. Amador Valley
2. Del Oro
1. Durham

 

[SPortela24]

Amador Valley
Pittsburg
El Cerrito
Pitman
Merced
Oak Ridge
Menlo Atherton
St. Francis (Game of the Week)
Mitty
Durham

 

[mshNASTY]

10. Mitty
9. Pittsburg
8. Amador Valley
7. Del Oro
6. El Cerrito
5. Menlo Atherton
4. Pitman
3. Merced
2. Colusa
1. St. Francis (17-14)

 

[Rmbr26]

FYI - anyone not following the WCAL Football thread you might note that in the Game of the Week St. Francis lost their starting QB Jack Perry for the season 2 weeks ago. Last week SF defeated Sacred Heart Cathedral 14-0 in what was their lowest scoring game this season [SF scored 15 vs DLS earlier in the season].

 

[MC415]

Granada at Amador Valley-AV 7
Freedom at Pittsburg - pitt 10
El Cerrito at Kennedy-Richmond- ec 9
Pitman vs. Gregori- pitman 4
Merced vs. Buhach Colony-Merced 6
Oak Ridge at Del Oro- do 2
Terra Nova at Menlo Atherton-MA 5
Valley Christian at St. Francis (Game of the Week)- SF 3 (20-13)
Bellarmine at Mitty- mitty 8
Durham at Colusa-durham 1

 

[Rmbr26]

10. Mitty
9. El Cerrito
8. Pitt
7. Pitman
6. Amador
5. Durham
4. Buhach Colony
3. Valley Christian 21-17
2. Oak Ridge
1. Terra Nova

 

[colhenrylives]

10. Mitty
9. El Cerrito
8. Pitt
7. Pitman
6. Amador
5. Durham
4. Buhach Colony
3. Valley Christian 21-17
2. Oak Ridge
1. Terra Nova

Interesting PAL choice re Terra Nova vs. M-A. The Bears are loaded with individual talent but tend to lack cohesion as a unit, especially on offense. That may well be due to the lack of a stable QB situation. The Bears have gone through a number of guys at the position and it shows. Last week vs. Aragon, they used their outstanding WR, Franklin, as a Wildcat QB and he scored on a sterling jaunt from about 25 yards out. He reminds some of Patrick Nunn of Serra. Same sort of athlete, tall, quick, athletic, etc. M-A needs to get the ball in Franklin's hands more. Against the unbeaten Tigers (whose SOS is less than terrific) Friday, look for the Bears to emerge with a W due to their overwhelming physicality, speed and overall depth. They can rush three and still get pressure on the TN QB. Die-hard Peninsula prep football nuts can watch that afternoon game in Atherton and then zip south to Mountain View to view St. Francis vs. VC in a WCAL biggie. An attractive double-dip.

 

[Rmbr26]

Yes Colhenry the M-A vs Terra Nova game should be a good one & I have as a toss-up. While M-A is favored and the projected winner I like TN's chances in this one [but not too much as its only a #1 pick, Lol!]...

 

[espot]

Mitty
Merced
Menlo-Atherton
Del Oro
Pittsburg
St. Francis (17-10)
Kennedy-Richmond
Amador Valley
Durham
Pitman

 

[SearsPoints]

SearsPoints Says:

10. Mitty
9. Pittsburg
8. El Cerrito
7. St. Francis (21-14)
6. Merced
5. Pitman
4. Amador Valley
3. Colusa
2. Menlo-Atherton
1. Del Oro

 

[FootballJunkie101]

FYI - anyone not following the WCAL Football thread you might note that in the Game of the Week St. Francis lost their starting QB Jack Perry for the season 2 weeks ago. Last week SF defeated Sacred Heart Cathedral 14-0 in what was their lowest scoring game this season [SF scored 15 vs DLS earlier in the season].

That's why I picked VC in this game. I did my due diligence via research as other pick'em posters should have. Since you're telling the board things they should research for themselves Pitt lost their QB as well. Do anyone have info on any other significant injuries??? Just saying....

 

[Cal 14]

10. Mitty
9. El Cerrito
8. Colusa
7. Granada
6. Del Oro
5. Valley Christian 21-10
4. Terra Nova
3. Merced
2. Pittsburg
1. Gregorio

 

[ncscalfootball]

Still thinking that the Vacaville @ Vanden shud have been Pick Em Game...

 

[bella123]

10. Merced
9.DO
8. Mitty
7. Pitt
6. EC
5. MA
4. Pitman
3. AV
2. VC (13-7)
1. Durham

 

[RLS13]

10. Mitty
9. El Cerrito
8. Merced
7. Gregori
6. Colusa
5. Oak Ridge
4. Pittsburg
3. St. Francis 14-6
2. Menlo Atherton
1. Granada

 

[bulldogmgc]

10) Mitty
09) El Cerrito
08) Pittsburg
07) Merced
06) Pitman
05) St. Francis (21-7)
04) Amador Valley
03) Colusa
02) Menlo Atherton
01) Del Oro

 

[FBAddict]

10 El Cerrito
9 Pittsburg
8 Mitty
7 Menlo-Atherton
6 Merced
5 Pittman
4 St Francis (12-10)
3 Colusa
2 Oak Ridge
1 Granada

And for ncscalfootball:
Vacaville (35-14) - My confidence level 11 - IMO this is probably why it didn't end up on this week's Pick'ems.

 

[EN_FB_Alum]

10. Mitty
9. Pitt
8. Merced
7. St. Francis (27-13)
6. Amador Valley
5. Colusa
4. Pitman
3. Del Oro
2. M-A
1. El Cerrito

 

[NorCalSportsFan]

NorCalSportsFan Week 7 Picks

10) Pittsburg
9) Mitty
8) El Cerrito
7) Menlo Atherton
6) St Francis (14-7)
5) Merced
4) Pittman
3) Del Oro
2) Durham
1) Granada

 

[John Mellencamp]

10 St. Francis (28-10)
9 Mitty
8 Pittsburg
7 El Cerrito
6 Pitman
5 Colusa
4 Del Oro
3 Merced
2 Amador Valley
1 Menlo Atherton

 

[FBAddict]

Valley Christian @ St. Francis Straw Poll 10/5/2018, 2:42PM
19 confidence votes, 18 score predictions

St Francis Win: 13 votes; average confidence 5.0
Valley Christian Win: 6 votes; average confidence 3.7

Sum average score prediction:
St Francis: 17 ~ Valley Christian: 14

This week's GOTW game has the closest average confidence levels of all game GOTW game to date. Pickers who took SF had an average of 5.0 confidence level while those picking VC had an average confidence level of 3.7. The results suggest that most pickers were relatively unsure who would win by similar margins. Additionally, the split ratio of picks was the closest of any GOTW game of the past with 68% of the pickers choosing SF. The next closest ratio was the the DLS / Folsom where 70% of the pickers chose DLS.

This GOTW game is, by far, the lowest total game points predicted of all GOTW games to date. Pickers predicted an average of 30.94 points to be scored in this game with the lowest prediction being 20 points. Since a casual relationship was noticed with the highest predicted games having the lowest real total game points outcome and the lowest predicted average score having among the highest real game total points, this is an excellent test for that casual relationship. These two teams have met 20 times before tonight's match up and near every time, the total points were quite low. So for our casual relationship trend to be right this time, the VC @ SF game must be an uncharacteristically high scoring game.

 

[concrete17]

10) Mitty
9) Pitt
8) El Cerrito
7) Pittman
6) Merced
5) Colusa
4) Granada
3) Del Oro
2) St Francis 24-10
1) Menlo Atherton

 

[Sacchiefs]

Tough week at work. Streak, Im late and understand if my picks dont count.
10. Del oro
9. Merced
8. Mitty
7. Pittsburg
6. Valley christain 17-7
5. Pittman
4. El cerrito
3. Terra
2. Durham
1.amador

 

[FBAddict]

Valley Christian @ St. Francis Straw Poll 10/5/2018, 2:42PM

This GOTW game is, by far, the lowest total game points predicted of all GOTW games to date. Pickers predicted an average of 30.94 points to be scored in this game with the lowest prediction being 20 points. Since a casual relationship was noticed with the highest predicted games having the lowest real total game points outcome and the lowest predicted average score having among the highest real game total points, this is an excellent test for that casual relationship. These two teams have met 20 times before tonight's match up and near every time, the total points were quite low. So for our casual relationship trend to be right this time, the VC @ SF game must be an uncharacteristically high scoring game.

If any team match up could test and break the casual relationship trend, it would be SF/VC. Breaking the trend of pickers' low or high predicted total score meaning the opposite in real outcome, the SF/VC was predicted to be a low scoring game and it turned out to the lowest scoring GOTW game in 2018 so far. In fact the real total score of 10 points was half of the lowest predicted score for this game.

 

[Irish_Cheers]

Valley Christian @ St. Francis Straw Poll 10/5/2018, 2:42PM
19 confidence votes, 18 score predictions

St Francis Win: 13 votes; average confidence 5.0
Valley Christian Win: 6 votes; average confidence 3.7

Sum average score prediction:
St Francis: 17 ~ Valley Christian: 14

This week's GOTW game has the closest average confidence levels of all game GOTW game to date. Pickers who took SF had an average of 5.0 confidence level while those picking VC had an average confidence level of 3.7.

And yet, it was stinkin' Colusa(!) who cost me 9 points...

 

[Streak One]

NorCalSportsFan puts up the first perfect week of the year (this was the first week with scores in the 50s). Scores are final at 7:00 PM on Monday


Pittsburg beat Freedom 54-20

Granada beat Amador Valley 35-23

El Cerrito beat Kennedy 28-6

Durham beat Colusa 17-14

Merced beat Buhach Colony 55-14

Pitman beat Gregori 24-6

Del Oro beat Oak Ridge 56-21

Menlo-Atherton beat Terra Nova 30-8

St. Francis beat Valley Christian 7-3

Mitty beat Bellarmine 35-14



NorCalSportsFan 55

Streak One 52

Bella123 50

FBAddict 50

Concrete17 49

MC415 48

Espot 48

SearsPoints 48

Bulldogmgc 48

John Mellencamp 48

Kiddman32 45

mshNASTY 45

Sacchiefs 45

EN_FB_Alum 44

Hatchball 43

Irish_Cheers 41

Ncscalfootball 40

SPortela24 40

Rmbr26 39

Cal 14 37

RLS13 37

FootballJunkie101 36



Yearly Top 10:



1.FBAddict 306

2. NorCalSportsFan 302

3. NorCalHSFan 288

4. Cal 14 285

5. Streak One 278

6. EN_FB_Alum 276

7. Bulldogmgc 275

8. SearsPoints 272

9. FootballJunkie101 268

9. Bella123 268

 

[ncscalfootball]

Ouch...Colusa, Oak Ridge and Amador Valley!

 

[FootballJunkie101]

Took a chance on these underdogs and it didn't pay off. Two were tossups, one was competitive for the most part and one was an obvious mismatch.

Granada beat Amador Valley 35-23
Durham beat Colusa 17-14
Pitman beat Gregori 24-6
St. Francis beat Valley Christian 7-3

 

[ncscalfootball]

agreed on the two toss ups ...that Granada got me gud...smh...congrats to Granada!

 

[Irish_Cheers]

Took a chance on these underdogs and it didn't pay off. Two were tossups, one was competitive for the most part and one was an obvious mismatch.

Granada beat Amador Valley 35-23
Durham beat Colusa 17-14
Pitman beat Gregori 24-6
St. Francis beat Valley Christian 7-3

I actually picked Granada and St. Francis. I thought Gregori would win because they were higher ranked but Colusa cost me 9 points. Only two losses.