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SJS D1 Bracket

TheFolsomBulldog

TheFolsomBulldog

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Oct 30, 2015
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Looking forward to all the match ups! The top 4 are a toss up to me.

I wanted to share some video from the other night against OR.



 
elprup said:
That's how Folsom comes out? Out of the mouth of a bulldog? Kind of a cheezy look...is there fog too? Blue field...I think it's time to go penn state...everything simple
Click to expand...
You should see Clayton Valley's comical entrance. "The Purge" theme...They come out of an inflatable Eagle, with the fog machine, fireworks and the best part....players carrying baseball bats, wearing chains around their necks... hilarious!!!
 
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townbiz24 said:
You should see Clayton Valley's comical entrance. "The Purge" theme...They come out of an inflatable Eagle, with the fog machine, fireworks and the best part....players carrying baseball bats, wearing chains around their necks... hilarious!!!
Click to expand...
Lol no way
 
TheFolsomBulldog said:
Wow. Just wow.
Click to expand...
And yes, their field is black (and you thought the smurf turf was odd!)

CVHS111714-006-1541x1027.jpg
 
Calpreps projections:

Thursday, November 10th

I PLAYOFFS

Gregori (Modesto, CA) at Elk Grove (CA), 7:00pm [projection: Elk Grove (CA) 48-0]

River City (West Sacramento, CA) at Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA), 7:00pm [projection: Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA) 48-0]

Modesto (CA) at St. Mary's (Stockton, CA), 7:00pm [projection: St. Mary's (Stockton, CA) 61-8]

Lincoln (Stockton, CA) at Turlock (CA), 7:00pm [projection: Turlock (CA) 42-26]


Friday, November 11th

I PLAYOFFS

Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove, CA) at Davis (CA), 7:00pm [projection: Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove, CA) 24-22]

Kennedy (Sacramento, CA) at Folsom (CA), 7:00pm [projection: Folsom (CA) 62-0]

Napa (CA) vs. Sheldon (Sacramento, CA) at Memorial Stadium (Napa, CA), 7:00pm [projection: Napa (CA) 24-23]

Pitman (Turlock, CA) vs. Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA) at Turlock (CA), 7:00pm [projection: Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA) 24-23
 
For this first round, there are some major blowouts for the first 5 seeds. After that, there are projected to be some close games (3).
 
Sheldon will take care of Napa in a shortened game due to both teams committing themselves to the run. Sheldon team speed is much faster and will be highly motivated in a resurgent year under coach Cat. I see it 28-14 Sheldon.
 
Round 1 results:

Elk Grove (CA) 49 Gregori (Modesto, CA) 8 [projection: Elk Grove (CA) 48-0]

Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA) 44 River City (West Sacramento, CA) 14 [projection: Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA) 48-0]

St. Mary's (Stockton, CA) 64 Modesto (CA) 7 [projection: St. Mary's (Stockton, CA) 61-8]

Turlock (CA) 42 Lincoln (Stockton, CA) 7 [projection: Turlock (CA) 42-26]

Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove, CA) 28 Davis (CA) 25 [projection: Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove, CA) 24-22]

Folsom (CA) 78 Kennedy (Sacramento, CA) 6 [projection: Folsom (CA) 62-0]

Pitman (Turlock, CA) 35 Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA) 21 [projection: Monterey Trail (Elk Grove, CA) 24-23]

Sheldon (Sacramento, CA) 37 Napa (CA) 28 [projection: Napa (CA) 24-23]

Round 2 games:

Friday, November 18th

Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove, CA) at Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA), 7:00pm

Pitman (Turlock, CA) at St. Mary's (Stockton, CA), 7:00pm

Sheldon (Sacramento, CA) at Folsom (CA), 7:00pm

Turlock (CA) at Elk Grove (CA), 7:00pm

Any projections for Round 2? Any potential upsets?

Calpreps initialprojections (on a neutral field):

[2016] Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA) 34, [2016] Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove, CA) 17

[2016] St. Mary's (Stockton, CA) 40, [2016] Pitman [John H.] (Turlock, CA) 19

[2016] Folsom (CA) 42, [2016] Sheldon (Sacramento, CA) 21

[2016] Elk Grove (CA) 28, [2016] Turlock (CA) 14
 
St. Marys wins by much larger margin over Pitman. 52-21

CO scores more than 17 -- closer game. 30-28. CO

Folsom may not score 30+ Vs Catt. 30-21. Dawgs

Elk Grove rolls Turlock. 45-21.

So much for guessing!!
 
My picks ...

St. Mary's 49 Pitman 14

Oak Ridge 38 CO 28

Folsom 42 Sheldon 14

Elk Grove 28 Turlock 31
 
St. Mary's 52 Pitman 21

Oak Ridge 31 Cosumnes Oaks 21

Sheldon 35 Folsom 33 (2008 PG Remix)

Elk Grove 35 Turlock 20

CT4L
 
I'm surprised everyone is putting the OR vs CO game that close.

I think it won't even be close at all OR will probably have their second or third stringers by the third qtr.

OR by 4+ TDs
 
I only gave a 10 pt spread because CO likes to score in garbage time to make the game look closer than it really is.
 
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CaliTrojan4Life said:
Sheldon 35 Folsom 33 (2008 PG Remix)
Click to expand...

I have wondered about this game just a little. At full strength, Sheldon seems to have some speed in the defensive secondary. Their linebackers look to be more like run stoppers than cover guys. And the DL looks to have some decent speed on the edge. If they play some nickel and put a speedier guy in the middle of the DL, they might be able to pressure the Folsom QB and hold their coverages. Don't think they will be able to sustain it all game. I think Folsom wins but its surprisingly closer than some might think. My guess would be Folsom 31, Sheldon 21.
 
ILOVETROJANFOOTBALL said:
I have wondered about this game just a little. At full strength, Sheldon seems to have some speed in the defensive secondary. Their linebackers look to be more like run stoppers than cover guys. And the DL looks to have some decent speed on the edge. If they play some nickel and put a speedier guy in the middle of the DL, they might be able to pressure the Folsom QB and hold their coverages. Don't think they will be able to sustain it all game. I think Folsom wins but its surprisingly closer than some might think. My guess would be Folsom 31, Sheldon 21.
Click to expand...
If Sheldon plays Folsom tough in the "Red Zone" this game will be very interesting for the fact that the Cattolico's ball control offense will take the air out of the clock. Folsom does not want to play from behind in this game.

CT4L
 
ILOVETROJANFOOTBALL said:
I have wondered about this game just a little. At full strength, Sheldon seems to have some speed in the defensive secondary. Their linebackers look to be more like run stoppers than cover guys. And the DL looks to have some decent speed on the edge. If they play some nickel and put a speedier guy in the middle of the DL, they might be able to pressure the Folsom QB and hold their coverages. Don't think they will be able to sustain it all game. I think Folsom wins but its surprisingly closer than some might think. My guess would be Folsom 31, Sheldon 21.
Click to expand...

I see Folsom winning by 2TD+

Napa gave Sheldon all they could handle and from what I'm hearing Napa had a few key players out with injuries. And honestly I didn't see Napa as strong as other years. IMO Folsom is a lot better than Napa I know it's all about Matchups so I might be wrong.

I'm thinking Folsom 42 Sheldon 28 with game being somewhere close at halftime but Folsom pulling away in the second half.
 
CaliTrojan4Life said:
If Sheldon plays Folsom tough in the "Red Zone" this game will be very interesting for the fact that the Cattolico's ball control offense will take the air out of the clock. Folsom does not want to play from behind in this game.

CT4L
Click to expand...
Completely agree here. Catt's ball control will wind that clock. They will chew up yards in the process as Folsom's weakest area is defending the run. See this as a field position challenge for Sheldon - if they can control the clock, chew up ground and pin Folsom.. Sheldon will need to use ball control (run and pass) while knocking down the Bulldog pass game in condensed areas.
 
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Calpreps projections are in for the semi-finals ...

Friday, November 25th

I PLAYOFFS
Elk Grove (CA) at Folsom (CA), 7:00pm [projection: Folsom (CA) 28-21]

Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills, CA) at St. Mary's (Stockton, CA), 7:00pm [projection: St. Mary's (Stockton, CA) 35-27]

I am picking Elk Grove with the upset win over Folsom, just reverse the Calprep scores ... Elk Grove 28 Folsom 21.

I respect Oak Ridge's defense, but I have a feeling St. Mary's will score an extra TD or 2 to make it ... St. Mary's Stockton 49 Oak Ridge 28. I anticipate the game will be close to start, but that St. Mary's will explode in the 2nd half. IMHO, just too much speed and too many weapons.
 
I've seen all 4 teams play this year at least a couple times. I never underestimate the thundering herd. On paper I agree withe cal preps but i'm saying weather factors into this game and EG controls the ground game in an upset 21-17.

I like St Mary's. (I have all year) I'm going to this game. They dismantled a very good Newman team starting late in the 3rd and I think they will do the same to OR. OR doesn't have the team speed or athletes this year and it will show in this game.
 
larry legend33 said:
I've seen all 4 teams play this year at least a couple times. I never underestimate the thundering herd. On paper I agree withe cal preps but i'm saying weather factors into this game and EG controls the ground game in an upset 21-17.

I like St Mary's. (I have all year) I'm going to this game. They dismantled a very good Newman team starting late in the 3rd and I think they will do the same to OR. OR doesn't have the team speed or athletes this year and it will show in this game.
Click to expand...
Almost a repeat of the Folsom-Elk Grove section game last year (35-28 Folsom). Recall Folsom needing help with 3 onside kicks in first half. Believe this one will be closer than expected. St. Mary's is hard to stop, but if OR can hold Folsom to 17 points is it out of the question for OR to hold St. Mary's under 30?
 
No Idea with these two games. Honestly any 4 of these teams could win this bracket. If it is raining I will not be at either game, my kids will be too much to handle in the rain !!! Hope they stream them online!
 
Folsom has been a thorn for Elk Grove (knocked them out of the playoffs three of the last five years). As always when talking about Folsom, it will be about how well Elk Grove can cover and if they combine it with blitzes or not.
 
If St. Mary's is healthy (note: SM was without RB Dusty Frampton after first play vs SJB), they are very difficult to stop. Their offense is not perfect. They have had their fair share of turnovers (fumbles, INT's), but barring turnovers and barring no injuries, the Rams offense just seems to roll thru everyone. True, maybe Oak Ridge presents a defense that may challenge the Rams' offense. But, from what I have seen on tape, there is a distinct difference in speed and athleticism. If teams focus on Dewey Cotton and Dusty Frampton, they turn to Aponte and/or Hampton. In addition, SM is expanding it's offense in working in the QB read option along with also having Cotton run behind center in addition to lining up in the slot. Against SJB, once Frampton went down with his injury, St. Mary's running game was not as strong (vs SJB D-line/linebackers) and was held to being 1-dimensional, which led to a couple of costly INT's and a blocked punt.

St. Mary's has not punted often at all and relies on their QB, Jake Dunniway, to handle this duty. If there is a weakness in the Ram's game, it may be in it's punting, since I have not witnessed them punting from a deep snap. But, getting the Rams to punt is difficult. If just outside the redzone, the Ram's FG kicker is quite dependable. Holding St. Mary's under 30 points will be very difficult, even if a ground control offense is introduced, as they are capable in scoring in less than a minute. With Oak Ridge having success with their onside kickoff vs Folsom, I would not be surprised to see Oak Ridge turn to the onside kick vs St. Mary's. Many teams have attempted this vs St. Mary's. Many have failed, but some have found some success. Some teams figure an onside kick probably leads to same field position as direct kickoff to them, since the Rams' kickoff returners do a good job in getting the ball close to midfield to start. If the opposing team kicks out of bounds, St. Mary's will ask for re-kick vs taking the ball at the 35.

I anticipate Oak Ridge's offense is going to give fits to St. Mary's D early on. But, the Rams have a good D once they know what they need to do. This was evident in their games vs Serra and Cardinal Newman. The Rams secondary is night and day compared to last year, but they have had a few wrinkles with a couple of blown coverage plays recently. I anticipate Oak Ridge will have more success on the ground vs the air against the Rams' D, especially with OR's QB running the ball just as much as their RB's. However, once Oak Ridge falls behind on the scoreboard, it will be difficult to come back against the Ram's offense. Hence, why I am giving St. Mary's a couple extra scores vs Calpreps projections.

St. Mary's offense IMHO is better than Folsom's. Oak Ridge was able to hold Folsom's offense to 129 yards on the ground. This will be very difficult to do against St. Mary's Dusty Frampton, but doable. The problem is that if OR puts the extra bodies in the box to stop Frampton, Jake Dunniway will go to town like he did vs Central Catholic. IMHO, I just don't think Oak Ridge has the same matching athletes like SJB to cover all of Dunniway's targets while also trying to stop Frampton. Likewise, the Rams O/D lines, especially #50 Popo Aumavae, will be a challenge for OR's O/D lines and vice versa. Oak Ridge's O/D lines will not be the same as to what St. Mary's has gone up against in it's last 8 games. Is OR's O/D line like SJB's? Probably not, but they are definitely going to be a lot better than what St. Mary's has faced since SJB.

I don't expect this game to be like Folsom vs Oak Ridge. I anticipate large scores from both teams, but just St. Mary's having more scores. However, turnovers can and will make a big difference. The weather is expecting rain. So on a Friday night, anything can happen and in high school football with a wet ball and wet field, often does. In any case, it should be an exciting, fun game for all.
 
Is Frampton and Cotton healthy? If they are both 100% I don't see OR staying with St Mary's.
 
It is expected to rain. and Rain is the great equalizer. Could see minimal pass attempts from both teams.
 
I actually anticipate SM's Jake Dunniway to pass more in the rain, especially to Dewey Cotton. Because, he is so much smaller than everyone else on the field, his center of gravity will create a huge advantage. As a sophomore, Cotton was the main target for St. Mary's in the rainy section championship game vs Grant a couple of years ago. St. Mary's turf field has a good drainage system. Playing in the rain has never been a problem for the Rams on their home field, especially when it comes to throwing the ball.
 
OR doesn't throw much. Thru 12 games QB only has 1700 yards passing. I would say they throw about 15x and if its wet I would guess less. Honestly against CO I don't recall many passes. I see major advantage going to SM here. Keep in mind if its wet but SM has a nice field turf facility. They can still thrown in the rain.

Like I said if both weapons are healthy I don't see OR being able to defend them.
 
Based on what I saw on Friday (my first time seeing Folsom due to my Vista commitments) I don't see Elk Grove beating Folsom. Just don't see it. The St. Mary's/OR game is really what has me thinking.....could go either way
 
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