SFL is setting up to be "interesting". Whose is it?
One may think that Sac taking down Folsom could leave you with "where is Folsom really at"? Sure they lost a lot last year but they have shown year in and year out that they can reload. Is something amiss in the Dawg house? Are they just in a temporal funk like Del Oro was last year and will pull out in next few games? I'm not buying the "uh oh Folsom is in trouble" line for a myriad of reasons. One reason being they ran into very underrated Sac team that matched up well with Folsom and IMO did what most teams should do playing Folsom and that is to disrupt their receivers(at least that is what I hear happened). "If" indeed a key factor is that Folsom is "down" much more than they have been in say the last ~8years, more so than we all know, then we will see the how well the coaching staff can coach them up. Personally I think Folsom will hit their groove as they have a "plug-and-play" system with some great coaches.
Let's look the SFL ordinal ranking based purely on CalPreps so we have a means to start(formatting never seems to work out but there will be 4 columns with below respective data, you may have to eyeball alignment):
Team------------- W/L------Rating------SOS
Del Oro---------- 4-0------- 57.7-------- 31
Folsom---------- 3-1------- 50.7-------- 33.7
Rocklin---------- 3-1------- 45---------- 38.5
Oak Ridge------ 3-1------- 43.2-------- 28.9
Granite Bay----- 1-3------- 25---------- 35.8
Nevada Union-- 2-2------- 19.5-------- 20.2
Woodcreek----- 2-2------- 15.9-------- 19.7
By the numbers Rocklin has played the toughest schedule through the first 4 games followed by GB.
I have only seen DO play and no other SFL team so my general observations and ranking below are based on what I read, conversations with other fans and historical performance. I will likely dig into numbers and add some observations later based on stats but I'll start with my gut. Here is how I rank the SFL teams going into the start of the league play:
#1 Folsom
The team to beat in the SFL and are top Dawgs until proven otherwise. I think they hit a groove as I believe in their coaching & system.
#2 Del Oro
I know seeing almost every DO game since 1999 that they typically start slow and is a process to get them to a playoff caliber level but they have proven they can do that time and again. Also having seen DO play for many years I'm not comfortable that they have a strong run game this year. Sure I can gather data and analyze and produce a data driven opinion but from what I've seen and expect, especially with returning O-line and RB, they are underperforming in their run game. Bells stuffed DO run game in 2nd half and they have not had the success at least that I expected thus far running the rock. Where they are underperforming in their run game they are performing in their pass game. QB Smartt is quietly delivering the goods with his arm and decisions. Run defense better than their pass defense but that has been, IMO, DO's pattern for years. Overall defense is good and good enough to start SFL play and expect good things. Coaching has another notch in their belt as they have proven they can coach up a 2-6 team into a state champion. With a lot of return players and good coaching I expect a strong showing in SFL play.
#3 Rocklin
To me, the thing with Rocklin is they are always good and they always seem to sneak up on you. What I mean by sneak up on you is that they don't always get a ton of rep on these boards or in other media but they hit the playoffs and start punching everyone in the mouth. QB Nolan seems solid with decent numbers through the first 3 games: 174yards/game with 100 QB rating. Don't know much about running game and their defense is always solid with good coaching. They will compete as usual and certainly a candidate to take the SFL. They are two points from a perfect record losing a very close loss to Grant. Grant 21, Rocklin 20. Does a tougher pre league position them stronger than the other SFL teams before SFL league play begins? ThunderRam knows Rocklin the best and can color where they are.
#4 Oak Ridge
Like Rocklin will be solid as always. Lost a great QB. I just don't know a lot about OR this year but Mr. LaryLegend does and I'll take his word they are and will be solid. Definitely a candidate for SFL crown.
#5 Granite Bay
They are down this year or at least that is my observation so far. If we look at just one game, their margin of loss to Whitney, 41(Cats)-21(GB) vs Rocklin beating Whitney in the Quarry Bowl by 1point and Oak Ridge beating Vacaville 41-15 where GB lost to Vacaville 23-46 then they are appropriately ranked. Could be tough sailing for GB with Folsom/DO/Rocklin/OR. Not enough to go on to know how good GB coach is and factor coaching will have rest of the season.
#6 Nevada Union
Yes, NU over the Creek. They took Napa to OT and lost on a 2pt play gamble according to Kevin. NU appears to be climbing out of the depths.
#7 Woodcreek
Where is this program headed?
So based on performance so far and historical factors whose SFL will it be?
One may think that Sac taking down Folsom could leave you with "where is Folsom really at"? Sure they lost a lot last year but they have shown year in and year out that they can reload. Is something amiss in the Dawg house? Are they just in a temporal funk like Del Oro was last year and will pull out in next few games? I'm not buying the "uh oh Folsom is in trouble" line for a myriad of reasons. One reason being they ran into very underrated Sac team that matched up well with Folsom and IMO did what most teams should do playing Folsom and that is to disrupt their receivers(at least that is what I hear happened). "If" indeed a key factor is that Folsom is "down" much more than they have been in say the last ~8years, more so than we all know, then we will see the how well the coaching staff can coach them up. Personally I think Folsom will hit their groove as they have a "plug-and-play" system with some great coaches.
Let's look the SFL ordinal ranking based purely on CalPreps so we have a means to start(formatting never seems to work out but there will be 4 columns with below respective data, you may have to eyeball alignment):
Team------------- W/L------Rating------SOS
Del Oro---------- 4-0------- 57.7-------- 31
Folsom---------- 3-1------- 50.7-------- 33.7
Rocklin---------- 3-1------- 45---------- 38.5
Oak Ridge------ 3-1------- 43.2-------- 28.9
Granite Bay----- 1-3------- 25---------- 35.8
Nevada Union-- 2-2------- 19.5-------- 20.2
Woodcreek----- 2-2------- 15.9-------- 19.7
By the numbers Rocklin has played the toughest schedule through the first 4 games followed by GB.
I have only seen DO play and no other SFL team so my general observations and ranking below are based on what I read, conversations with other fans and historical performance. I will likely dig into numbers and add some observations later based on stats but I'll start with my gut. Here is how I rank the SFL teams going into the start of the league play:
#1 Folsom
The team to beat in the SFL and are top Dawgs until proven otherwise. I think they hit a groove as I believe in their coaching & system.
#2 Del Oro
I know seeing almost every DO game since 1999 that they typically start slow and is a process to get them to a playoff caliber level but they have proven they can do that time and again. Also having seen DO play for many years I'm not comfortable that they have a strong run game this year. Sure I can gather data and analyze and produce a data driven opinion but from what I've seen and expect, especially with returning O-line and RB, they are underperforming in their run game. Bells stuffed DO run game in 2nd half and they have not had the success at least that I expected thus far running the rock. Where they are underperforming in their run game they are performing in their pass game. QB Smartt is quietly delivering the goods with his arm and decisions. Run defense better than their pass defense but that has been, IMO, DO's pattern for years. Overall defense is good and good enough to start SFL play and expect good things. Coaching has another notch in their belt as they have proven they can coach up a 2-6 team into a state champion. With a lot of return players and good coaching I expect a strong showing in SFL play.
#3 Rocklin
To me, the thing with Rocklin is they are always good and they always seem to sneak up on you. What I mean by sneak up on you is that they don't always get a ton of rep on these boards or in other media but they hit the playoffs and start punching everyone in the mouth. QB Nolan seems solid with decent numbers through the first 3 games: 174yards/game with 100 QB rating. Don't know much about running game and their defense is always solid with good coaching. They will compete as usual and certainly a candidate to take the SFL. They are two points from a perfect record losing a very close loss to Grant. Grant 21, Rocklin 20. Does a tougher pre league position them stronger than the other SFL teams before SFL league play begins? ThunderRam knows Rocklin the best and can color where they are.
#4 Oak Ridge
Like Rocklin will be solid as always. Lost a great QB. I just don't know a lot about OR this year but Mr. LaryLegend does and I'll take his word they are and will be solid. Definitely a candidate for SFL crown.
#5 Granite Bay
They are down this year or at least that is my observation so far. If we look at just one game, their margin of loss to Whitney, 41(Cats)-21(GB) vs Rocklin beating Whitney in the Quarry Bowl by 1point and Oak Ridge beating Vacaville 41-15 where GB lost to Vacaville 23-46 then they are appropriately ranked. Could be tough sailing for GB with Folsom/DO/Rocklin/OR. Not enough to go on to know how good GB coach is and factor coaching will have rest of the season.
#6 Nevada Union
Yes, NU over the Creek. They took Napa to OT and lost on a 2pt play gamble according to Kevin. NU appears to be climbing out of the depths.
#7 Woodcreek
Where is this program headed?
So based on performance so far and historical factors whose SFL will it be?
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