remc said:

In this instance, not a good idea in the playoffs. Play the best in the non league games, front part of the schedule. That’s how you get better. Getting overmatched in a playoff game doesn’t really improve your team, especially in a Division you wouldn’t normally play in. IMO anyway

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PALbooster said:

CCS play-off projections with two weeks to go

Here are the CCS Play-off projections with two weeks left in the season. A few changes to the field this week as Leland goes in based on projection to capture second place in the Valley League by upsetting Sobrato. Hillsdale is projected into the field after beating Kings Academy (who is projected out) and Sobrato replaces Sacred Heart Prep as the projected final at-large team.

Open/D1

Barring an upset where one of these teams’ losses to someone other than those in the Open/D1 division, this field looks set although seedings could change as they did this week. SI and Los Gatos flipped seeds, but everything else stayed the same. All eight team’s results were as projected. Three match-ups this week between open teams will impact seedings. Soquel plays Salinas; Riordan plays Serra and St. Francis plays Valley Christian.

8. Riordan 4-6 65 (8) at 1. St. Francis 9-1 81 (2)

7. Salinas 8-2 67.5 (7) at 2. St. Ignatius 8-2 76 (3)

Winners of Round 1 play for open championship – loser of open championship plays winner of round two game below for D1 championship.

6. Valley Christian 5-5 68.5 (6) at 3. Los Gatos 9-1 76 (2)

5. Soquel 8-2 72.5 (5) at 4. Serra 6-4 75 (4)

D2

Seeding changes in this division as Wilcox, Christopher and Menlo-Atherton flipping the 1 through 3 seeds and the rest stayed the same. All the teams in this division also preformed to projections and teams in the bracket stayed the same as last week.

8. Santa Teresa 9-1 50.5* (8) at 1. Wilcox 7-3 60.5 (2)

5. Monterey 6-4 53 (5) at 4. Sacred Heart Cathedral 4-6 56 (4)

6. Menlo School 7-3 52 (6) at 3. Menlo-Atherton 7-3 58.5 (1)

7. Palma 5-5 50.5 (7) at 2. Christopher 9-1 59 (3)

* Elevated to D2 as no B league team can play in D1 or D2

D3

Same eight teams but some movement here as Half Moon Bay continued their downward slide with a loss to San Mateo

8. Burlingame 7-3 42 (4) at 1. Carmel 10-0 59* (1)

5. Palo Alto 5-5 44 (6) at 4. Hollister 5-5 48 (5)

6. Half Moon Bay 8-2 42.5 (3) at 3. Capuchino 9-1 49 (3)

7. Piedmont Hills 8-2 42.5 (8) at 2. Willow Glen 10-0 50.5 (2)

Dropped to D3 as no B league team can play in DI or D2

D4

A couple of changes here as South San Francisco moves up from D5 to D4 and Hillsdale comes back into the field in D4

8. Live Oak 3-7 29** (8) at 1. Aptos 5-5 41 (1)

5. Sobrato 7-3 33 (3) at 4. North Salinas 7-3 35 (6)

6. Hillsdale 5-5 31.5 (NR) at 3. Branham 7-3 38 (2)

7. South San Francisco 8-2 29 (3 in D5) at 2. San Mateo 8-2 39 (4)

Elevated to D4 as no A league team can be in D5 and all C league teams must be in D5.

D5

Leland jumped into the field in D5 and there were also seeding changes.

• 8. Gunderson 7-3 19 (8) at 1. San Lorenzo Valley 10-0 35** (2)
• 5. North Monterey County 7-3 25 (1) at 4. Woodside 7-3 25.5 (7)
• 6. Pioneer 6-4 23.5 (5) at 3. Leland 6-3 25.9 (NR)
• 7..Gunn 10-0 23.5 (6) at 2. Alisal 6-4 27.5 (4)

**Dropped from D4 to D5 as all C league teams must be in D5.

WCAL

All went according to projections with Saint Ignatius beating Valley Christian 20-13 in the league’s most competitive game last week. At this point the league’s top 5 teams have clinched paly off berths and Sacred Heart Cathedral can only be displaced in 6th place if it losses its last two games and either Bellarmine or Mitty win their final two games.

PAL-Bay

Everything has gone as projected in this league to date. The league’s only two undefeated teams square off this week as Wilcox travels to Los Gatos. Five of this league’s six teams get automatic spots. Sacred Heart Prep is currently on the wrong side of the at-large bubble projections and will likely need a win over Menlo-Atherton or Menlo School to have a chance to make the play-offs.

Gabilan

Soquel travels to Salinas this week in the game that will determine the league championship. The league’s 3rd-6th place teams (Monterey, Palma, Hollister and Aptos) continue to jockey for position, but absent an upset win by last place Alvarez over Hollister or Palma all four of those teams figure to make the play-off field.

Mount Hamilton

Another conference that has gone as projected. Leigh will have to pull of an upset over Christopher or Branham to have a chance at one of the four automatic berths currently projected to go to Christopher, Santa Teresa, Branham and Live Oak.

PAL-Deanza

Nothing is quite yet settled in this league with four teams jockeying for three spots. Current projections are for Capuchino, Burlingame and Hillsdale to make the play-offs with Kings Academy being the odd man out. But head-to-head match-ups between relatively closely ranked teams in Burlingame at Capuchino and Capuchino at King’s Academy will be determinative.

PAL Ocean

Half Moon Bay lost for the second week in a row to San Mateo 30-20. This leaves four teams hunting for two spots. San Mateo clinches the league championship with a win at home against Sequoia which after going 1-4 in non-league has been a surprise 3-0 in league to date. Another big match-up this week is Half Moon Bay hosting Carlmont. Regardless of this weeks outcomes the week ten match-up between rivals Carlmont and Sequoia will help determine the top two spots.

Mission South

Carmel cemented their spot as league champion with a win over second place North Salinas. The winner of this league’s match-up between North Salinas and Soledad will determine the second play-off spot.

Mission North

This is the only league where every team has lost a league game and every team has won a league game. This Saturday two of the league’s one loss teams North Monterey County plays at St. Francis of Watsonville. Alisal is the other one loss team and is projected to make the field as well as the winner of the above mentioned game.

Valley

Willow Glen is favored to win the league and finish the regular season 10-0. Leland beat Sobrato this week and can clinch a play-off berth with a win against Gilroy. Sobrato must beat Prospect and Gilroy in its final two games to try to hold onto the sections final at-large berth.

Foothill

Piedmont Hills is the heavy favorite to win this league. The winner of this week’s game where Overfelt travels to Pioneer is likely to get the second play-off spot.

El Camino

South San Francisco has clinched a play-off spot and is sole league champion with either a win at home over Homestead or a Woodside loss at Fremont. Woodside clinches the second league spot with a win over Fremont.

Santa Lucia

The league title will likely be decided by the winner of this week’s game between the league’s remaining two undefeated teams when Stevenson will travel to favorite San Lorenzo Valley.

Lake

Jefferson’s win over Saratoga means this league championship will get settled in week 10 when Gunn hosts Jefferson.

West Valley

Gunderson has clinched this league’s sole play-off spot and ends up as sole champion with a win in its final game against San Jose or another Evergreen Valley loss.

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bella123 said:

Nah you want to play the best and challenge yourself. It’s how you get better.

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• 8. Gunderson 7-3 19 (8) at 1. San Lorenzo Valley 10-0 35** (2)
• 5. North Monterey County 7-3 25 (1) at 4. Woodside 7-3 25.5 (7)
• 6. Pioneer 6-4 23.5 (5) at 3. Leland 6-3 25.9 (NR)
• 7..Gunn 10-0 23.5 (6) at 2. Alisal 6-4 27.5 (4)

carmelkyd said:

Difficult to define how much your hard is appreciated. I'm curious to know how much of each week's work you have been able to automate? Any idea how many hours you spend on each week's projections. From someone who used to help figure out just where "my" school was going to be slotted in the play-offs I stand amazed at how you are able to do this.

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ankleassassin said:

I don't think many have gone to a movie in 10 years.
Mercy is the son of master P. Richmond/ New Orleans legend.

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iamgearyblvd said:

Their black hoops uniforms are nice. These football ones just looked really cheap and unimaginative. Hummel played must better and he had some nice passes that were quick slants and not just his predictable 10 yard outs. 2nd half was no contest. VC offensively couldnt do anything. As I noted before, VC doesnt have a real QB. Was there no junior or sophomore backup QB from last year who gives them more than what the freshman gives?

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Relly900 said:

Yup this right I look at it wrong

They highest finish on Max preps was number 5 in 2014 nationally they was #2 in the state

Finished 8 nationally in 2017

They finished 7 nationally in 2018


I looked at Max preps perhaps other ranking from other publications was different those years

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NCS707 said:

For a time CVC was getting Pitt/Antioch/Brentwood kids. Clayton Valley going to a charter format was huge.

Now it seems kids flock to DLS or Pitt. The whole Concord area and the Bay Valley league is very down. Just 5-6 years ago too to bottom that league was very good. Antioch, Freedom, even Deer Valley have all had some good runs a decade ago. Now it’s Pitt, better than ever, Liberty is solid but down from their peak, Heritage is ok, Antioch is iffy, Deer Valley and Freedom bad. The demographics of these schools should all yield decent football programs.

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NCS707 said:

For a time CVC was getting Pitt/Antioch/Brentwood kids. Clayton Valley going to a charter format was huge.

Now it seems kids flock to DLS or Pitt. The whole Concord area and the Bay Valley league is very down. Just 5-6 years ago too to bottom that league was very good. Antioch, Freedom, even Deer Valley have all had some good runs a decade ago. Now it’s Pitt, better than ever, Liberty is solid but down from their peak, Heritage is ok, Antioch is iffy, Deer Valley and Freedom bad. The demographics of these schools should all yield decent football programs.

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LecheDeMiPalo said:

I heard a rumor a week or so ago that Tim Murphy is the name to keep an eye out for at Bellarmine of all places.

Apparently this whole idea of the “forward pass” is not working out too well for them and they’d like to take it back a bit.

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larry legend33 said:

Newman absolutely dominated a very good San Marin team last night 31-3 and had 2 TD's in first half called back due to penalties. It could have been a lot worse. I would be shocked if they don't end up in the open from what I saw. San Marin who has a very good offense totaled 92 yards on the night. In fact I wouldn't want them to be in anything lower than D2. Huge game next week at Marin Catholic. That has to be the biggest game in Norcal. And realistically both MC and Newman are probably both open teams
@northbaybbguru , you know if Jamri Gentry is getting any looks? That kid is electric. Newman hasn't had that sort of speed in past.

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THEOC89 said:

And Man, is Folsom lucky that MD needed their bye week to prepare for the TL…. I mean my goodness, they may have put 100 on poor Folsom…. 🤣

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ArmchairGOAT said:

I recall the QB that really could have helped the Warriors transferred to Logan and is now at El Cerrito. Craft?

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iamgearyblvd said:

Their black hoops uniforms are nice. These football ones just looked really cheap and unimaginative. Hummel played must better and he had some nice passes that were quick slants and not just his predictable 10 yard outs. 2nd half was no contest. VC offensively couldnt do anything. As I noted before, VC doesnt have a real QB. Was there no junior or sophomore backup QB from last year who gives them more than what the freshman gives?

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shcguy92 said:

You would think they would but given the NIMBYs of the neighborhood, it is actually part of their agreement that nothing can be outside of the facility. They used to have a cherry picker outside for opposing coaches but don't think the y do that anymore. I mean the NIMBYS want to take SI to court again over the lights and the events there...

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Niklas227 said:

The black uniforms looked great! I’ll take the W, but we can’t keep winning like this. My nervous system is shot.

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