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WCAL Football 2018 - San Jose Merc All Bay Area Team

The rich get richer! Congrats to Serra's, Valley Christian's and St. Francis' Frosh teams as they finish as Tri-Champions. St. Francis defeats the young Padres today to create the 3-way Title.

I believe that if VC’s JV’s defeat Riordan they will win that championship outright. Now if Serra varsity can just beat SF.......
 
Serra's, Valley Christian's and St. Francis' Frosh teams finish are Tri-Champions. St. Francis defeats the Padres today [16-8] to create the 3-way Title.
Looks like more Lancer defense on the way. Good to see SI in dead last place.
 
WCAL Football 2018 - St. Francis vs Serra for league title Saturday 2 PM at Serra

"The Tale of the Tape"

In comparing the 2 teams on paper I was surprised by some of the disparities in stats which tell a different story than the overall scores shown below. SF has the #1 defense in the WCAL and the stats in that category are overwhelmingly in the Lancer's favor. While Serra has the #1 offense in WCAL some of the stats are surprising & telling at the same time. Serra survives on its passing game and SF has the superior rushing game - it is not even close in carries, yards gained or APC [average per carry]. It would seem as one poster pointed out [colhenry?], that Serra's O-Line is designed for pass protection and not necessarily capable of opening holes for the Padre RB's against a stout defense. Against Serra's 3 best opponents which all resulted in losses Serra's run game was essentially shut down. In those 3 games vs Serra -Gardena, Pitt & VC Serra's run game averages were 2.0, 1.3 & 1.5. In the SF win over VC the Lancers shut down the VC run game with the longest run allowed was 10 yards [this is not good news for the Padres]. Also Serra's pass game is primarily a short passing game with most yardage after the catch ["YAC"]. SF has proven to contain such short passes from becoming long gains & has an excellent secondary with Evan Williams & Maurice Wilmar who also play WR's on offense [also Matthew Craig who leads the team in INT's with 4]. Evan Williams is THE primary WR for SF and they will go to Williams with long passes on average 4 times per game.

Records: SF 8-1, Serra 6-3

Common Opponents:
SF 7-3 over VC, VC over Serra 37-6
SF 28-7 over Mitty, Serra 42-6 over Mitty
SF 14-0 over SHC, Serra 42-0 over SHC
SF 31-6 over S.I., Serra 50-14 over S.I.
SF 28-0 over Bells, Serra 43-0 over Bells
SF 38-0 over Riordan, Serra 57-6 over Riordan

In above games SF scored 146 points while allowing only 16
In above games Serra scored 240 points while allowing 57 points

Stats in head to head comparison:
Yards passing per game = SF 93 w/Daly & Serra 173
Completions per game = SF 6 & Serra 13
QB Completion percentage = SF 47% & Serra 70%
Yards rushing per game = SF 151 & Serra 131
TD's scored = SF 30 & Serra 42
QB Sacks = SF 30 & Serra 11
Interceptions = SF 13 & Serra 5
SF RB's = Bishop 81/492 for 6.1 APC & Fangupo 76/423 for 5.6 APC
Serra RB's = Sanchez 62/277 for 4.5 APC and Bottari 55/159 for 2.9 APC

Conclusion:
Serra faces a tall challenge in this game to score against this Lancer defense. The SF "D" is entirely capable of shutting down Serra's run game forcing Bottari into passing more when Serra abandons the run. The SF defensive secondary is the best of WCAL teams with Williams, Wilmar & Craig and could blanket the Padre WR's.
Like I said it is going to be a challenge for Serra. Both teams have good coaching & coach Walsh of Serra will have to change things up a bit in terms of the "unexpected". SF with their top rusher Pakola will be harassing Bottari when he does drop back to pass. Serra's ability to pass is key to this game as the Lancer's will face the WCAL's leading passer. Whether Bottari gets time to pass or can deliver the ball to his WR's is another story. I do agree this will be a fairly low scoring game and perhaps a few big plays on special teams could make the difference. SF has given up 16 points in its last 6 games and highest allowed this season was 33 to DLS. If 2 teams in the league were twins those 2 teams would be SF & VC with the exception that SF has the better passing game. So Serra has seen VC and can expect a very similar team in SF. Serra will need to get a fast start in this game to gain some confidence & prevent SF from slowing down the pace and taking control.
 
WCAL Football 2018 - St. Francis vs Serra for league title Saturday 2 PM at Serra

"The Tale of the Tape"

In comparing the 2 teams on paper I was surprised by some of the disparities in stats which tell a different story than the overall scores shown below. SF has the #1 defense in the WCAL and the stats in that category are overwhelmingly in the Lancer's favor. While Serra has the #1 offense in WCAL some of the stats are surprising & telling at the same time. Serra survives on its passing game and SF has the superior rushing game - it is not even close in carries, yards gained or APC [average per carry]. It would seem as one poster pointed out [colhenry?], that Serra's O-Line is designed for pass protection and not necessarily capable of opening holes for the Padre RB's against a stout defense. Against Serra's 3 best opponents which all resulted in losses Serra's run game was essentially shut down. In those 3 games vs Serra -Gardena, Pitt & VC Serra's run game averages were 2.0, 1.3 & 1.5. In the SF win over VC the Lancers shut down the VC run game with the longest run allowed was 10 yards [this is not good news for the Padres]. Also Serra's pass game is primarily a short passing game with most yardage after the catch ["YAC"]. SF has proven to contain such short passes from becoming long gains & has an excellent secondary with Evan Williams & Maurice Wilmar who also play WR's on offense [also Matthew Craig who leads the team in INT's with 4]. Evan Williams is THE primary WR for SF and they will go to Williams with long passes on average 4 times per game.

Records: SF 8-1, Serra 6-3

Common Opponents:
SF 7-3 over VC, VC over Serra 37-6
SF 28-7 over Mitty, Serra 42-6 over Mitty
SF 14-0 over SHC, Serra 42-0 over SHC
SF 31-6 over S.I., Serra 50-14 over S.I.
SF 28-0 over Bells, Serra 43-0 over Bells
SF 38-0 over Riordan, Serra 57-6 over Riordan

In above games SF scored 146 points while allowing only 16
In above games Serra scored 240 points while allowing 57 points

Stats in head to head comparison:
Yards passing per game = SF 93 w/Daly & Serra 173
Completions per game = SF 6 & Serra 13
QB Completion percentage = SF 47% & Serra 70%
Yards rushing per game = SF 151 & Serra 131
TD's scored = SF 30 & Serra 42
QB Sacks = SF 30 & Serra 11
Interceptions = SF 13 & Serra 5
SF RB's = Bishop 81/492 for 6.1 APC & Fangupo 76/423 for 5.6 APC
Serra RB's = Sanchez 62/277 for 4.5 APC and Bottari 55/159 for 2.9 APC

Conclusion:
Serra faces a tall challenge in this game to score against this Lancer defense. The SF "D" is entirely capable of shutting down Serra's run game forcing Bottari into passing more when Serra abandons the run. The SF defensive secondary is the best of WCAL teams with Williams, Wilmar & Craig and could blanket the Padre WR's.
Like I said it is going to be a challenge for Serra. Both teams have good coaching & coach Walsh of Serra will have to change things up a bit in terms of the "unexpected". SF with their top rusher Pakola will be harassing Bottari when he does drop back to pass. Serra's ability to pass is key to this game as the Lancer's will face the WCAL's leading passer. Whether Bottari gets time to pass or can deliver the ball to his WR's is another story. I do agree this will be a fairly low scoring game and perhaps a few big plays on special teams could make the difference. SF has given up 16 points in its last 6 games and highest allowed this season was 33 to DLS. If 2 teams in the league were twins those 2 teams would be SF & VC with the exception that SF has the better passing game. So Serra has seen VC and can expect a very similar team in SF. Serra will need to get a fast start in this game to gain some confidence & prevent SF from slowing down the pace and taking control.

Great point about a reliance on a comparison of final scores. They are often deceiving. Matchups matter more. So do styles of play. Not to mention sheer talent combined with coaching and preparation. Given all that, if SF loses this Saturday afternoon showdown on West 20th Avenue, it will be something of a shock.
 
Great point about a reliance on a comparison of final scores. They are often deceiving. Matchups matter more. So do styles of play. Not to mention sheer talent combined with coaching and preparation. Given all that, if SF loses this Saturday afternoon showdown on West 20th Avenue, it will be something of a shock.

I’m kind of feeling Serra in this one.
 
Sure thing berdooman. Streak One has notified me that he is setting up so I may send & receive messages for other posters. In meantime I'll shoot you an email.
 
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Defense_Rules said:
I’m kind of feeling Serra in this one.

Die-hard Serra fans are hoping you, sir, are correct, sir.

OK back to reality fans. SO Defense_Rules is a VC fan so I can understand his motivation for wanting a Serra victory. Both colhenry & Rmbr26 are staunch Serra Padre fans. Now having said that I was quite excited previous that Serra & its all-time passing leader QB would overwhelm the Lancers. Now I have taken a 2nd look & as above in my post "Tale of the Tape" it appears Serra faces an uphill challenge & that hill is quite steep. My enthusiasm has now been dampened just a bit after reviewing all stats vs game scores. Make no mistake that SF is favored in this game & I believe by 2 scores is an accurate projection. I am going against my gut instinct and loyalty of Serra to simply believe they will win. Serra has bested SF several seasons in a row and twice in 2 seasons vanquishing SF in the playoffs as well. The Lancers simply may be too top-heavy talent wise for the Serra win streak to continue. I would not bet the house on Serra in this game..
just sayin'
 
I’m kind of feeling Serra in this one.

Here is an interesting note: Oak Grove (played St. Francis) lost 41-14 to Live Oak tonight. With the loss and a Lincoln win, Oak Grove finished 2nd in the BVAL-MH along with a host of other schools.

Based on CCS power point calculations, Oak Grove needs a St. Francis win in order to stay in 3rd in a projected CCS Open DII bracket. If St. Francis wins outright, then the seeding order would go:
1. SF (31.5)
2. VC (27.33)
3. OG (23.5)
4. Leland (23)
5. Serra (22)
6. AM (21.5)
7. Christopher (20)
8. Aragon (17.5)

If Serra wins and there is a 3-way tie for the WCAL title, that would cost Oak Grove 2/3rds of a point and give Serra an additional 2.5 points. Because seeds 3-7 are so bunched, the seeding order would now look like:
1. SF (28.5)
2. VC (28.17)
3. SERRA (24.5)
4. Leland (23)
5. OAK GROVE (22.83)
6. AM (21.5)
7. Christopher (20)
8. Aragon (17.5)

Frankly since 5 of the 6 CCS Open Finalists advance to NorCals I would much rather let SF see Serra in the 2nd Round of CCS rather than play them ourselves.

This is because the points awarded for playing or being a league champion are prorated based on how many teams tie for the title.
 
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WCAL Football 2018 - Mitty Monarchs over SHC Irish

In a back & forth game Mitty took over in the 2nd 1/2 to win over SHC by 26-14 last night.
Both teams go to 3-4 in WCAL league & both teams 5-5 overall. I felt that SHC had the momentum with recent wins over S.I. & Bells [SHC had win 26-21 over S.I. while Mitty lost to S.I. 38-24] and would take Mitty in this game. The Monarchs and their #2 QB proved me wrong & an important win for Mitty which gives them the edge in final league standings with the head to head win over the Irish.
 
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WCAL Football 2018 - Mitty Monarchs over SHC Irish

In a back & forth game Mitty took over in the 2nd 1/2 to win over SHC by 26-14 last night.
Both teams go to 3-4 in WCAL league & both teams 5-5 overall. I felt that SHC had the momentum with recent wins over S.I. & Bells [SHC had win 26-21 over S.I. while Mitty lost to S.I. 38-24] and would take Mitty in this game. The monarchs and their #2 QB proved me wrong & an important win for Mitty which gives them the edge in fianl league standings with the head to head win over the Irish.
How serious is Bey’s injury? I know he also got banged early in the season against Riordan. He didn’t seem to be the same player this year. Hope it’s not serious as he also is a key player on the Monarch hoops team.
 
WCAL Football 2018 - Mitty 26-14 over SHC

jordan
- As much as I like Shamir Bey the WCAL's 2017 "Soph of the Year" his play seemed a bit off recently & not sure if that was due to injury or just being "banged up". Honestly in last nights game I did not see any drop off in the offense with the soph Remello Murphy at QB. If fact Murphy who has some good size at 6'1 for a soph [so will get bigger] could compete for the starting job next season when Bey is a senior. Murphy although in less playing time has a better completion percentage and better APC when running the ball. Mitty is in good shape for next season with 2 experienced varsity QB's. Nice to see the Monarch's finish on a winning note after high expectations the beginning of the season.
 
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WCAL Football 2018 - Games Streamed Today

Saturday
SF at Serra 2:00 PM - http://baosn.tv/

Does anyone know if either of these 2 games is being streamed today?
Bells at S.I. 2:00 PM
Riordan hosts VC at Terra Nova 3:00 PM
 
WCAL Football 2018 - SF vs Serra

SO far one quarter down & Serra has made 3 mistakes: a fumble deep in their territory, jumping offside on 4th & 5 on defense and then a hold on a decent KO return. SF up 7-0 and that score will certainly increase if Serra continues to shoot themselves in the foot with mistakes.
 
WCAL Football 2018 - SF vs Serra

Serra catches a break with the hold penalty on SF on the short TD. Serra then gives up the fade pass to SF's Williams, a play SF uses over & over again in that situation & ALWAYS to Williams. Serra 2 turn-overs and SF 2 TD's.
 
WCAL Football 2018

After sack by Serra's Lahlouh Serra needs to cover Williams! He is ALWAYS SF's primary WR.
 
St Francis 21 Serra 7 Half

St Francis starts second half with ball.
Serra penalties and turnovers seem to be common theme for this season. Seem to be playing against themselves. Still in this game but not if they don't play with more discipline. St Francis defense is legitimate but offense isn't elite.
 
I started watching livestream with the score 14-0 Lancers in second quarter and then saw the Serra TD and the ensuing kickoff. It appeared Damon Lewis who regularly booms them into end zone did not kick and Pads back-up kicker kicked one short that was returned to the 40. Is Lewis injured? Sorry, if this was covered by the announcers earlier or if someone posted it on here already.
 
I started watching livestream with the score 14-0 Lancers in second quarter and then saw the Serra TD and the ensuing kickoff. It appeared Damon Lewis who regularly booms them into end zone did not kick and Pads back-up kicker kicked one short that was returned to the 40. Is Lewis injured? Sorry, if this was covered by the announcers earlier or if someone posted it on here already.
Lewis injured his hand on an SF fumble earlier in the game.
 
Yes the announcers mentioned Serra's kicker Lewis injuring his hand on the muffed punt recovered by Serra.
I guess question by berdooman is how does his hand prevent him from kicking? The short kick-off proved costly for Serra.

OK update Lewis was having his arm wrapped for possible fracture.
 
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So far disappointing & a replay of the VC game as Serra giving the game away with penalties & mistakes. Not completely unexpected though.
Evan Williams burns Padres for his 2nd TD simply by running past the secondary - baffling...
 
St. Francis 42 Serra 7 9:30 left in the game.
One can only imagine if the Lancers still had their starting quarterback and if Page did not transfer.
 
WCAL Football 2018 - SF vs Serra

Not sure, but it looks as though Riordan players have suited up in Serra uniforms for todays game. Lol!

OK I'll be first to admit these 2 teams are on different levels - very different levels. The WCAL is a difficult league to understand at times considering SF is leading Serra by more than the point differentials in their wins over Bells, Mitty, SHC & S.I. The only positive for Serra is it has not gone to a running clock. Time to re-group for playoffs & hope [as there is always hope, right??]
 
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