While the kids where out of school for the summer i got some much needed rest and i got to enjoy the break from all the drama and paperwork! Now, School is getting ready to start back up soooooooooo that means Football season is upon us as well! With that said i needed to lock in on a final prediction on the big game. Before making my final prediction i used some of my free time to look a lil closer at both teams from the last time they played on 12/14/13 until the next time they will face off again on 8/17/18. Honestly the data i found made my prediction more difficult. Both teams have been so good its hard to pick. Consistency, Discipline, and tradition Or Focus, Determination, and pride? The teacher or the student? The leader or the follower? The champ or the underdog? Idk so Lets throw all that out and look at some numbers. Numbers based on wins/loss record, state championships, key wins(victories over section or state champs), loss record (with team, team record, and what game/part of the season the loss occurred), and last years schedule and results. I know most of you may have already made your pick and have no intentions of being persuaded to change, but i thought it would be interesting to take a look at the info.
Fellow posters,,, Curious to know, if you knew nothing about either team and you only had to base your prediction on the below data, who would you pick to win and why (please lets avoid the name calling and keep it respectful).
DLS..................................................................... Folsom
50-6..................................................................... 58-4
(2) State champs................................................(2) State champs
(10) key wins.......................................................(9) key wins
- Del Oro 2015 (10-6) *State Champ................. - Del Oro 2015 (10-6) *State Champ
- St Francis 2017 (11-4) *State Champ............. - Oceanside 2014 (14-1) Section Champ
- St John, Dc 2017 (9-2) *State Champ.............- Grant 2014 (14-1) Section Champ
- Folsom 2013 (14-1) Section Champ................- Clayton Valley Charter 2015 (13-2) Sect Cmp
- Centennial 2014 (12-3) Section Champ...........- Del Oro 2015 (10-6) Section Champ
- Centennial 2015 (14-1) Section Champ...........- Del Oro 2016 (13-3) Section Champ
- Del Oro 2015 (10-6) Section Champ.................- Granite Bay 2017 (12-3) Section Champ
- Monte Vista 2016 (12-1) Section Champ.........- Central 2017 (12-2) Section Champ
- Serra 2016 (10-5) Section Champ.....................- Helix 2017 (13-2) Section Champ
- Centra 2017 (12-2) Section Champ
(6) Losses ................................................................4) Losses
-StJohnBosco 2013(13-2)State chmp/Game 15...-DeLaSalle 2013(14-1)state runner up/Gm 15
-East,Ut 2014 (14-0) State Champ/Game 4...........-Bellermine 2015(13-2) state runner up/Gm15
-Trinity,Tx 2015 (10-2) Game 1...............................-St Mary's 2016 (14-2) state runner up/Gm14
-StJohnBosco 2016 (13-2) State Chmp/Gme13...-Sacramento 2016 (10-2) Game 4
-Bishop Gorman,Nv 2017 (13-2)State Chmp/Game 4
-Mater Dei 2017 (15-0) State Champ/Game 13
* DLS has suffered an early season loss three years in a row and a loss late in the season the past two years.
* Folsom has suffered (3) of there four losses late in the year in championship games when everything was on the line.
2017
Dls 11-2...................................................Folsom 16-0
-Amador Valley 7-5.................................-Coeur d lene, Id 9-3
-St John, Dc 9-2......................................-Jesuit 10-3
-St Francis 11-4......................................-Oakdale 12-2
-Bishop Gorman,Nv 13-2.......................-Sacramento 10-2
-Central 12-2....?.....................................-Wood Creek 2-8
-BishopODowd 9-3.................................-Granite Bay 12-3
-California 7-4........................................-Del Oro 8-6
-Foothill 8-4............................................-Nevade Union 2-8
-Monte Vista 4-7....................................-Rocklin 7-5
-San Ramon Valley 9-2..........................-Oak Ridge 11-2
-Clayton Valley Charter 8-3...................-River City 7-4
-Pittsburg 9-3.........................................-Tracy 8-4
-Mater Dei 15-0......................................-Jesuit 10-3
................................................................-St Marys 11-3
................................................................-Central 12-2
................................................................-Helix 13-2
*Both teams had good schedules and were battle tested in 2017. Based on the above info, For me it comes down to what part of the season the game is played. Since the game is being played week 0, and dls has lost early in the year the last three seasons, i would have to guess to me Folsom is barely favored in this game. My best guess FOLSOM 43-41
Fellow posters,,, Curious to know, if you knew nothing about either team and you only had to base your prediction on the below data, who would you pick to win and why (please lets avoid the name calling and keep it respectful).
DLS..................................................................... Folsom
50-6..................................................................... 58-4
(2) State champs................................................(2) State champs
(10) key wins.......................................................(9) key wins
- Del Oro 2015 (10-6) *State Champ................. - Del Oro 2015 (10-6) *State Champ
- St Francis 2017 (11-4) *State Champ............. - Oceanside 2014 (14-1) Section Champ
- St John, Dc 2017 (9-2) *State Champ.............- Grant 2014 (14-1) Section Champ
- Folsom 2013 (14-1) Section Champ................- Clayton Valley Charter 2015 (13-2) Sect Cmp
- Centennial 2014 (12-3) Section Champ...........- Del Oro 2015 (10-6) Section Champ
- Centennial 2015 (14-1) Section Champ...........- Del Oro 2016 (13-3) Section Champ
- Del Oro 2015 (10-6) Section Champ.................- Granite Bay 2017 (12-3) Section Champ
- Monte Vista 2016 (12-1) Section Champ.........- Central 2017 (12-2) Section Champ
- Serra 2016 (10-5) Section Champ.....................- Helix 2017 (13-2) Section Champ
- Centra 2017 (12-2) Section Champ
(6) Losses ................................................................4) Losses
-StJohnBosco 2013(13-2)State chmp/Game 15...-DeLaSalle 2013(14-1)state runner up/Gm 15
-East,Ut 2014 (14-0) State Champ/Game 4...........-Bellermine 2015(13-2) state runner up/Gm15
-Trinity,Tx 2015 (10-2) Game 1...............................-St Mary's 2016 (14-2) state runner up/Gm14
-StJohnBosco 2016 (13-2) State Chmp/Gme13...-Sacramento 2016 (10-2) Game 4
-Bishop Gorman,Nv 2017 (13-2)State Chmp/Game 4
-Mater Dei 2017 (15-0) State Champ/Game 13
* DLS has suffered an early season loss three years in a row and a loss late in the season the past two years.
* Folsom has suffered (3) of there four losses late in the year in championship games when everything was on the line.
2017
Dls 11-2...................................................Folsom 16-0
-Amador Valley 7-5.................................-Coeur d lene, Id 9-3
-St John, Dc 9-2......................................-Jesuit 10-3
-St Francis 11-4......................................-Oakdale 12-2
-Bishop Gorman,Nv 13-2.......................-Sacramento 10-2
-Central 12-2....?.....................................-Wood Creek 2-8
-BishopODowd 9-3.................................-Granite Bay 12-3
-California 7-4........................................-Del Oro 8-6
-Foothill 8-4............................................-Nevade Union 2-8
-Monte Vista 4-7....................................-Rocklin 7-5
-San Ramon Valley 9-2..........................-Oak Ridge 11-2
-Clayton Valley Charter 8-3...................-River City 7-4
-Pittsburg 9-3.........................................-Tracy 8-4
-Mater Dei 15-0......................................-Jesuit 10-3
................................................................-St Marys 11-3
................................................................-Central 12-2
................................................................-Helix 13-2
*Both teams had good schedules and were battle tested in 2017. Based on the above info, For me it comes down to what part of the season the game is played. Since the game is being played week 0, and dls has lost early in the year the last three seasons, i would have to guess to me Folsom is barely favored in this game. My best guess FOLSOM 43-41
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