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WCAL 2024-25 SEASON

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iamgearyblvd said:
SI/SF game gives winner a firm grasp at league title. However the SI/VC game and SF/Riordan game are difficult challenges for SI and SF. Riordan as disappointing a season they are having still pose a very big threat namely their offense still is really good. The effort vs VC was sorely lacking. I watched the stream and one team really wanted to play and the other did not. I guess when you lock in your college offers and make commitments that fire doesnt burn as hot some games.
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As a Recruiter, I'd be concerned about the mental toughness of those players I was recruiting from Riordan if that were the case.
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Suggestions for Modifying CCS Play-off rules

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CCS play-off projections with four weeks to go

Here are the CCS Play-off projections with four weeks left in the season. Barring an upset where one of these teams’ losses to someone other than those in the Open/D1 division, this field looks set although seedings could change. Some small edits to this as the Saturday scores adjust Calprep and CCS rankings but this will be pretty close to final for this week (edits made)

Open/D1

8. Riordan 4-6 65.5 at 1. St. Ignatius 9-1 80.5

7. Salinas 8-2 67 at 2. St. Francis 8-2 77

Winners of Round 1 play for open championship – loser of open championship plays winner of round two game below for D1 championship.

6. Valley Christian 5-5 66.5 at 3. Los Gatos 9-1 76

5. Soquel 8-2 72 at 4. Serra 6-4 75

D2

8. Palma 5-5 48.5* at 1. Christopher 9-1 61

5. Burlingame 9-1 52.5 at 4. Sacred Heart Cathedral 4-6 55

6. Menlo School 7-3 52* at 3. Wilcox 6-4 58.5

7. Monterey 6-4 52* at 2.Menlo-Atherton 8-2 59.5

Elevated to D2 as no B league team can play in D1 or D2

D3

8. Aptos 5-5 40.5 at 1. Carmel 10-0 62*

5. Hollister 5-5 46 at 4. Santa Teresa 9-1 47.5

6. Palo Alto 5-5 43 at 3. Willow Glen 10-0 50.5*

7. Capuchino 8-2 41.5 at 2. Half Moon Bay 10-0 56.5*

Dropped to D3 as no B league team can play in DI or D2

D4

8. Live Oak 3-7 28** at 1. Piedmont Hills 8-2 41.5

5. Hillsdale 5-5 33.5 at 4. Sacred Heart Prep 3-7 33.5

6. San Mateo 7-3 33. at 3. Sobrato 8-2 36.5

7. North Salinas 7-3 32 at 2. Branham 7-3 39

Elevated to D4 as no A league team an be in D5 and all C league teams must be in D5.

D5
8. Gunderson 7-3 19 at 1. North Monterey County 8-2 31.5
5. Alisal 6-4 24 at 4. Pioneer 6-4 24.5
6. Gunn 10-0 23.5 at 3. Woodside 8-2 30.5
7. South San Francisco 7-3 23 at 2. San Lorenzo Valley 10-0 31**

Dropped from D4 to D5 as all C league teams must be in D5.

WCAL

Top four automatic qualifiers will go to St. Ignatius, St. Francis and Valley Christian. Riordan and Sacred Heart Cathedral will likely get two at -large bids. Winner of round robin between league’s 3 3-0 teams Si, VC and St. Francis will get at least a share of the title. Big game this coming week is SI vs St. Francis.

PAL-Bay

Los Gatos is a prohibitive favorite to win this league outright already having defeated Menlo-Atherton. This league gets five automatic berths and Menlo-Atherton, Wilcox, Menlo School, and Palo Alto based on their win this week over Sacred Heart Prep figure to get the other spots. Sacred Heart Prep is currently projected to get the final at-large berth even if it losses its remaining games.

Gabilan

Soquel will be favored to win the league championship when they face-off with Salinas on the road on 11-01. A remarkable ascent for a team that played in a C league in 2018 and a B league in 2022. They are projected to end up as the #2 public school in the CCS. Salinas, Hollister and Monterey are in line to win the other three automatic berths and Palma and Aptos will likely get at-large berths.

Mount Hamilton

Christopher has already beaten the next two highest ranked league opponents Santa Teresa and Branham and should cruise to a league championship. Santa Teresa, Branham and Live Oak should get the last three automatic spots. Lincoln and Leigh are unlikely to get an at-large berth.

PAL-Deanza

This A league gets three automatic berths. Burlingame is favored to win this league with Capuchino and Hillsdale projected to get the other two berths. Kings Academy is projected as fourth and will not get an at-larger spot.

PAL Ocean

Half Moon Bay is a strong favorite to win the league outright and finish the season 10-0 with A league wins over Burlingame, Hillsdale and Sacred Heart Prep. Half Moon Bays power point projections would place them in the middle of D2 but the new CCS rules will drop them to D3 for the play-offs. San Mateo is projected for second ahead of Carlmont and Milpitas (they have beaten both teams). Carlmontis on the bubble for an at-large berth and is currently projected to get edged out by Sacred Heart Prep.

Mission South

Carmel is a prohibitive favorite win this league and finish 10-0 with wins over A league teams Christopher and Monterey. Despite being currently ranked the 9th in the CCS and having the 9th most points the new CCS play-off rules will place them in D3. North Salinas is a strong favorite to get the second spot from this league already having beaten Pacific Grove which is projected for third. Due to their weak schedule Pacific Grove is unlikely to get an at-large spot.

Mission North

With their win over Alisal this week, North Monterey County is a strong favorite to win this league. Alisal and St. Francis figure to contend for the second automatic berth. No one from this league will be strong enough to get an at-large berth.

Valley

With their win over Sobrato this week, Willow Glen should finish 10-0 and win the league outright. Sobrato is a heavy favorite over Leland to capture the second play-off spot.

Foothill

Piedmont Hills is projected as a strong favorite to win this league over Pioneer and Overfelt. Pioneer is projected to get the second automatic berth over Overfelt.

El Camino

The championship should be decided in this weeks game between Woodside at South San Francisco with the loser likely to get the second play-off spot from this league.

Santa Lucia

San Lorenzo Valley is a strong favorite to finish 10-0 and get this C league’s only play-off berth. Stevenson is projected as the second place team from this league.

Lake

This will be an extremely competitive league between Gunn, Jefferson and Saratoga. The winner of the round robin will likely win the league and if they all end up 1-1 the winner will likely be whoever wins the Jefferson vs Gunn game as Saratoga has a tie in league against Monta Vista. Gunn is a slight favorite to end 10-0 and has only given up one touchdown through 6 games.

West Valley

This week’s game between Gunderson and Evergreen Valley will likely determine the league championship and who will be the league’s paly-off representative.
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WCAL 2024-25 SEASON

iamgearyblvd
FBAddict said:
Looks like you will finally have to waver after this week.
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SI/SF game gives winner a firm grasp at league title. However the SI/VC game and SF/Riordan game are difficult challenges for SI and SF. Riordan as disappointing a season they are having still pose a very big threat namely their offense still is really good. The effort vs VC was sorely lacking. I watched the stream and one team really wanted to play and the other did not. I guess when you lock in your college offers and make commitments that fire doesnt burn as hot some games.
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WCAL 2024-25 SEASON

FBAddict
FBAddict said:
We have one more game to play in this third week of WCAL action. If Sacred Heart Cathedral beats Archbishop Mitty (which might happen in this crazy week), I will come back to adjust this round of my rankings.

St. Francis beat Junipero Serra by TD tonight. There were a few that believed this would happen but I still thought JS would win out. The other surprising, really far more surprising game outcome, was Valley Christian dominating Archbishop Riordan. One or two posters called this game a tossup. But I thought AR would throttle VC via their passing game. Something has fundamentally changed for both teams.

Here's my rankings.
1. SI - No challenge from BCP and still holding the top spot. Next week, SI meets SF which should be a good game and very likely the last big test for the Wildcats.
2. SF - Tonight, the Lancers shut up critics by controlling the outcome of their win over JS. Next week, they meet SI and proponents of SF will get a chance to be vindicated.
3. JS - Serra started out the season ranked #1 but most people, including me, thought they could easily fall as low as #3. Then JS edged Folsom and it seemed the Padres were on their way to another stellar year. Two WCAL losses later, here they are #3. They play AM next week.
4. VC - The Warriors unexpectedly (at least by me) dominated AR to pull themselves back into the upper half of WCAL. At the beginning of the season, I put VC at either #4 or #5 but I thought it would be a position battle with SI, not AR. Something has fundamentally changed for the Warriors. I have my theory but still need to verify it against their roster. VC has the WCAL top three still ahead on their schedule, starting with SI next week.
5. AR - The Crusaders have hit some kind of crisis in their season this year. Many thought they would be contending for the top 3 of WCAL this year and a few thought they would contend for the top levels of NorCal. But that hope has not materialized.
6. AM - The Monarchs' game with SHC happens Saturday. AM is expected to win but expectations seem to be challenged this weekend.
7. SHC - The Irish will have a chance to improve their ranking tomorrow. If they are successful, I will come back to adjust this 3rd week of WCAL rankings.
8. BCP - Enough said.
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I have to make a minor adjustment since SHC overtook the AM in the last minutes of their game this afternoon. I took a moment to make sure that the exchange of Mitty - Sacred Heart Cathedral didn't conflict with other achievements in their seasons. This is the same ranking list with only #6 and #7 changing.

#1. SI
#2. SF
#3. JS
#4. VC
#5. AR
#6. SHC
#7. AM
#8. BCP
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WCAL 2024-25 SEASON

FBAddict
iamgearyblvd said:
I think the only thing going against you is the natural regression to the mean. SI with two improbable comebacks. You win games like that and eventually will lose games just like that or have a huge letdown. Kids are especially susceptible to being told how good they are and getting drunk off their success.

Havent wavered from my preseason prediction but that SI-SF game should be a doozy.
1. SF
2. SI
3. Riordan
4. Serra
5 VC
6 Mitty
7 SH
8 Bellarmine
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Looks like you will finally have to waver after this week.
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Bellarmine in dire straits

iamgearyblvd
Mitty took a huge loss when arguably their best player TE/DL Owen Harrington took a shot to what looked like his leg on a pass attempt. SH literally ran through Mitty's line with ease with no Harrington to anchor their line.

This will sound heartless, but honestly dont care if Bellarmine ever recovers back to their old football form. They have so many football titles over the last 40 years that its hard to feel sorry for their football demise. I mean no one really feels sorry for anyone. No other WCAL school ever said, ah jeez, I feel bad for that SH school. I wish they were better so the league can be better.
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Bellarmine in dire straits

C
colhenrylives said:
The Jesuit nightmare in San Jose persists. Bellarmine football is in freefall. The winless (0-6) Bells, once a premier NorCal program dating back to the Great Depression, have been outscored in their three WCAL games, 115-7. They are on track to finish the 2024 season 1-9 or 0-10. Either record would mark the most losses in the school's long history. They were 2-8 last year. The eight defeats are a current record. The one chance for a win they would seem to have this season would be versus Sacred Heart Cathedral. That game is set for the final weekend of the regular season.
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Whoops. Maybe the Bells' best shot is vs. Mitty, a loser to SHC today in SF. Or maybe there's no hope whatsoever.
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