NCS D1 playoffs

[Trivalley]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan - should they play their second stringers to get out of DLS's bracket?
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

I think 1-9 is what we will see as well as 14. 10-13 is up for grabs. I like Dublin's chances against Amador or even Freedom is they drop down to 11. Last meeting between Dublin and Amador, Amador won 21-14 in a close one. I know I am a fan of Dublin but I think they have a realistic chance of being a bracket buster this year.

(1) DLS
BYE

(8)CAL
(9)Logan

(4)Monte Vista
(13) Dougherty Valley

(5) Pitt
(12) San Leandro
____________________________________________

(2) Antioch
BYE

(7) Amador
(10) Dublin

(3) Foothill
(14) Irvington

(6)Freedom
(11) Liberty

 

[EBALISBEAST]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan - should they play their second stringers to get out of DLS's bracket?
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

I think 1-9 is what we will see as well as 14. 10-13 is up for grabs. I like Dublin's chances against Amador or even Freedom is they drop down to 11. Last meeting between Dublin and Amador, Amador won 21-14 in a close one. I know I am a fan of Dublin but I think they have a realistic chance of being a bracket buster this year.

(1) DLS
BYE

(8)CAL
(9)Logan

(4)Monte Vista
(13) Dougherty Valley

(5) Pitt
(12) San Leandro
____________________________________________

(2) Antioch
BYE

(7) Amador
(10) Dublin

(3) Foothill
(14) Irvington

(6)Freedom
(11) Liberty

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan - should they play their second stringers to get out of DLS's bracket?
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

I think 1-9 is what we will see as well as 14. 10-13 is up for grabs. I like Dublin's chances against Amador or even Freedom is they drop down to 11. Last meeting between Dublin and Amador, Amador won 21-14 in a close one. I know I am a fan of Dublin but I think they have a realistic chance of being a bracket buster this year.

(1) DLS
BYE

(8)CAL
(9)Logan

(4)Monte Vista
(13) Dougherty Valley

(5) Pitt
(12) San Leandro
____________________________________________

(2) Antioch
BYE

(7) Amador
(10) Dublin

(3) Foothill
(14) Irvington

(6)Freedom
(11) Liberty

Trivalley just not sure Dublin would have enough in the tank to handle Amador and I am basing that purely off of Dublin's win against Los Lomas. Los Lomas lost to Northgate (barely) who got absolutely pounded by Amador. The score in the Amador vs Northgate game was closer than it should have been due to the 2nd team playing most of the second half. Yes I am admitted Amador fan as well.

 

[Foothills_Finest]

I don't see how everyone has antioch getting the 2 seed over Foothill. Foothill has beaten every team this year pretty easy(MV scored 10 points late or its a 35-17 game) while Antioch has played nobody. We'll see how they do against Pitt but foothill should be the 2 especially considering what happened last year antioch and foothill played.

 

[Trivalley]

Yes. I agree that Dublin's lackluster performance vs. a very bad LL team is a reason for concern.
If that's the team that comes out against an Amador then Amador should prevail. If it's the same team that got up for CAMPO then it's game on.

You must admit that Dublin's defense, limiting 9 points per game is impressive in the high scoring DFAL. What that will translate to in a match up with a EBAL team I just don't know. The offense will need to score 21 to 24 points to beat Amador. OR the defense will need to score as they did against CAMPO and Acalanes.

Score comparisons:

Amador 27-14 over Heritage
Heritage 28-25 over Acalanes
Dublin 17-0 over Acalanes
Amador 34-6 over Northgate
Northgate 41-35 over Las Lomas


Amador 29-22 over Granada
Granada 20-7 over Deer Valley
Campo 42-29 over Deer Valley
Campo 14-10 over Dublin
Campo 59-21 over Las Lomas

.

 

[Trivalley]

Foothill is better off with (3) seed if it means not facing a rival like Amador in a game where anything can happen.

 

[UnknownToMankind]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan - should they play their second stringers to get out of DLS's bracket?
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

I think 1-9 is what we will see as well as 14. 10-13 is up for grabs. I like Dublin's chances against Amador or even Freedom is they drop down to 11. Last meeting between Dublin and Amador, Amador won 21-14 in a close one. I know I am a fan of Dublin but I think they have a realistic chance of being a bracket buster this year.

(1) DLS
BYE

(8)CAL
(9)Logan

(4)Monte Vista
(13) Dougherty Valley

(5) Pitt
(12) San Leandro
____________________________________________

(2) Antioch
BYE

(7) Amador
(10) Dublin

(3) Foothill
(14) Irvington

(6)Freedom
(11) Liberty

If Liberty makes it, they will be 5-5 with Freedom 5-5 which means Liberty would be ranked a over Freedom because that means they beat Freedom.

 

[UnknownToMankind]

Speaking of Rivalries, foothill and Amador still have to play, Pitt and Antioch too, Dougherty and Dublin too, freedom and Liberty too... So much could Happen. But it is fun to play out the scenarios.

Liberty could beat Pitt this week and that could shuffle some things as well, Cal could shock MV, San Leandro could lose...love this time of the year.

 

[Streak One]

There is too much emphasis on seeding. It is all about matchups and being on the other side of the bracket from De La Salle. Depending how the bracket shakes out, a 6 seed could be a good spot for a team that is playing good football down the stretch.

 

[EastBayDad]

Foothill will likely get the 2 over Antioch. Strength of schedule makes sense. If Antioch can beat Pitt for the first time in a decade I think they deserve the 3, Mv 4, Pitt 5,

 

[mshNASTY]

There is too much emphasis on seeding. It is all about matchups and being on the other side of the bracket from De La Salle. Depending how the bracket shakes out, a 6 seed could be a good spot for a team that is playing good football down the stretch.

Couldn't agree more. The 2,3 or 6 slot is where you want to be seeded if you want to become NCS D1 public school champs

 

[Bluedog2]

Foothill will likely get the 2 over Antioch. Strength of schedule makes sense. If Antioch can beat Pitt for the first time in a decade I think they deserve the 3, Mv 4, Pitt 5,

The key to Antioch's success when they meet Pittsburg and then go into the playoff is their defense. I think this is their weak spot...Good example of this was when Antioch's offense turned the tide against Liberty when the defense could not slow the Lion's down...If the Antioch offense for what ever reason does not produce, they will be in trouble...

 

[Trivalley]

The key is to not get a seed on DLS's side. 2 or 3 doesn't really matter. 8 and 9 are terrible as is 4. Nobody has a chance to beat DLS.

 

[ThunderRam]

The key is to not get a seed on DLS's side.

In all seriousness, I gotta ask why? To win that dang thing, you're going to have to face and beat them at some point. What difference does it make if it's the Quarterfinals, Semi's or Finals? If a team was fortunate enough (and good enough) to beat them in an earlier round, that team is most likely going to win the championship anyway.

 

[1315]

I cannot agree with "nobody has a chance" in D1. The Bells almost pulled it off. AV in '08 was leading at the half with a so-so team but a dynamic QB. Cal had them on the ropes in week 10 in both '08 and '10. Cal's very so-so D held them and their very experienced QB to three TDs in '11. It's going to take some very athletic skill players, along with the one of the best group of linemen a school's ever had, and upset. It CAN be done. They are ripe to the be the USA 72 hoops team or the 80 hockey Russians. Overconfident (which Lad always checked) and unbeaten. Simply youtube their Florida game at STA. Aquinas really didn't have a good team that year, but a wet ball, away game, main RBs hurt. Bad loss. But as Nasty says above, public school champs is nothing to sneeze at. But some of the faithful will.

 

[2016chd]

Freedom too high at at 6.
Regarding Antioch's vs. Foothill's SOS.
Both beat San Leandro and Freedom by similar scores.
Antioch's Rancho Cotate and Pinole wins were ho hum, However the Milpitas victory is far better than the Castro Valley and Stagg wins by Foothill.
If Antioch beats Pitt, they deserve 2.

 

[paul_johnson884]

Good post 1315.
AV actually led in the 4th quarter of that game.
MV only lost by 7 in 2009.

 

[Paloma]

Freedom too high at at 6.
Regarding Antioch's vs. Foothill's SOS.
Both beat San Leandro and Freedom by similar scores.
Antioch's Rancho Cotate and Pinole wins were ho hum, However the Milpitas victory is far better than the Castro Valley and Stagg wins by Foothill.
If Antioch beats Pitt, they deserve 2.

But Foothill will have ran the table against the EBAL which makes their strength of schedule slightly tougher than Antioch's. If Pittsburg beats Antioch, do they deserve to be a 2 seed? Probably not because you would say they lost to Monte vista and Foothill beat Monte Vista. So the X factor in all of this will be Monte Vista. Monte Vista beat Pitt, Foothill beat Monte Vista, so I think the Pitt/Antioch winner will be 3 or 4 seed. Pitt has to be beat Liberty still and Monte Vista has to beat Cal this week so things will get clearer real soon. Those are two big games tomorrow night.

 

[Foothills_Finest]

Freedom too high at at 6.
Regarding Antioch's vs. Foothill's SOS.
Both beat San Leandro and Freedom by similar scores.
Antioch's Rancho Cotate and Pinole wins were ho hum, However the Milpitas victory is far better than the Castro Valley and Stagg wins by Foothill.
If Antioch beats Pitt, they deserve 2.

The 5 teams you named after freedom are all non noteworthy teams so they do not factor into SOS. Antioch hasn't played someone of Monte Vista caliber yet. Foothill has faced toughest team and EBAL is usually considered tougher league.

 

[mshNASTY]

In all seriousness, I gotta ask why? To win that dang thing, you're going to have to face and beat them at some point. What difference does it make if it's the Quarterfinals, Semi's or Finals? If a team was fortunate enough (and good enough) to beat them in an earlier round, that team is most likely going to win the championship anyway.

It's a valid point. After 23-24 straight years of NCS championship game blowouts they are in every D1 teams head where reaching the finals is a goal and winning it would inspire a Disney movie unfortunately. I'm not saying that all teams feel they have no chance against DLS or lose before they show up but I never hear "this is the year we are going to win NCS and go to state" coming from d1 programs. It's probably how Navy feels every year playing Notre Dame, the team plays hard against long odds and every 40 years they'll sneak up on them. Somebody is going to beat them in NCS in the future, until then the 2,3,6 seeds are where you want to be.

 

[observer22]

If Cal gets beat by MV this week, they may slip down further than #8, as they face DLS in week #10 and would most likely end up losing their last 4 to end up at 5-5. They would still be a tough out in round 1 for whoever gets them, but they'll need a good effort this week vs MV prior to the DLS game to stay in the top tier.

 

[2016chd]

With Cal beating MV tonight, how will that shake up the NCS seedings?
I'm not sure it will much if any at all.

 

[Trivalley]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

Looking at my previous posting I don't think it changes much 1-8. MV can't drop below Pitt. CAL lost to Amador. Amador lost to Freedom. So no movement there. Amador looks stuck too.

 

[observer22]

MV still has to beat SRV next week to stay ahead of AV and Cal.

 

[UnknownToMankind]

Liberty still has to beat Freedom next week to get in

 

[Paloma]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

Looking at my previous posting I don't think it changes much 1-8. MV can't drop below Pitt. CAL lost to Amador. Amador lost to Freedom. So no movement there. Amador looks stuck too.

So you're predicting Antioch over Pitt? If the Pitt defense that I saw tonight shows up, the game next week is going to be unbelievable. They dominated Liberty. Unfortunate watching the antics on Liberty's sidelines by Thompson. I'll just leave it at that. Don't ask me to elaborate.

 

[observer22]

Why does MV have to stay at #4? They are currently tied for 3rd in the EBAL, lost to Cal at home tonight for their 3rd loss and there's no reason why they should stay that high, especially if they lose to SRV next week.
To say they have to stay ahead of Pitt because they beat them is like saying they have to stay behind Cal since they lost to them. Chances are they beat SRV next week and AV loses to Foothill and there's a likely 3 way tie for 2nd-3rd-4th behind Foothill.
Have to see what all plays out next week in the always unpredictable rivalry games.

 

[UnknownToMankind]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

Looking at my previous posting I don't think it changes much 1-8. MV can't drop below Pitt. CAL lost to Amador. Amador lost to Freedom. So no movement there. Amador looks stuck too.

AMADOR VS FOOTHILL FOR THE LEAGUE TITLE NEXT FRIDAY... With an Amador win, that makes things real wacky. I believe they match up well against Foothill scheme wise.

 

[observer22]

Amador shocked Foothill last year in the final week, and has even more incentive this year with the EBAL title on the line. That game and the Pitt-Antioch BVAL title game will both be huge in the NCS D1 seedlings. Pitt usually has the upper hand in this rivalry but it looks like Antioch has a decent shot this time around. Should be fun.

 

[TMJA]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

Looking at my previous posting I don't think it changes much 1-8. MV can't drop below Pitt. CAL lost to Amador. Amador lost to Freedom. So no movement there. Amador looks stuck too.

List looks solid, but Amador can climb if they play tough vs Foothill.

 

[UnknownToMankind]

I heard a rumor Irvington has to forfeit some games...anyone know?

 

[EBALISBEAST]

Things should get a little weird in Pleasanton next Friday. Lets pack the house! Looking forward to a great crosstown rival game!

 

[HAS]

1. DLS
2. Antioch
3. Foothill
4. Monte Vista
5. Pitt
6. Freedom
7. Amador
8. CAL
9. Logan
10. Dublin
11. Liberty
12.San Leandro
13. Dougherty Valley
14. Irvington

Looking at my previous posting I don't think it changes much 1-8. MV can't drop below Pitt. CAL lost to Amador. Amador lost to Freedom. So no movement there. Amador looks stuck too.

Amador, Freedom, Cal doesn't work anymore because Cal has the best win (Monte Vista).

 

[Trivalley]

Amador, freedom, mv , cal are basically all battling to play DV which would be a very favorable match up. Dublin is the low seed match up nobody wants.

 

[NorCalScout]

Dougherty is horrible and has zero wins against a team with a winning record. Here is the combined record of the teams they've beat 9-45, it's a shame they will make the playoffs. One of the worst programs over the past 7-8 years. Teams are begging to play this poorly coached team.

 

[Trivalley]

A CAL vs. DV match up would bring in the cash for NCS.

 

[observer22]

A CAL vs. DV match up would bring in the cash for NCS.

They played 2 years ago and not very many people attended the blowout. Not sure this year would be any different. DV is more of a rival of Dublin at this point in time. Maybe after they have been in the same league for a few years and if DV ever gets their program in gear they can become rivals in football.

 

[TMJA]

Minus the Green Machine, this will definitely be one of the more even matched playoffs that D1 has had in a while (the top half).