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WCAL Football 2018 - San Jose Merc All Bay Area Team

WCAL Football 2018 - Stat Leaders per MaxPrep

Another poster has a thread regarding the CCS stat leaders compiled by MaxPreps. Since the WCAL is a "different animal" so to speak the stats for the WCAL teams are usually more conservative simply due to much tougher schedules. When I look at some of the CCS stat leaders year to year and see which teams the players are on I often look up their schedules. I feel its safe to say many of the CCS stat leaders would not lead the WCAL if in that league which of course is open to debate. SO hear is what MaxPreps has posted for the top stat leaders in the WCAL with the exception of Bellarmine & S.I. who do not participate in posting about their teams stats [I could be wrong, but I do not think either Bells or S.I. has any player with stats better than those posted below. Here you go:

Passing: Luke Bottari - Serra, 130/188 for 1648 yards, 69% completions, 16 TD's, 7 Int's.
Rushing: Isaiah McElvane - Valley Christian 794 yards, 88 yards per game, 6.8 APC, 7 TD's.
Receiving: Evan Williams - St. Francis, 23 receptions, 625 yards, 27 yards avg, 69 yards game, 9 TD's.
Field Goals: Lucas Ramirez - Valley Christian, 5/5 with long 35 yards.
PAT's: Damon Lewis - Serra, 36/36.
Tackles: Derrick Smith - Mitty, 83 with 8.3 per game.
Sacks: Judaee Moon - Valley Christian, 11 sacks.
Punting: Damon Lewis - Serra, 40 yard avg.
Interceptions: Matthew Craig - SF & Joseph Vaugn - Mitty with 4 Int's each.

Looking at the stats on the offense side of the ball they are def down from last season. Most noticeable is the difference in rushing stats. Last season the leader was SF's Darrell Page with almost 2300 yards, 153 yards per game and 23 TD's. Page was followed by Serra's Isaiah Kendrick with over 1600 yards & 31 TD's and then VC's Charlie Bostic 1200 yards & 11 TD's. Both Kendricks & Bostic averaged over 100 yards per game as well. This season the teams have gone more to rushing "by committee" using a number of RB's other than a featured, break-away RB. Likewise other than Evan Williams of SF there are no real deep threat consistent WR's in WCAL this season. SF the best team features a shut-down D and a grind it out run game featuring 3 RB's, none of which I'd consider "break-away" threats and only passes [usually to Evans] a handful of times per game. SF did however torch Serra's defensive secondary in the 42-7 win in which Evans had 3 TD receptions. VC the 2nd best team has almost no passing game & relies on its rush game entirely along with its imposing D. Serra with the league's leading passing game does not have a deep threat this season and its short passing game fizzled against both VC & SF & with no featured RB Serra was unable to establish its run game against both those teams. With Serra graduating 4 very good WR's from last season along with its featured RB Kendricks the one dynamic player returning on offense [besides Bottari] was Serra's RB David Coker who was lost to injury for the season early on. It remains to be seen how any WCAL teams who advance to NorCal sectionals will deal with the offensive fire power of some of the NCS & Sac-San Joaquin sections.
 
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First off Serra is not out of this. The Padres have a legitimate chance to take D-2. If Serra can show up and stop the penalties and mistakes, they can stay in the game against SF and VC. I watched those games and if Serra can jump out to a lead and make them play from behind then Serra has a real chance. Especially against two teams that rely on the run. I honestly believe that you can throw those first two games out. I’m not taking Serra for granted. This second game I would anticipate to be a lot closer.

Now as far as the offensive firepower of the NCS and SJS? I can only look at SF’s game against DLS. In that game the Lancer D only gave up 26 points ( the other 7 points came on a pick 6). The SF offense was able to get 15 points. So yes, I would be concerned if SF had to play DLS again.
 
WCAL Football - Lack of Offense in 2018 WCAL?

WCAL75
always good to hear from you and was wondering if you were still following the NCP's board forum as much any more. I know what you're saying about Serra & subsequent games vs SF and/or VC and while I would like to think the games would be much closer I think the odds are against it. Prior to the Serra-SF game I reviewed all the stats for VC & Serra & then again for SF & Serra and it pointed to a clear win by your SF Lancers. Historically speaking when one WCAL team has dominated another in a regular season game and then the 2 teams played in post season playoffs the results are usually similar to the first game. The only exceptions I found were in close games such as when Serra beat an unbeaten Bells team by a slim margin in WCAL league play and then several weeks later the Bells dominated the Padres in round 1 of the CCS Open playoffs. VC won over Serra by 37-6 and SF over Serra by 42-7 both in dominating fashion. Serra is lacking a deep threat WR and simply put their WR's don't have the speed of those from the last several seasons [or size as with Patrick Nunn last year]. Serra's WR's receptions, yardage & TD's are all down significantly from the last several seasons. Add to that there is no break-away RB and that compounds the problem. The last couple seasons Serra was fortunate to have Isaiah Kendricks who was a double-threat both running & catching passes out of the back field. So Serra had dynamic players in 4 WR's [ie: the best receiving core in league in 2016 & 2017] along with the best dual threat RB in WCAL in Kendricks. This 2018 season Serra has neither of those components and it shows up when the Padres play teams with a better defense. With both VC & SF the Padres had far too many short possessions on offense and that put extra pressure on Serra's D which wore down in the 2nd 1/2's of both games.
And finally Yes the penalties and miscues of which were many did not help as well in both games. If as you say the games were closer and Serra could win a game against either VC or SF it would certainly be a stunning turn of events which most fans at this point would not be expecting.
 
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WCAL Football 2018 - Today's Games Saturday November 17th

Upcoming Games:

Sat 11/17 Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco, CA) vs Live Oak (Morgan Hill, CA) at Alisal (Salinas, CA), 4:00pm Open III Playoffs


Sat 11/17 Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton, CA) vs St. Ignatius (San Francisco, CA) at Alisal (Salinas, CA), 1:00pm
Open III Playoffs


Sat 11/17 Mitty (San Jose, CA) vs Oak Grove (San Jose, CA) at Alvarez (Salinas, CA), 1:00pm
Open II Playoffs


Sat 11/17 Serra (San Mateo, CA) vs Leland (San Jose, CA) at Alvarez (Salinas, CA), 7:00pm
Open II Playoffs


Sat 11/17 St. Francis (Mountain View, CA) vs Aragon (San Mateo, CA) at Alvarez (Salinas, CA), 4:00pm
Open II Playoffs

Sat 11/17 Valley Christian (San Jose, CA) vs Christopher (Gilroy, CA) at Pacific Grove (CA), 7:00pm
Open II Playoffs

Projected Winners: SHP, Mitty, Serra, SF, VC with SHC/Live Oak an even pick


 
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Checking last minute, but no luck as of yet. I think with the venue changes along with time changes and then changing again last minute it may have proved too difficult to coordinate streaming with a reliable source.
 
Aragon is being routed early by SF. No surprise there. Dons having one of their worst seasons in many years in 2018.
 
Checking last minute, but no luck as of yet. I think with the venue changes along with time changes and then changing again last minute it may have proved too difficult to coordinate streaming with a reliable source.

Makes sense, thanks.
 
FYI - just posted a separate thread on board. Numerous CCS playoff games advertised as being available live-streamed on YouTube via "Funmanger". You'll be redirected and told to create your personal account with free 5-day viewing of games as long as you enter your credit card info. None of the games are actually available and its a scammer per reviews on google.
 
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From recent reports SF was taking Aragon to the woodshed as expected and Aragon will finish 2-9.
Revisions were made some years ago in CCS in an attempt to avoid such mismatches after VC was mowing down teams in its small school division in playoffs. Then again SF hammered numerous WCAL teams & so did the 2-8 Aragon Don's really deserve a shot? The easy answer is no, not really as there was not even a chance of a competitive game between these 2 teams. The Dons of Aragon were having a truly dismal year and the wrong time to be paired up with the #1 ranked team in CCS. How poorly did Aragon play this season? Look no further than its closest rivals Hillsdale & San Mateo High along with Mills who were all truly dreadful this season [Hillsdale 3-7, SM 3-7 and Mills 3-6 and all with weak schedules]. The worst blemish on Aragon's season record was a loss to much lower ranked Hillsdale a team that lost to Capuchino by 39-0. I can say from memory I cannot remember a season in which all 4 of these PAL teams were so dreadful. Its not out of the question that any of the top WCAL JV teams could take down any of these teams with Aragon having the best shot at a win. Hopefully this trend will not continue for the majority of PAL leagues & teams. M-A was winning vs Milpitas last I checked while SHP struggled with 3-7 S.I. by holding off the Wildcats in the 4th quarter.
 
Just checking & see SF, VC, Serra, Mitty & SHC all Roll...
My upset pick of S.I. over SHP Gators fell short, but I still have SHC in same division so still hope..
 
All PAL public school teams are strictly neighborhood teams. They are not allowed to lard their rosters with young men from all over the Bay Area. They are what they are. They are at the mercy of changing student demographics, parents worried about concussions and other issues. The league, generally speaking, was down in 2018. Small varsity rosters are becoming the new normal. Several schools that had freshmen teams have dropped them. Burlingame finished the regular season with 21 available varsity players. Serra, on the other hand, did the same with nearly three times that number. There is every indication that the PAL's public schools, by and large, are suffering when it comes to football. M-A is not. That is the one, clear exception.
 
M-A is not suffering being that it is preety much the only public school within 5 miles of it. San Mateo, Hillsdale and Aragon are in very close proximity to each other, Sequioia, Carlmont and Woodside are preety close in that they are within ten miles, while Terra Nova sits in the middle of Jefferson and HMB.Cappuccino, South City and El Camino are also clustered together. These are factors publics face as they try to appeal to the neighborhoods in which they serve. They also must compete with the Luke's of SI, Serra, SHC and St. Francis to get these players.
 
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From recent reports SF was taking Aragon to the woodshed as expected and Aragon will finish 2-9.
Revisions were made some years ago in CCS in an attempt to avoid such mismatches after VC was mowing down teams in its small school division in playoffs. Then again SF hammered numerous WCAL teams & so did the 2-8 Aragon Don's really deserve a shot? The easy answer is no, not really as there was not even a chance of a competitive game between these 2 teams. The Dons of Aragon were having a truly dismal year and the wrong time to be paired up with the #1 ranked team in CCS. How poorly did Aragon play this season? Look no further than its closest rivals Hillsdale & San Mateo High along with Mills who were all truly dreadful this season [Hillsdale 3-7, SM 3-7 and Mills 3-6 and all with weak schedules]. The worst blemish on Aragon's season record was a loss to much lower ranked Hillsdale a team that lost to Capuchino by 39-0. I can say from memory I cannot remember a season in which all 4 of these PAL teams were so dreadful. Its not out of the question that any of the top WCAL JV teams could take down any of these teams with Aragon having the best shot at a win. Hopefully this trend will not continue for the majority of PAL leagues & teams. M-A was winning vs Milpitas last I checked while SHP struggled with 3-7 S.I. by holding off the Wildcats in the 4th quarter.

It’s bad enough that 2-9 Aragon even made the playoffs, but how did they get placed in an Open division? Are there really that few teams in the CCS, or just too many Open divisions?
 
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FYI - just posted a separate thread on board. Numerous CCS playoff games advertised as being available live-streamed on YouTube via "Funmanger". You'll be redirected and told to create your personal account with free 5-day viewing of games as long as you enter your credit card info. None of the games are actually available and its a scammer per reviews on google.

They almost got me. Stopped when they wanted a credit card for a free game. The profile pic was a voluptuous Asian gal. That should have been the first clue, but I didn’t click on the profile pic until my feelers went up when they wanted my credit card info.....
 
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It’s bad enough that 2-9 Aragon even made the playoffs, but how did they get placed in an Open division? Are there really that few teams in the CCS, or just too many Open divisions?
You know an A league is down when a team makes the automatic playoff slot by ranking 4th (and last auto slot) in league by winning two league games but end up winning no other games for a 2-8 record. This is really a story about too small of a league to have 4 auto slots.
 
You know an A league is down when a team makes the automatic playoff slot by ranking 4th (and last auto slot) in league by winning two league games but end up winning no other games for a 2-8 record. This is really a story about too small of a league to have 4 auto slots.
The MHAL went 0-5 in the playoffs with 4 blowouts! 58-14, 20-0, 35-7, 63-7, 60-6. Hard to believe.
 
It was noted at the beginning of playoffs that VC had a small window to be selected for a runner up RGB slot. The odds just decreased even more after the first round of playoffs. The best scenario for VC to get in is the beat SF; and that's not very likely.

Other scenarios include:
1) Wilcox to lose to Salinas next week AND MA/PA not lose in the final round.
2) Palma lose to Aptos and SHP lose to SHC next week OR Palma lose to Aptos and SHP not lose in the final round.
3) SF to lose to Serra AND VC beat Serra

All of the other scenario odds are less likely than VC beating SF. Of course VC must also beat Mitty. So the conclusion is that VC can't depend on the misfortune of other playoff teams to help them but must claim a slot for themselves by beating SF.
 
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As

Good Observation. No doubt about it - both PAL-Bay and BHAL-MH are really down this year.

Although the PAL Bay Division and the PAL overall are not as strong as they have been in the past, a number of teams remain alive at this point. M-A is an obvious factor in Open Division I, Sacred Heart Prep is no slouch in Open Division III, Burlingame and Carlmont are in the mix in Division IV and The King's Academy is a strong contender in Division V. So 2018 has not been a total bust for the PAL. And, really, what does that say about the rest of CCS as a whole?
 
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FBAddict - not sure why you'd think VC has very little chance in a possible rematch vs St Francis?
The first game went down to the wire with SF prevailing 7-3 with the Lancer's lone TD coming off an INT in VC's red zone early in game. I think the 2 teams match up very well against each other and game 2 would likely be a close contest as well. The one advantage SF has is a better passing game over VC. SF has the better throwing QB and WR's in Evans, Wilmer & Landphere. VC has Loving-Black as their top WR, but has a stable of 4 good RB's incl a break-away threats in McElvane & Lang who have 21 TD's between them.

I agree SF would be a slight favorite by maybe 2-4 points, but another low scoring contest and possibly decided in the 4th quarter.
 
OK, let me qualify my statement of "little chance to beat SF.." in my estimation, VC has about 46% likelihood of beating SF. That may seem like a fair chance to win. But when you consider the limited effectiveness of VC's offense gives some doubt they can overcome the stout D of SF. VC is pretty ineffective on its aerial attack. Additionally, VC's run play complexity is limited. I saw a triple misdirection play against Christopher that was ineffective. It failed the first time and second time it gained just a few yards. The problem with the play was developed in a 4 yard width range and no Christopher defender seemed to be fooled. The play should have been wide enough to cause defenders to commit to a direction.

The only way VC wins is to play different and better than expected. The only team I have seen this happen this season was VC's game with Serra. And maybe it was Serra's problem instead of VC's offensive prowess.
 
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Agree with your above assessment FBA & aware VC has no real passing game. What surprised me in the Serra-SF game was SF's success passing against the Padres, which SF was unable to do vs VC. The replacement QB Daly for SF completed 70% in 9/13 passing for 4 TD's - his best outing to date against what I thought was a decent Serra secondary. The fact SF only scored once & off a VC turnover in VC's red zone is interesting. Does SF have the best D or perhaps its VC? Either way its close and throw Wilcox into that equation as well.
 
Agree with your above assessment FBA & aware VC has no real passing game. What surprised me in the Serra-SF game was SF's success passing against the Padres, which SF was unable to do vs VC. The replacement QB Daly for SF completed 70% in 9/13 passing for 4 TD's - his best outing to date against what I thought was a decent Serra secondary. The fact SF only scored once & off a VC turnover in VC's red zone is interesting. Does SF have the best D or perhaps its VC? Either way its close and throw Wilcox into that equation as well.
I think there is little doubt, IMO, that VC has the best defense in the WCAL. And I have been pleasantly surprised by VC's aerial defense. Strange to me is that, commonly, a team with good pass defense also has a good passing offense, but that's not the case with VC.
 
It was noted at the beginning of playoffs that VC had a small window to be selected for a runner up RGB slot. The odds just decreased even more after the first round of playoffs. The best scenario for VC to get in is the beat SF; and that's not very likely.

Other scenarios include:
1) Wilcox to lose to Salinas next week AND MA/PA not lose in the final round.
2) Palma lose to Aptos and SHP lose to SHC next week OR Palma lose to Aptos and SHP not lose in the final round.
3) SF to lose to Serra AND VC beat Serra

All of the other scenario odds are less likely than VC beating SF. Of course VC must also beat Mitty. So the conclusion is that VC can't depend on the misfortune of other playoff teams to help them but must claim a slot for themselves by beating SF.

Note that Palma defeating SHC in the Open DIII Final would also send VC to NorCals regardless of what happens in the Open II Final.

For that to happen, SHC needs to upset SHP this week.

Also note Palma defeated Aptos by 5 earlier in the season, so that is another game that could go either way.
 
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Note that Palma defeating SHC in the Open DIII Final would also send VC to NorCals regardless of what happens in the Open II Final.

For that to happen, SHC needs to upset SHP this week.

Also note Palma defeated Aptos by 5 earlier in the season, so that is another game that could go either way.
You are right, as long as SHC beats SHP and Palma beats SHC, VC would go. But if SHC beats SHP and then beats Palma, Palma still goes to RGB and VC stays home. That's a 4th scenario I missed.
 
Agree with your above assessment FBA & aware VC has no real passing game. What surprised me in the Serra-SF game was SF's success passing against the Padres, which SF was unable to do vs VC. The replacement QB Daly for SF completed 70% in 9/13 passing for 4 TD's - his best outing to date against what I thought was a decent Serra secondary. The fact SF only scored once & off a VC turnover in VC's red zone is interesting. Does SF have the best D or perhaps its VC? Either way its close and throw Wilcox into that equation as well.

Again, Serra's DL does not exert enough pressure on QB's vs. quality teams, at least not yet. That tends to expose their DB's.
 
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In SF’s first game against VC they did not have the passing game that they have now. It was Daly’s first start. He has grown into a decent QB who is has become comfortable and more in sync with his receivers. In addition SF did not have there starting RB Bishop along with 5 other starters that were out. I think Bishops first game back off the injury was the Serra game.

Having said that I think IF SF plays VC it will be a pickem game. And that is a big IF as I think Serra has a legitimate chance of beating SF. I do believe that SF will win that game but it would not surprise me if it went the other way. The Padre coaching and game plan will be the key.
 
Again, Serra's DL does not exert enough pressure on QB's vs. quality teams, at least not yet. That tends to expose their DB's.

Yes Serra's DL seemed tough against the run early in the SF game, but as the game wore on with the SF QB picking apart the Serra secondary it opened the run game up for the Lancer's as well. As for the 4 TD passes thrown by SF's QB Daly 3 of those were to Evan Williams who the Padres knew would be the primary target - so bad coaching, poor coverage by DB's/SS or simply that Evan Williams is THAT good. In order #1 Evan Williams is THAT good, #2 coaching should have had Williams doubled at all times esp inside the Serra red zone where the Lancer's throw the fade to Williams on a regular basis in that part of the field & once again another TD for WIliams against a lone Serra DB, #3
Serra DB was "exposed" plenty when Williams ran right past the defender not once but on 2 consecutive series with identical routes for 2 TD's. I guess just knowing its coming doesn't mean you can stop it - ie: not sure there's a DB in WCAL who can cover Williams one on one.
 
WCAL Football 2018 - Projection for this week's games..

SF by 2-3 TD's over Serra which seems about right looking back at the Lancers domination of Padres not long ago by 42-7. While some optomistic fans think Serra can emerge as a "new team" and make this game close history simply doesn't agree - those games dominated in regular season are usually repeated in post season. Bottom line: Serra just does not have the horses in terms of skill players to deal with the Lancer D this season. The Lancer offense with some real horses as their RB's will again be too much for the Padre D to handle over 4 quarters. This game will be closer than last meeting with Lancer's still coming out on top. SF 35-14 over Padres

VC over Mitty by 3 TD's+ in this rematch. I've noticed a similarity between Serra & Mitty in that they easily vanquish lower opponents to the point of embarrassment, but can;t go head to head to stiffer competition. Not taking anything away from either team, but they both have inherent weaknesses. VC 28-7 over Mitty

SHC over SHP by a score. OK before anyone starts laughing I BELIEVE in the Irish! This team almost beat Palma & took down Bells & S.I. While SHP Gators are 9-1 and took down S.I. SHC will come out prepared & motivated. SHC Irish could, would & should be able to overcome the powerful & wealthy Gator's from priveledged Menlo Park's campus that rivals that of the local JC's. SHC's battle tested schedule has me confidant while SHP lost to the only really good team they played in Menlo-Atherton. Oh Wait - that's the same team that lost to Palma who the same Irish team took down to the wire. This could be "The Year of the Irish" once again, IF you Believe... SHC 21-20 over SHP
 
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