I was going to do another round of WCAL rankings according to my view but I decided to wait until after the Serra @ Riordan game this afternoon. This game has more intrigue than I first gave thought to. At face value, these teams look pretty evenly matched. Both are 3/2 in league and 4/4 for the season thus far.
Riordan appears to have more D1 horsepower than Serra. However, the Crusaders have not been able to maximize on that benefit. Serra does have a better pre-league schedule with a now puzzling win over SJS frontrunner Folsom. Additionally they took on other state top ranked DLS and SJB teams. On their schedule, they have these state ranked teams according to CalHiSports; 3) SJB, 5) DLS, 10) Folsom, 18) SF, and 27) SI. Serra, themselves are ranked #28 by CalHiSports. They have a 1-4 record with these teams.
In comparison, Riordan fell out the CalHiSports top 50 state rankings mid-October after their loss to VC. They obviously do have the same league mates. Overall their play to date include 11) Pittsburg, and 27) SI. They are 0-2 with those ranked teams. AR still have 18) SF and today's game with 28) Serra. So far, they do not have a quality win in their pocket. Today might change that factor.
Overall, Serra should win this game handedly. As being a part of NorCalPreps Pick'em game this week, 28 contestants gave their confidence ranking for this game. 25 contestants picked Serra to win with an average confidence rating of 5.28 out of 10. 3 contestants choose Riordan to win with an average confidence rating of 3.33 out of 10. By this game factor, most contestants believe Serra will win but not with high level of confidence.
I chose Serra to win but I also observed that Serra is statistically lagging recently while Riordan appears to plateaued and possibly ready to rise again. Riordan has the firepower but Serra has that better coaching staff. Should be a good game.