WCAL Football 2018 - San Jose Merc All Bay Area Team
- Thread starter Rmbr26
- Start date
Palma should be ahead of Carmel. Palma has better defense and also lots of weapons (i.e., RB) that Salinas doesn't have. Terra Nova is looking like they hould be in the equation as well. Aragon and HMB look to be down.
Serra is probably a level ahead of Wilcox, and MA probably top 3. Wilco was one of my teams that could surprise before the season started. I missed on Hollister though which looks bad. Salinas will get better as the season progresses but clearly not as good as last season.
NorCal - you are correct that in the performance ratings for the first 2 games Palma outperformed Carmel.
I was putting the post together earlier today & then accidentally deleted it. Will repost tomorrow when I get a chance. Terra Nova is right in there as well among the top CCS performers exceeding projections of their games.
I was putting the post together earlier today & then accidentally deleted it. Will repost tomorrow when I get a chance. Terra Nova is right in there as well among the top CCS performers exceeding projections of their games.
Since no one will mention the score which colhenry was unaware of ..
Pitt blew out St. Mary’s by 48-7 - the worst loss for St. Mary's in recent memory [or maybe long term memory for that matter - a thorough thrashing of the SM Rams].
So although Pitt lost in O/T to CVC in opener & then powerhouse Centennial-Corona this last week Pitt is still a formidable opponent and likely favored by 1-2 scores vs Serra of San Mateo next week. Do NOT underestimate the Pittsburg Pirates...
Pitt blew out St. Mary’s by 48-7 - the worst loss for St. Mary's in recent memory [or maybe long term memory for that matter - a thorough thrashing of the SM Rams].
So although Pitt lost in O/T to CVC in opener & then powerhouse Centennial-Corona this last week Pitt is still a formidable opponent and likely favored by 1-2 scores vs Serra of San Mateo next week. Do NOT underestimate the Pittsburg Pirates...
I meant to include Palma on my bubble list. It's still early in the season and Carmel at least has a win that at this point looks good compared to Palma's wins in my opinion. I wanted to see them against MA before making any judgements and pushing them into a top 10. They're clearly much improved this year and right now I would take them second in their division behind Aptos.
I included Terra Nova on my bubble list just because I didn't think their opponents were very good. Carmel's win over Salinas and Palma's win over SHC would have me put them both ahead of TN.
It's likely and maybe probable that Serra loses to Pitt. Pitt is loaded on defense and Serra not being able to run the ball consistently early in the season and dealing with Pitt's perimeter athletes on defense makes them a clear underdog. Serra has lost multiple times early in the season the last two years and made deep runs so this is part of Walsh's philosophy. They lost a lot of really key pieces and both coordinators but they have a system in place, it just needs time to gel with all the changes but doubt the Padres at the end of the season at your own risk.
EJ Lalough has not played since sustaining a sprained ankle in first half against Sera Gardena he is the big back when he returns,
If both player's for Serra, RB/DB Coker and DE/RB Lahlouh are out for extended periods that more than makes up for the loss of SF's Darrell Page & SF would def be the front-runner IMO [I saw both those players as key to Serra's success this season..]
WCAL Football 2018
WCAL & Top CCS Teams in order of combined performance ratings after 2 games:
These are not rankings, but ratings using projected results vs the actual results as to how the teams played.
Examples: Palo Alto was projected to lose to both S.I. & HMB and won both contests including a blow-out of HMB, so Paly gets high scores for both games. If a team is projected to win by 21 points & wins by 3 then a lower score, while a team projected to win by 3 and wins by 21 then a higher score. It is simply a scoring system based upon projections, the other teams rating and how many points each team scores.
It is an attempt to see which teams played above or below their potential capabilities. I don't know at all how accurate "performance ratings" actually are & a bit confusing as well, but always fun to play with the numbers so to speak.
Here are the CCS teams in order of combined performance ratings for the first 2 games. Not using all teams in CCS [96 teams total] this list of 15 is from the Top 20 CCS teams as currently ranked by Freeman's. I listed the actual rankings in CCS currently below so fans can see the difference.
PERFORMANCE RATINGS
1. Serra
2. M-A
3. SF
4. Wilcox
5. Palo Alto
6. Mitty
7. VC
8. Aptos
9. Los Gatos
10. Terra Nova
11. Palma
12. Gilroy
13. Carmel
14. Live Oak
15. SHP
CCS RANKING CURRENTLY:
1. Serra
2. SF
3. M-A
4.Wilcox
5. Mitty
6. Aptos
7. VC
8. Paly
9. Los Gatos
10. Gilroy
11. Carmel
12. Terra Nova
13. HMB
14. Milpitas
15. Palma
SAME - HIGHER - LOWER [performance vs ranking]
1. Serra - same
2. SF - lower [but 3rd highest score still]
3. M-A higher
4. Wilcox - same
5. Mitty - lower
6. Aptos - lower
7. VC - same
8. Paly - higher
9. Los Gatos - same
10. Gilroy - lower
11. Carmel - lower
12. Terra Nova - higher
13. HMB - too low to make top 15 performer's
14. Milpitas - too low to make top 15 performer's
15. Palma - higher
* Live Oak currently ranked 17th is rated #14 of top 15 performer's.
* SHP currently ranked 20th is rated #15 of top 15 performer's.
Conclusion: 6 teams beating expectations so far are M-A, Palo Alto, Terra Nova, Palma, Live Oak & SHP.
5 teams currently meeting expectations: Serra, SF [3rd highest score], Wilcox, VC & Los Gatos.
4 teams performing below expectations: Mitty, Aptos, Gilroy, Carmel.
2 teams still somehow ranked, but under performed enough not to make the list: HMB & Milpitas [look for both these teams to drop further in rankings].
* Keep your eye on the 6 teams beating expectations as they should move up in rankings as the season progresses.
WCAL & Top CCS Teams in order of combined performance ratings after 2 games:
These are not rankings, but ratings using projected results vs the actual results as to how the teams played.
Examples: Palo Alto was projected to lose to both S.I. & HMB and won both contests including a blow-out of HMB, so Paly gets high scores for both games. If a team is projected to win by 21 points & wins by 3 then a lower score, while a team projected to win by 3 and wins by 21 then a higher score. It is simply a scoring system based upon projections, the other teams rating and how many points each team scores.
It is an attempt to see which teams played above or below their potential capabilities. I don't know at all how accurate "performance ratings" actually are & a bit confusing as well, but always fun to play with the numbers so to speak.
Here are the CCS teams in order of combined performance ratings for the first 2 games. Not using all teams in CCS [96 teams total] this list of 15 is from the Top 20 CCS teams as currently ranked by Freeman's. I listed the actual rankings in CCS currently below so fans can see the difference.
PERFORMANCE RATINGS
1. Serra
2. M-A
3. SF
4. Wilcox
5. Palo Alto
6. Mitty
7. VC
8. Aptos
9. Los Gatos
10. Terra Nova
11. Palma
12. Gilroy
13. Carmel
14. Live Oak
15. SHP
CCS RANKING CURRENTLY:
1. Serra
2. SF
3. M-A
4.Wilcox
5. Mitty
6. Aptos
7. VC
8. Paly
9. Los Gatos
10. Gilroy
11. Carmel
12. Terra Nova
13. HMB
14. Milpitas
15. Palma
SAME - HIGHER - LOWER [performance vs ranking]
1. Serra - same
2. SF - lower [but 3rd highest score still]
3. M-A higher
4. Wilcox - same
5. Mitty - lower
6. Aptos - lower
7. VC - same
8. Paly - higher
9. Los Gatos - same
10. Gilroy - lower
11. Carmel - lower
12. Terra Nova - higher
13. HMB - too low to make top 15 performer's
14. Milpitas - too low to make top 15 performer's
15. Palma - higher
* Live Oak currently ranked 17th is rated #14 of top 15 performer's.
* SHP currently ranked 20th is rated #15 of top 15 performer's.
Conclusion: 6 teams beating expectations so far are M-A, Palo Alto, Terra Nova, Palma, Live Oak & SHP.
5 teams currently meeting expectations: Serra, SF [3rd highest score], Wilcox, VC & Los Gatos.
4 teams performing below expectations: Mitty, Aptos, Gilroy, Carmel.
2 teams still somehow ranked, but under performed enough not to make the list: HMB & Milpitas [look for both these teams to drop further in rankings].
* Keep your eye on the 6 teams beating expectations as they should move up in rankings as the season progresses.
For the WCAL, this coming weekend will decide if the league can somehow avoid ending the 2018 pre-season with a losing record. WCAL teams are currently 7-9 overall; to get even, they need to go 5-3 this week. It won't be easy but it is possible. Going 6-2 seems out of the question.
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Here is an example of how early season computer rankings are suspect. Your rating has Gilroy at 12 and a ranking of 10. Gilroy lost their first game to Liberty (as expected) by a score of 57 to 0...with 50 points scored in the first half. Gilroy then beat Soledad 15 to 13....a Soledad team that lost to Palma in week one by a 52 to 6 score. No way Gilroy deserves to be rated or ranked so high.
As for Carmel I agree with prepwisdom that it is hard to believe the Padres are performing below expectations. Nobody expected them to beat Salinas, but they did. "Everyone" expected them to beat NMC, and they did. How does a "nobody expected" plus an "everyone expected" equal a "below expectations"? Carmel is a small public school in a mid-tier B league. Let's see how the season goes before rating or ranking them with these other teams.
As for Carmel I agree with prepwisdom that it is hard to believe the Padres are performing below expectations. Nobody expected them to beat Salinas, but they did. "Everyone" expected them to beat NMC, and they did. How does a "nobody expected" plus an "everyone expected" equal a "below expectations"? Carmel is a small public school in a mid-tier B league. Let's see how the season goes before rating or ranking them with these other teams.
There's a reason Calpreps says their rating system isn't accurate enough until October. Computer ratings are useless right now and I think everyone in this thread would agree that Carmel, Aptos, and Mitty are definitely not under performing anything at this point.
Tough to say how good Carmel is until playoff time. While I think Carmel had a nice win, it's tough to say whether Salinas will meet its expectations. They may have been overhyped or it could have been they are not as good or had a bad first game, or if Carmel is really good. I watched their defense on film and looks like they took lots of risks and Salinas didn't handle the blitzing very well. I think Salinas definately needs to work on its defense and their offensive line didn't show up for the game. Unfortunately Carmel's schedule isn't very strong and they should breeze through it with maybe exception of one game upcoming.
Thats because WCAL schools schedule up... All the publics schedule cupcakes. Thats why when playoffs roll around all the WCAL schools are battled tested.
Hmmmm. Looks like the publics are scheduling the WCAL _ and winning. At least in 2018.
Wilcox, San Ramon Valley, Palo Alto, Campo and M-A twice. Sure look like publics to moi.
WCAL & Top CCS Teams in order of combined performance ratings after 2 games
The analysis I'll be the first to agree is a bit complicated to understand and that early in the season can appear somewhat unreliable, but there is a factual basis to it. The performance ratings are not something I made up and the rankings are what they are. Fans will always argue about who is too high or too low and that is just part of the discussion. So again - NOT my ratings or rankings, simply posting the order of teams and explaining to degree how they are based. I will address a couple post comments to see if I can explain them to any degree to posters.
"Carmel performing below expectations??!! They go into the "pit" and come away with a convincing win over a large school highly rated ( at least in the southern ccs) Salinas team and then annihilate an average North County team and thats performing below expectations. Wow!"
OK so let's take a look at Carmel presently ranked as the 11th best team in CCS. Carmel had a good victory over the 16th ranked team Salinas by 36-23 and a blow-out 58-0 win over a weak North Monterey County team [ranked 66th of 94 CCS teams]. Salinas was not in the performance ratings as has only played the one game. So far so good it would seem for Carmel. Looking at the 2 teams Carmel & Salinas the Carmel team returned 18 starters incl skill players as opposed to Salinas returning 8 starters with only one skill player. While Carmel won over Salinas the point differential was likely less than the projected win. The win over North Monterey County didn't help Carmel as the team is ranked/rated much too low.
As for Aptos I was surprised a bit as well by the rating & quite similar to the Carmel situation. Aptos #6 ranked had what appeared to be a solid win over #18 Aragon by 56-21. Aptos other win 55-6 was against Templeton from the Central section who is rated right along with North Monterey County [Templeton ranked #78 of 104 Central section teams]. Similar to Carmel the win over Templeton did not help Aptos. Aragon is one of the few teams like Salinas who has only played one game and unknown as to how good or bad Aragon is currently [though after the Aptos loss has already dropped in various rankings]. All anyone knows at this point is Salinas & Aragon lost the only game either has played.
"I think everyone in this thread would agree that Carmel, Aptos, and Mitty are definitely not underperforming anything at this point."
Carmel & Aptos each had a win over teams that have played only 1 game [Salinas & Aragon] and no one knows yet how good or bad these 2 teams are other than they both lost [Salinas lost to Carmel by 13 & Aragon lost to Aptos by 35]. The other 2 wins over North Monterey County & Templeton cannot realistically be used to gauge any level of performance since they are on a different level altogether than Carmel & Aptos.
As for Mitty not "underperforming" they were ranked/rated higher than M-A, were projected to win and lost. If fans go back and read the threads and posts the vast majority of fans were convinced Mitty was not only going to win, but by a large margin. I think most Mitty fans believe that Mitty could have - should have beaten M-A if they played at their highest level and didn't play their best A-game last week. Mitty dominated M-A statistically especially in passing 206 yards/3-TD's to 34 yards/2-TD's. Unfortunately for the Monarch's an untimely fumble resulted in a 66-yard TD for M-A and an interception & 44 yard return set up another M-A TD. Mitty also had 2 drives "stall" in the final minutes under a tough M-A defense.
The ratings & rankings early on are definitely difficult to follow and translate accurately to any degree. With each game they become a bit more accurate and if you follow them closely you will see how some teams are rated too high or too low especially early in the season & how that translates as the season progresses.
This week we'll see how the SF Lancer's perform vs DLS. St. Francis looks solid, but that DLS "D" looks mighty imposing.
The analysis I'll be the first to agree is a bit complicated to understand and that early in the season can appear somewhat unreliable, but there is a factual basis to it. The performance ratings are not something I made up and the rankings are what they are. Fans will always argue about who is too high or too low and that is just part of the discussion. So again - NOT my ratings or rankings, simply posting the order of teams and explaining to degree how they are based. I will address a couple post comments to see if I can explain them to any degree to posters.
"Carmel performing below expectations??!! They go into the "pit" and come away with a convincing win over a large school highly rated ( at least in the southern ccs) Salinas team and then annihilate an average North County team and thats performing below expectations. Wow!"
OK so let's take a look at Carmel presently ranked as the 11th best team in CCS. Carmel had a good victory over the 16th ranked team Salinas by 36-23 and a blow-out 58-0 win over a weak North Monterey County team [ranked 66th of 94 CCS teams]. Salinas was not in the performance ratings as has only played the one game. So far so good it would seem for Carmel. Looking at the 2 teams Carmel & Salinas the Carmel team returned 18 starters incl skill players as opposed to Salinas returning 8 starters with only one skill player. While Carmel won over Salinas the point differential was likely less than the projected win. The win over North Monterey County didn't help Carmel as the team is ranked/rated much too low.
As for Aptos I was surprised a bit as well by the rating & quite similar to the Carmel situation. Aptos #6 ranked had what appeared to be a solid win over #18 Aragon by 56-21. Aptos other win 55-6 was against Templeton from the Central section who is rated right along with North Monterey County [Templeton ranked #78 of 104 Central section teams]. Similar to Carmel the win over Templeton did not help Aptos. Aragon is one of the few teams like Salinas who has only played one game and unknown as to how good or bad Aragon is currently [though after the Aptos loss has already dropped in various rankings]. All anyone knows at this point is Salinas & Aragon lost the only game either has played.
"I think everyone in this thread would agree that Carmel, Aptos, and Mitty are definitely not underperforming anything at this point."
Carmel & Aptos each had a win over teams that have played only 1 game [Salinas & Aragon] and no one knows yet how good or bad these 2 teams are other than they both lost [Salinas lost to Carmel by 13 & Aragon lost to Aptos by 35]. The other 2 wins over North Monterey County & Templeton cannot realistically be used to gauge any level of performance since they are on a different level altogether than Carmel & Aptos.
As for Mitty not "underperforming" they were ranked/rated higher than M-A, were projected to win and lost. If fans go back and read the threads and posts the vast majority of fans were convinced Mitty was not only going to win, but by a large margin. I think most Mitty fans believe that Mitty could have - should have beaten M-A if they played at their highest level and didn't play their best A-game last week. Mitty dominated M-A statistically especially in passing 206 yards/3-TD's to 34 yards/2-TD's. Unfortunately for the Monarch's an untimely fumble resulted in a 66-yard TD for M-A and an interception & 44 yard return set up another M-A TD. Mitty also had 2 drives "stall" in the final minutes under a tough M-A defense.
The ratings & rankings early on are definitely difficult to follow and translate accurately to any degree. With each game they become a bit more accurate and if you follow them closely you will see how some teams are rated too high or too low especially early in the season & how that translates as the season progresses.
This week we'll see how the SF Lancer's perform vs DLS. St. Francis looks solid, but that DLS "D" looks mighty imposing.
You can argue that M-A under-performed vs. Mitty and should have (could have) won by a lot more. That argument works both ways.
Rmbr26- I get that the system takes a while to come into focus. However- in your above assessment of Carmel you make it sound like they were favored to beat Salinas by even more than they did. That is simply not true- they were the under dog across the board.
Not saying I disagree at all with that line of thinking. If I told you between 2 teams that one QB passed for 206 yards & 3 TD's and the other QB completed 4 passes for 34 yards & 2 TD's, which team would you guess won?
Mitty dominated statistically but miscues cost them 2 TD's. Any team can have miscues, however in this case that same team dominated on the offensive side of the ball. Not sure a 2nd game would have the same results is all.
You're correct Prepwisdom in that Salinas was favored & a strong favorite at that. Here's what is going on. The performance ratings are based upon 2 games & in the game vs Salinas Carmel got a very high rating for the win. The 2nd game was vs North Monterey County whose rating/ranking is so low it resulted in a "sub-par" win rating for Carmel.
That dropped Carmel's 2 game score below that of other similar teams where the lesser of one of their opponents was rated substantially higher than North Monterey County. So no fault of Carmel, but of the scheduling and how it influences the performance scores of the games when there is a "mismatch" between 2 teams. Blow-out wins over low ranked teams will always result in a lower score than say a close loss to a strong team. IE: If St. Francis can stay within a few scores of DLS this week the loss will result in a skyrocketing performance score for SF.
Is there any factoring for stronger teams taking their foot off the gas in a lopsided game? For instance, SF was up over Oak Grove 28-0 before the first qtr ended. They took out their starters for the 2nd half. Coach saw the opportunity to get some other players PT and not obliterate an opponent. Seems odd that would count against them in their Performance Rating.
Rmbr26- N. county was ranked 66th before they played Carmel? or after? Just trying to get the facts. ( not implying that N. County is a strong team- but they were 1-0 ( Beating N . Salinas the prior week ) Hard for me to believe they were # 66 at 1-0 after week one. I have seen no evidence that Carmel is "under performing" no matter what system is utilized. Time will tell how good they are.
[QUOTE="Danigyrl, post: 207117, member: 4370"]Is there any factoring for stronger teams taking their foot off the gas in a lopsided game? For instance, SF was up over Oak Grove 28-0 before the first qtr ended. They took out their starters for the 2nd half. Coach saw the opportunity to get some other players PT and not obliterate an opponent. Seems odd that would count against them in their Performance Rating.[/QUOTE]
Good question and from what I can gather if the "weaker" team has a very low ranking/rating the score seems to matter very little as long as the heavily favored team comes away with the win. So the better team pouring it on so to speak does little if nothing to help their performance score.
Good question and from what I can gather if the "weaker" team has a very low ranking/rating the score seems to matter very little as long as the heavily favored team comes away with the win. So the better team pouring it on so to speak does little if nothing to help their performance score.
North Monterey County who was 1-0 before being clobbered by Carmel 58-0 beat N. Salinas who was 1-9 in 2017 & projected to go 2-8 this season. North Monterey County is from one of the weakest leagues in NorCal the "Pacific Coast Cypress League" in which every team in the league has a substantial negative rating pre-season. North Monterey County had a low rating/ranking in '17 and was projected to be even lower by substantial margin this season. NMC was ranked pre-season as #885 in CA. While N. Salinas was ranked even lower the win by North Monterey County likely kept them about where they were at #66 in the CCS or perhaps the loss to the better Carmel team elevated them slightly.
Carmel has what looks to be a solid win over Salinas while the win against NMC isn;t of much help. Until both Carmel & Salinas each play another game against a capable opponent we won't have any more answers than now.
I think your stat interpretation is misleading a bit. MA is playing with their 3rd string QB and while they only completed 4 passes, 2 of those went for TDs and they only attempted 6 for the game. The majority of Mittys yards came on a handful of completions including 2 TDs. They had a lot of passing attempts with not a great completion % because they couldn't run the ball at all. They also had multiple interceptions. MA easily out rushed Mitty and it seemed like MA was getting 7-8 yards a pop.
I thought Mitty would win a close game, but having been there MA dominated the LOS and forced turnovers while running the ball extremely effectively. If you watched the game I don't think you would've said that Mitty dominated on the offensive side of the ball at all.
I actually agree having watched the game live that MA probably should've won by more.
Ncpfan - having been there & seen the game in person you’d have the best insight as to who was the better team. Not being there I can only go by the stats: Mitty 204 yards/3TD’s passing, M-A 34 yards/2TD’s passing. Good write up of game though & that you think M-A should have won by more.
What happened to M-A’s other 2 QB’s?
What happened to M-A’s other 2 QB’s?
WCAL Football 2018 - This Week's Games
Mitty 1-1 at Acalanes 2-1 Friday 7:00 PM
Bell's 1-1 at Vintage 1-2 [Napa] Friday 7:00 PM
Serra 1-1 at Pitt 1-2 Friday &;00 PM
SHC 1-1 hosts Homestead 0-2 Friday 7:00 PM
SF 2-0 hosts DLS 3-0 Friday 7:30 PM
VC 1-1 hosts Clovis West 0-3 Friday 7:00 PM
Riordan 0-2 at Napa 0-3
S.I. 0-2 at Gonzaga Prep-WA 0-1 at Spokane 6:00 PM Saturday
Mitty 1-1 at Acalanes 2-1 Friday 7:00 PM
Bell's 1-1 at Vintage 1-2 [Napa] Friday 7:00 PM
Serra 1-1 at Pitt 1-2 Friday &;00 PM
SHC 1-1 hosts Homestead 0-2 Friday 7:00 PM
SF 2-0 hosts DLS 3-0 Friday 7:30 PM
VC 1-1 hosts Clovis West 0-3 Friday 7:00 PM
Riordan 0-2 at Napa 0-3
S.I. 0-2 at Gonzaga Prep-WA 0-1 at Spokane 6:00 PM Saturday
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Per the game articles and coach video interview, their starting QB is out and their backup should be ready this week. Anderson their emergency 3rd string QB whose played in their first two games is a WR/CB with a couple D1 offers in the secondary. Based on what the coach said MA was missing a couple kids against Bell that they got back, and a couple more that'll be back this week and missed the Mitty game.
I actually didn't know about the others until I went back and looked at the game articles for more info on Anderson's passing and saw the coach interview. Makes it more impressive that MA beat two WCAL teams minus multiple starters and their QBs.
So this much seems clear: At partial-strength, M-A can compete with, and beat, mid-level WCAL teams. At full strength, the Bears might well be a problem for the league's top units.
WCAL Football 2018 – Upcoming Game Previews
Mitty 1-1 at Acalanes 2-1 Friday 7:00 PM
Acalanes has 2 wins over Vintage of Napa by 28-27 and also a 48-27 win over Rodriguez of Fairfield. The Acalanes “Dons” are primarily a passing team and do not run the ball much, but when they do the primary RB is Jake Delaney 5’10-185 who has a 5.8 APC.
Acalanes throws the ball a lot using QB Nick Kresnak 6’1-200. The junior Qb has already attempted 112 passes in just 3 games completing 52% for 780 yards & 9 TD’s.
The Don’s spread the ball around to 5 different WR’s. The 2 top WR’s are Chris Rodgers 6’2-180 & Lucas Eppinger 6’1-175 & between them have 32 catches for 424 yards & 6 TD’s. The top 2 defensive players appear to be Tommy Thrasher & Alex Cortessis who are the leading tacklers for Acalanes.
Mitty is projected as the favorite in this game & should be motivated after a tough close loss to Menlo-Atherton. Acalanes will air the ball out as opposed to Oakdale or M-A and should be a challenge to Mitty’s D-secondary. With a QB who is completing 52% and 5 capable WR’s to throw to this game could be close. How will Mitty respond after the loss? 2 miscues of a fumble returned for a TD and a long INT return to set up another score cost Mitty in the loss to
M-A so Monarch’s will need to limit turnovers to keep the ball away from the best QB they will face to date. Shamir Bey of Mitty has accounted for 7 TD’s in 2 games & will be interesting to see how he responds after the loss as well
Prediction: Mitty 28-14 over Acalanes
Mitty 1-1 at Acalanes 2-1 Friday 7:00 PM
Acalanes has 2 wins over Vintage of Napa by 28-27 and also a 48-27 win over Rodriguez of Fairfield. The Acalanes “Dons” are primarily a passing team and do not run the ball much, but when they do the primary RB is Jake Delaney 5’10-185 who has a 5.8 APC.
Acalanes throws the ball a lot using QB Nick Kresnak 6’1-200. The junior Qb has already attempted 112 passes in just 3 games completing 52% for 780 yards & 9 TD’s.
The Don’s spread the ball around to 5 different WR’s. The 2 top WR’s are Chris Rodgers 6’2-180 & Lucas Eppinger 6’1-175 & between them have 32 catches for 424 yards & 6 TD’s. The top 2 defensive players appear to be Tommy Thrasher & Alex Cortessis who are the leading tacklers for Acalanes.
Mitty is projected as the favorite in this game & should be motivated after a tough close loss to Menlo-Atherton. Acalanes will air the ball out as opposed to Oakdale or M-A and should be a challenge to Mitty’s D-secondary. With a QB who is completing 52% and 5 capable WR’s to throw to this game could be close. How will Mitty respond after the loss? 2 miscues of a fumble returned for a TD and a long INT return to set up another score cost Mitty in the loss to
M-A so Monarch’s will need to limit turnovers to keep the ball away from the best QB they will face to date. Shamir Bey of Mitty has accounted for 7 TD’s in 2 games & will be interesting to see how he responds after the loss as well
Prediction: Mitty 28-14 over Acalanes
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