Where are you going tonight?

I'll be at that Indy v Antelope game.

Some big rivalry games and others w/league championship and seeding on the line.

Oakdale at Manteca
Napa v Vintage (wish Napa could figure it out)
Sonora @ Summerville
Del Oro at Oakridge
Dixon at Casa
Lincoln Stk @ St Mary's
Tokay @ Lodi

There should be a round robin of Napa, Vintage, Tokay and Lodi. Winner gets some vintage grape trophy?
I wanted to add Amador and Argonaut but nobody from Amador would reply to my mass text thread, weird 😉

The use of the Calpreps.com system has grown significantly over the last few years by the CIF sections. While, it initially had garnered interest with a separate rating list that did not include MoV, the full system in all its glory is now being utilized. In the SS and LACS, as examples, the ratings are used exclusively to determine divisional separations and seeding placements, while in the CCS, they are incoporated into the seeding process. While I do agree that the system with MoV is a much more accurate algorithm than that without, it's not without issues that I believe tend to detract from the ratings for NorCal more teams than those for SoCal.

For those who have not spent a great deal of time trying to understand how it works, the ratings are based on the results of game. The system awards points based on MoV within a certain window and with some base minimum credit for a win itself. The average results (for the most part) ends up being a team's rating. There are a couple of extra facets that I will cover shortly, one of which is the focus of this post.

Specifics:

Teams get a base rating value for a win or loss based on the opponent's rating. This is to say that if Team A beats Team B and B's rating was 20, Team A's game rating value is the MoV + 20. If Team A's rating was 25, then Team B's game rating would be 25 - MoD There are limits to this and the actual values remain fluid until all of the results for the week get entered into the system.

Let's say in the example above Team A wins 24-20. There is a base 15 minimum rating boost just for winning the game, so the game rating for A would be 35, while B would get a 10. This would boost A's rating a bit and lower B's, so the numbers would not be exact, but generally this is how it would work. These game rating would remain the same even if the score was 35-20 (thus, the 15-point minimum boost/detraction). Had A won by 17, then their rating would be 37, while B's would be 8, etc.

But, let's say Team A won by a blowout, then there is a cap (30 points) after which it no longer matters. Had the score been 56-10, Team A's game rating would be 50, while B's would be -5. It could have been 100-0 and these numbers would remain the same.

A key exception to this blowout scenario would be if A's rating was more than 30 than that of B's. In this case, a blowout would have been generally expected, so the system greatly lowers the impact of the result. This is for the protection of the integrity of the ratings. If B was a program that was really struggling and had a rating of -60, it wouldn't be fair for A to receive a game rating of 0 for beating them 60-0, nor realistic for B to get a -35. These results are not considered to be significant.

There is one more specific game result scenario, but I will get to that in just a second...

Overall, a teams' ratings eventually become the general average of the year's results.

The last exception to the average result is the undefeated team rule. An undefeated team must remain rated higher than any team it's defeated. That gap typically depends on the rest of the season each team has. It could be a lot of points, but it typically has a minimum of 0.2. A perfect example of this exists with Long Beach Poly (current rating of 64.2) and Mission Viejo (64.0), due to the fact that the Jackrabbits defeated the Diablos on September 2nd. LBPs average for significant games is 63.2, while that for MV is 64.3, but Poly must remain higher because of that win.

Now for the last specific game result scenario... if Team A is rated more than 30 points higher than Team B, but does not blow them out by 30+, then that game becomes significant and it gets tallied as such in the ratings. This exact scenario played out twice in NorCal last week, and I would argue takes place more commonly in general than in SoCal. I think NorCal teams just tend not to run up scores nearly as much, particularly in tight communities. In SoCal, you typically have one continuous mass of humanity, so it's not like there is a huge culture different between the cities of Whittier and Santa Fe Springs, when it comes to football.

Serra defeated Valley Christian 36-7. The Padres' current rating (post-game) is 61.0, while the Warriors' have 10.2. This 29-point result is now considered significant because Serra simply chose not to run up the score. Granted the 30-point limit is supposed to take this into consideration, but the Padres were actually up 36-0 at the half. Could they have dropped 60 or even 70 on VC if they wanted and made the game insignificant? Yeah, probably, but that didn't happen. They clearly called off the dogs very early.

In Serra's case, this result is not going to really impact anything than their placement on the overall state and national list. Could they have been higher than LBP or MV this week without this result being a part of their rating average? Maybe. If they win their next two games, though, they will enter the CCS D-I playoffs as the #1 seed and pretty handily so.

For Salinas, last week's result could end up costing them a place or two during the seeding process. The Cowboys' current rating is 30.5 and they defeated Alisal (also located in Salinas, rating -12.4) by the score of 42-17. While this game was not close and was never in doubt, the 25-point margin makes the result significant. In this game, the starting Salinas QB went down with an injury, so the coaches seem to have become a little gun shy about keeping their starters in for longer than was necessary. Their last TD appears to have been scored by a reserve who didn't have even 6 carries for the entire year entering that game.

Now, I'm not suggesting that teams do run up the score late in games purposely to get past that 30-point barrier, but because of the system that the CIF sections are adopting, perhaps holding a 31-point lead may have to be considered. I do think it's very important to get your young players game time experience to help them grow for subsequent years. This is just a potential side-affect that has been introduced.

I just think that when looking at the state rating list, this should be kept in mind. I think there is a perception that the Calpreps system tends to artificially place NorCal teams lower. I think this is one of the factors in that.

One final note is that the references to the 15- and 30-point limits also tend to be fluid. It can be 14 on the low-end or perhaps 28 in the upper. Calpreps adjusts this depending on the results it sees throughout the year.

Clear as day.

Going to be tough to find "18 transfers!" as people have proclaimed on here, even going back school years.

I know it doesn't fit the narrative. If someone has evidence of all these transfers, feel free to post and provide a link.

Come join the PROLIFIC PREP CREW for our future Basketball Camps during Thanksgiving and Xmas Holiday. We made them extremely affordable during these tough times, so that everyone can enjoy some hoops during the holidays!

ThanksGiving Bball Camp:

Nov 21-23rd @ Napa Christian from 10-1pm. The camp is open to all ages and is $150 per camper. We do sibling discounts as well. Please see the flyer above. We also allow single day walk ups ($65 per day)

To sign up visit: https://store.jglove.com/thanksgiving

For more info, contact (707) 849-1212, or via email at ProlificSummerAcademy@gmail.com.

Come join the PROLIFIC PREP CREW for our future Basketball Camps during Thanksgiving and Xmas Holiday. We made them extremely affordable during these tough times, so that everyone can enjoy some hoops during the holidays!

ThanksGiving Bball Camp:

Nov 21-23rd @ Napa Christian from 10-1pm. The camp is open to all ages and is $150 per camper. We do sibling discounts as well. Please see the flyer above. We also allow single day walk ups ($65 per day)

To sign up visit: https://store.jglove.com/thanksgiving

For more info, contact (707) 849-1212, or via email at ProlificSummerAcademy@gmail.com.

Scrimmages all day!

Nov. 12, Modesto Christian hosts short games all day!

PCAL Week 10

What a great week of Football! Big Congrats to Palma for the Huge victory vs Aptos. Also, to their coach, Jeff Carnazzo, on win 200. With the win, the “Game of the Year Version III” is to be played in 2 weeks vs Salinas. Palma can clinch the title outright with a win, if the Cowboys win you would probably be looking at a 3way split. Salinas won on the field but may of loss off of it. QB1 and WR1 were hurt vs Alisal and rumors are they may not be coming back this year. Devastating blow for a team that had a chance to be special. Hollister secured its automatic playoff birth by taking care of Santa Cruz.

In the Mission, Soquel looks to finish undefeated this year in league, and their only loss to Palma, is looking better each week. The big battle this week is between Scott’s Valley and Seaside. The winner will be in the driver’s seat for the third and final playoff spot. If Seaside, wins, it will set up a great Rivalry game with Monterey in 2 weeks for 2nd place. Carmel continues to disappoint but will try to play spoilers vs Monterey this weekend.

In the Cypress, it looks like a 2-horse race between the un-defeated St Francis Sharks and Soledad Aztecs. Neither one of these team have played super difficult schedules, but Soledad’s only loss was 6 points to Soquel. But both teams have potential trap games this weekend, as St Francis travels to Pacific Grove and Soledad heads down south to King City. Nether team can afford to look ahead to their week 11 showdown.

RLS took control of the Santa Lucia division with their victory over Greenfield last week. But they now have a huge road game this Friday night vs Gonzales, before they can make room for their 2nd Football League title. It should be noted the RLS has been playing football for close to 50 years. Gonzales has improved, especially after a switch at QB. Meanwhile Greenfield will look to bounce back Vs Pajaro, and hope for a Gonzales victory to try and claim a part of the title. A shout out to Marina, they fell behind 23-0 to a struggling SLV team, but were inspired at the half and outscored them 38-0 in the second half to win the game.



Last week: 11-1, (Palma “upset” got me) Overall: 98-36



Gabilan:

Fri 10/28 Alisal (Salinas, CA) at Aptos (CA), 7:30pm: Over under for passes in this game sits at about 7, combined. Aptos should easily bounce back. Aptos 48-7

Fri 10/28 Alvarez (Salinas, CA) at Salinas (CA), 7:30pm: This game I believe was moved to Thursday. Despite the short week and the injuries, Salinas will have mor than enough for Alvarez. Salinas 49-12

Fri 10/28 Palma (Salinas, CA) at Santa Cruz (CA), 7:30pm: In most cases this would be a trap game for Palma. Big win last week, bigger game next week. I just don’t see Santa Cruz being good enough to compete with Palma this year. Palma 35-6



Mission:

Fri 10/28 Monte Vista Christian (Watsonville, CA) at Soquel (CA), 7:30pm- Soquel can finish off a unbeaten league campaign with a win. They then sit back and wait for playoffs. Soquel 28-7

Sat 10/29 Monterey (CA) at Carmel (CA), 2:00pm- I just cant see Carmel competing with Monterey this year. They have shown no ability to consistently maintain drives and score. Monterey is just the better team this year. Monterey 28-8

Sat 10/29 Seaside (CA) at Scotts Valley (CA), 2:00pm – This game should be good, Scott’s Valley D vs Seaside’s Offense. I think Scott’s Valley D slows down Seaside, but not enough. Seaside 14-13



Cypress:

Fri 10/28 Soledad (CA) at King City (CA), 7:30pm: It is important for Soledad to remain focus, and not look forward to next weeks big matchup. Unlike Santa Cruz, in the Gabilan, King City has the talent to ruin Soledad’s title aspirations. Soledad 24-23

Fri 10/28 St. Francis (Watsonville, CA) at Pacific Grove (CA), 7:30pm: Just like above St Francis must not overlook PG. CalPreps has this game a 3+ score differential. I think it will be closer, but you know I wont pick PG. St Francis 24-14

Fri 10/28 Watsonville (CA) at Rancho San Juan (Salinas, CA), 7:30pm: Two programs going in opposite directions. Rancho is a new school that is a up and coming football power. Watsonville, opened in 1892, is an old school with a program in decline. Rancho San Juan 28-7



Santa Lucia

Fri 10/28 Stevenson (Pebble Beach, CA) at Gonzales (CA), 7:30pm- This game scares me. RLS football is just not used to these types of games. Tennis, Golf, Lacrosse no problem. But football? Not to mention Gonzales can be an intimidating place to play on a Friday. The Spartans have rebounded after a slow start, so the stadium should be full and loud. That being said, I am going to start measuring for that 2nd league championship banner. RLS 24-21

Fri 10/28 Pajaro Valley (Watsonville, CA) at Greenfield (CA), 7:30pm- Greenfield will be scoreboard watching, and that should be ok vs an overmatched Pajaro team. Greenfield 35-6

Sat 10/29 San Lorenzo Valley (Felton, CA) at Harbor (Santa Cruz, CA), 2:00pm- Proof that Calprep’s ranking and predictions are sometime just wonky. They have SLV favored. Harbor 24-21

The unknown story of Bill Garrett and the integration of College Basketball.
The book is called Getting open.

Garrett was born in Shelbyville Indiana, a time when Black schools weren’t recognized. Garrett was one of the few blacks able to attend Shelbyville high school.
Garrett led his School to the State championship, meeting Terre Haute at Butler Field house. Playing Center at only 6’ 2", He out played 6’ 10” Clyde Lovellette To win the state championship, and become Mr. Basketball, for Indiana .

There was an Gentleman’s Agreement that “Negros“ were not going to be allowed to play in the big 10, including Indiana .
Thru pressure from Civic groups and church’s, it was decided to admit Bill Garrett to Indiana for the year 1947. An interesting sidelight to this was, it was the year Jackie Robinson broke the barrier in Baseball.

Bill went on to become an all American at Indiana. After College he Coached at Crispus Attucks high school, becoming the only person to win a state championship as a player, and then as a Coach. He later becoming an administrator for colleges.
Indiana probably has the top ten largest high School Gymnasiums in the world. After years waiting, Shelbyville named the school gym after Bill Garrett.
I didn’t dwell on what Bill Garrett had to deal with. What he must have endured. When they talk about how Jackie Robinson was the "The Right One" for baseball. Bill Garrett showed great fortitude in dealing with his life. He is not in the Basketball hall of fame. He is though, in Indiana’s hall of fame.

The Authors are Tom Graham and Rachel Graham Cody.
Look for the book at your library. Just a final note, it is very Indiana centric. But If you are a diehard Hoopaholic like I am, you just might enjoy this book.

Here’s wishing you great hoops

Had one team just pull out of our tournament and need one more team for the Mills Girls Varsity Shootout Tournament 11/30-12/2
- 3 games guaranteed
- Each Team will receive Tournament Shirts and a gift basket
- Coaches Hospitality Room

If interested reach out to
Dave Matsu - coachdmatsu@gmail.com
Justin Matsu - coachjmatsu@gmail.com

Maria Carrillo High School is looking for one JV team for our annual Jamboree scrimmage on Saturday, November 5th from 9-1pm. Cost is $100 to help cover the official’s fees. If interested, please contact coach Jeff Paul.

Thank you!
Jeff Paul
Maria Carrillo Women’s Basketball Coach
Phone: (707) 483-4005
E-Mail: mcladypumasbaksetball@gmail.com

Literally just had a team back out any one looking for a holiday tournament! Please email me paul@gsfarms.net!!

Dec. 28-30 in Contra Costa and Alameda counties. 100 teams right now ...

Currently, Serra is slated to represent NorCal Open game vs the SoCal Open rep (super power MD or SJB). Sure, outcomes of CCS Open and SJS D1 section championships could possibly shake up this selection. And sure, confirmation awaits on this decision before teams will be selected for the NorCal regional D1AA championship game.

Candidates for the NorCal D1AA regional championship game will more than likely come from the following sections:

CCS
NCS
SJS
CS

But, which sections? And which teams are the strongest candidates?

Should Folsom (favorite) win SJS D1 and Serra go undefeated (still) and represent as NorCal Open rep (again) having the win vs Folsom, Folsom will more than likely be one of the teams for the D1AA regional championship game. Who will they play? NCS or CS section champion? Could a Clovis West surpass DLS or Pittsburg or another suprising team out of NCS?

Let’s start with the presumption that Serra is the NorCal Open rep. But, feel free to follow with the “what if” Serra loses and the winner of the SJS D1 or Central or NCS section championship is the NorCal Open rep. Two scenarios:

1. Serra is the NorCal Open rep
2. Serra is NOT the NorCal Open rep

GO!

It’s been a hell of a SFL season with an awesome finish this week. Each game has some major implications. Some key points to remember. Whitney is sitting at 3 wins and needs a victory to get into the D2 playoffs. They face off against GB after a surprising performance against DO. GB needs a win to not go winless in league. Rocklin is playing Folsom in a game that has title implications. If folsom wins they will be the outright SFL champ. If Rocklin can pull a miracle and win then the league champ would be determined by how DO finishes. To simplify…
1. Folsom Win= Folsom outright champs
2. Rocklin Win/DO Loss= Rocklin outright champs
3. Rocklin Win/DO Win= 3 way tie for League
Oak Ridge will be looking to get the win against Casey’s Taylor’s old school and help their seeding for the D1 playoffs. Thoughts? Predictions?
Whitney @ Granite Bay
Rocklin @ Folsom (Thursday night)
Del Oro @ Oak Ridge

Serious question.

Folsom has been a extremely successful program for the last 13 years or so but have failed to make it to the Open Championship game. They are consistently a good to great football team each and every year. I am just curious what others think/feel. What does Folsom have to do to, or better yet, what is the formula they will need to follow, in order to finally make it the top spot in Norcal at the end of the year come bowl time.

Thus far only 3 Norcal teams have participated in the open game. Serra, DLS, and Grant. I understand ultimately you have to win and beat the teams on your schedule. But what is preventing them from winning some of these key games when it counts. Is it coaching, do they panic on the big stage, start out slow, injuries, luck, physicality, scheduling, lack of an Open play in game, lose to a superior team, etc. I am curious what others feel.

Personally i'd like to see the Open play in game come back. And honestly, after 13 years i'd like to see them play the top team from Socal someday. Any thoughts?

Coaches,

Cen Cal Chaos Basketball Club will be hosting the 5th Annual Fall Chaos Classic at Clovis West HS in Fresno on October 15-16. We have divisions for 4th Grade through Varsity. 3 game guarantee. Only $150 per team.

Teams/programs already committed:
Cal Stars
Cen Cal Chaos
Stockton Mavericks
Wolf Pack (Nor Cal)
Move As One
Fever
Royal Storm
ICE
Wolf Pack (Cen Cal)
Lady Bears
ABA
Lady Sparks
Elite Guard
and more!

Email me at craigcampbell@cusd.com for more info or to sign up. Thanks!

This should be one of the best Friday nights we have had this regular season. Let's Go!

The lower divisions don't get much attention, but this is a good group of teams.

Here are the games for this week. Picks are due by 7:00 PM on Friday. The game of the week is Manteca-Central Catholic

Central Catholic at Manteca
Placer at West Park
Jesuit at Elk Grove
Oak Ridge at Rocklin
Rancho Cotate at Cardinal Newman
Wilcox at Los Gatos
Palma vs. Aptos
Greenfield at Stevenson
Sacred Heart Cathedral vs. Bellarmine
West Valley at University Prep

Coaches,

Anyone looking for a scrimmage, we had a team back out (seems to be happening more and more these days). Scrimmage is November 5th at Clovis West in Fresno. You will get multiple mini-scrimmages against different teams in addition to an "all subs" scrimmage to get your bench some reps. We don't start until 1:00 so teams travelling can make it a down and back trip as we are only 3 hours from both the Bay Area and Sacramento. If interested, please email me at craigcampbell@cusd.com

Thanks!

2023 Archbishop Mitty's forward Layla Woods has committed to Chapman University. Layla received several offers after having an outstanding summer with the SJ Cagers. Congrats Layla!

SHC 30
Bells 17.

It's Sacred Heart’s first home win in the series which dates back to a 1921 game when Bellarmine was "Santa Clara Prep".