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SJS Playoff Brackets

Thanks Streak.
My thoughts on first 4

D1. OR vs Folsom in rematch of last year with Folsom winning by 21+. OR is playing very well but I don't see anybody challenging Folsom in SJS.
D2. Absolutely the best division. loaded. I don't see Rocklin winning. I was really disappointed with them against OR. In fact they will have a tough time with Manteca. I like St Mary's or Grant to prevail but I'm leaning more toward St Marys.
D3 - Oakdale has played a really good schedule with a recent close loss to Manteca. I think they are in good position to come out ahead.
D4- Twelve Bridges rolls. Probably time for them to move up a div or 2.
 
Thanks Streak.
My thoughts on first 4

D1. OR vs Folsom in rematch of last year with Folsom winning by 21+. OR is playing very well but I don't see anybody challenging Folsom in SJS.
D2. Absolutely the best division. loaded. I don't see Rocklin winning. I was really disappointed with them against OR. In fact they will have a tough time with Manteca. I like St Mary's or Grant to prevail but I'm leaning more toward St Marys.
D3 - Oakdale has played a really good schedule with a recent close loss to Manteca. I think they are in good position to come out ahead.
D4- Twelve Bridges rolls. Probably time for them to move up a div or 2.
Pump the brakes on the Twelve Bridges thing. They have had 2 good seasons in a row. No section championship. Being a new school it gets athletes. Like Pitman. For the first few years they dominated Turlock. Now the new wore out. Now Turlock dominate then.
After reading the projections for CCS it's confusing. In SJS You know where you play in playoffs. It works,but there are flaws. In my opinion. Central Catholic has to play D1. They are not a D1 team. D2 but not D1. But I do agree with the rest of your post. My worries are Oakdale winning this year
And most likely again next year. Wes Burford is only a jr. So is the whole back field. In Oakdale. They would be pushed to D2. Oakdale is a D3 team. Enrollment they are D4. But from continued success they have to play D3. That's where they belong! Going to check out Downey again this week. Hopefully run into Carl!
 
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Pump the brakes on the Twelve Bridges thing. They have had 2 good seasons in a row. No section championship. Being a new school it gets athletes. Like Pitman. For the first few years they dominated Turlock. Now the new wore out. Now Turlock dominate then.
After reading the projections for CCS it's confusing. In SJS You know where you play in playoffs. It works,but there are flaws. In my opinion. Central Catholic has to play D1. They are not a D1 team. D2 but not D1. But I do agree with the rest of your post. My worries are Oakdale winning this year
And most likely again next year. Wes Burford is only a jr. So is the whole back field. In Oakdale. They would be pushed to D2. Oakdale is a D3 team. Enrollment they are D4. But from continued success they have to play D3. That's where they belong! Going to check out Downey again this week. Hopefully run into Carl!
I’ll be there this week, so look for me.
 
Since the SJS changed the way their teams is slated in the Divisions, SJS D1 has become the worst playoff Bracket in Nor Cal…..

All the best teams are in D2, pretty dumb…. Need to move to a Competitive equity format where all the best teams are in D1…. I am sure none of the schools care though because no one wants their season ended by Folsom…. 🤣
 
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Since the SJS changed the way their teams is slated in the Divisions, SJS D1 has become the worst playoff Bracket in Nor Cal…..

All the best teams are in D2, pretty dumb…. Need to move to a Competitive equity format where all the best teams are in D1…. I am sure none of the schools care though because no one wants their season ended by Folsom…. 🤣
I *think* (no facts to back anything up, just an opinion/feeling) that the SJS office believes they set up a long term competitive equity format with the "continued success" aspect of their playoff format/rules. In their mind, I think, the good programs will continue to move up, regardless of enrollment size and everything will be sorted out over the years. Right or wrong, my opinion is that this is the general thinking of the SJS office.
 
Thanks Streak.
My thoughts on first 4

D1. OR vs Folsom in rematch of last year with Folsom winning by 21+. OR is playing very well but I don't see anybody challenging Folsom in SJS.
D2. Absolutely the best division. loaded. I don't see Rocklin winning. I was really disappointed with them against OR. In fact they will have a tough time with Manteca. I like St Mary's or Grant to prevail but I'm leaning more toward St Marys.
D3 - Oakdale has played a really good schedule with a recent close loss to Manteca. I think they are in good position to come out ahead.
D4- Twelve Bridges rolls. Probably time for them to move up a div or 2.
Agreed. Also, I wouldn't be surprised if either St. Mary's, Manteca or Grant wins D2. All three of those teams are darn good.
 
Folsom will win d1

Rocklin beat st Mary the last 2 years

51-48
17-6

But I like St Mary this year

Grant a dark horse

Twelve bridges got the other 1
 
Since the SJS changed the way their teams is slated in the Divisions, SJS D1 has become the worst playoff Bracket in Nor Cal…..

All the best teams are in D2, pretty dumb…. Need to move to a Competitive equity format where all the best teams are in D1…. I am sure none of the schools care though because no one wants their season ended by Folsom…. 🤣
it's cyclical. and it depends on the enrollments, which changes every year.

but some years D1 is stronger, some years it's D2, in any sjs format.
I *think* (no facts to back anything up, just an opinion/feeling) that the SJS office believes they set up a long term competitive equity format with the "continued success" aspect of their playoff format/rules. In their mind, I think, the good programs will continue to move up, regardless of enrollment size and everything will be sorted out over the years. Right or wrong, my opinion is that this is the general thinking of the SJS office.
This is totally true.

The sjs format is an enrollment based system, with a slow crawl towards competitive equity. Central Catholic slow crawled their way into D1. 2012 was their first D4 championship. they won 3 in a row, then won D3 in 2015, Lost in D2 2nd rd 2016, lost in semis D2 2017, lost in finals D2 2018, lost in 2nd rd D2 2019, won D2 in 2021, then got bumped up to D1, where they made the semis twice. so on it's face, Central Catholic has earned it's way into D1, and are staying competitive, as they are the 3 seed this year.
If it were true competitive equity, they would be ranked just inside the top 10 (maxpreps has them ranked #8 in the section) and would be D1 fodder or D2 contender. ... how would that work? true competitive equity would mean they are in a D1 8 or 12 team bracket, no?

anyways, that's the sjs, like it or not. I don't mind it. there is no perfect playoff system for high school. I take that back: the only perfect playoff is a true championship open division (state or section)... with consolation 'division' championships to increase the number of schools making the playoffs. KEY WORD on CONSOLATION. but someone will always be unhappy.
 
Thanks Streak.
My thoughts on first 4

D1. OR vs Folsom in rematch of last year with Folsom winning by 21+. OR is playing very well but I don't see anybody challenging Folsom in SJS.
D2. Absolutely the best division. loaded. I don't see Rocklin winning. I was really disappointed with them against OR. In fact they will have a tough time with Manteca. I like St Mary's or Grant to prevail but I'm leaning more toward St Marys.
D3 - Oakdale has played a really good schedule with a recent close loss to Manteca. I think they are in good position to come out ahead.
D4- Twelve Bridges rolls. Probably time for them to move up a div or 2.
D1 ... Agree, Folsom steamrolls to another SJS D1 section championship!

D2 ... I also agree that D2 will be the most competitive division for SJS playoffs. I wouldn't sell Rocklin short. They lost to a tough OR. OR has had the strongest SoS in the entire section, including Folsom. Rocklin still has a young talented QB in Reeve Slone and IMHO has the best defense in the SJS D2 division and their offense with Slone is very, very good. Outside of Folsom and OR, no team has held Rocklin to less than 35 points. Rocklin is the #1 seed in D2 for a reason. Sure, St. Mary's, Grant, and Manteca will be tough competition.

St. Mary's probably has the most explosive offense of the bunch. But, their defense is good, not great, but better than last year. Sometimes they have gotten beat on broken coverage and have given up some long runs. Lincoln Trojans dominated the time of possession much of the game. The Trojans were only able to put up 7 points. But, the low scoring is much due to failure to convert on 4th down deep in the Rams territory a few times. Lincoln and other teams have figured that it is better to go for it on 4th down than punt the ball and give the Rams offense the opportunity to put up points on the scoreboard. Several teams have also pooched kick or attempted onsides kicks against the Rams for this same reason. The Rams main weapons on offense are junior #3 Kenneth Moore III and sophomore sensation #13 Osani Gayles. Just put the ball in their hands and watch them do their thing.

Grant has size and speed and let's not forget that they beat Rocklin last year in the NorCal regional game after Rocklin defeated St. Mary's. Grant has cruised thru league with least resistance than any of these top 4 D2 teams. But, their SoS (17.7) is well below that of St. Mary's (23.2) and Rocklin's (21.7), much due to their league competition. A potential semi-final matchup between Grant @ St. Mary's is going to be epic, a shootout, and victorious for the team that can capitalize on turnovers. And although Grant has size and speed, IMHO, I do believe the Rams may have a bit more speed and their dual threat 2nd string QB Moses Alexander I believe will be the difference maker. Moses can fly! The Rams offense is even much better since his availability to play (due to transfer from Lincoln-Stockton). He adds an additional dimension that causes the opponent to have to practice against. As a homer, I will take St. Mary's in this game. But, in no way is it going to be easy. Grant could possibly steal this one from the Rams on Sanguinetti Field.

Manteca is probably the sleeper out of this group. Their only loss was a 28-29 loss to Marin Catholic. They do have a victory over Central Catholic, another common opponent of St. Mary's. The Rams won both of their games vs these two teams. Manteca also had a more dominant victory vs Lincoln-Stockton, another common opponent, and also a common opponent for Rocklin. Manteca, although has the weakest SoS (13.6), appears to have had a much easier victory vs Lincoln-Stockton than St. Mary's and Rocklin, with both SM and Rocklin struggling to get out of the gate early on before winning big, as well. The SoS may haunt Manteca once they potentially face off against Rocklin in the other semi-finals. I'm picking Rocklin.

I'm predicting a Rocklin vs St. Mary's rematch in the SJS D2 finals. Rocklin's defense vs the Rams offense was key last year. Will it be strong enough this year to slow down/stop the Rams speedsters this year. Hopefully, this is the finals matchup we will all see (bias on my part). Rocklin the #1 seed IMHO will be the favorite. Don't let their loss to OR sway you to think otherwise.

D3 ... Oakdale, like Folsom, steamrolls to another SJS section championship.

D4 ... 12 Bridges DITTO!

D2 is the SJS division that is going to be the MOST ENTERTAINING, especially when it gets to the semi-finals.
 
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