NorCal Game of the Week: Valley Christian Warriors vs Serra Padres
Fri 10/27 Mitty vs St. Ignatius at Foothill College 7:00pm
Fri 10/27 Sacred Heart Cathedral vs Bellarmine at Kezar Stadium 7:00pm
Sat 10/28 Valley Christian at Serra 1:00pm
Sat 10/28 St. Francis vs Riordan at Terra Nova 7:00pm
The Over/Under:
Mitty by 14 over S.I.
SHC by 1 over Bells
SF by 39 over Riordan
Serra by 4 over VC
Who I like in this weeks games:
Mitty vs S.I. will be interesting with Monarch's a 2-TD favorite. Mitty is a team I'm just not sure of yet & a bit of a head scratcher. Mitty's biggest win was by 1-play over an offensively challenged Bells team in O/T. Bells barely got by Riordan while Mitty crushed Riordan. S.I. is the "hard-luck" team this season and lost several close games incl to Riordan in O/T last week. S.I plays well as a team and Mitty has superior athletes at the skill positions which simply translates to more points. S.I.'s Katz is the X-factor if he can have a big game. Odds favor Mittty and minus -14.
SHC vs Bells is a game with big implications for both teams in regards to a post season selection from the WCAL.
This is the big chance the Irish have been waiting for having already taken down S.I., looking for a win vs the Bells and then Riordan and Mitty, both games in which the Irish have a chance of winning. It's difficult to pick against the Bells against any of the SF teams in recent years, however if there was a season to go with an SF team then its the Irish this week. SHC has the #2 QB in the league in Will Irons and a capable RB in Anthony Heard while the Bells are still looking for their offense to materialize. If the Irish can come out motivated for any game then this is it. The Irish need to open their "bag of tricks" so to speak and throw everything they have at the Bells when on offense. On defense the Irish have to favor the Bells running on most plays and go soft against the run. Coach Janda of Bells does not like to pass under most circumstances and the Bells do not have a strong passing QB as well.
Will go with the passing game of the Irish and a minus -1.
SF vs Riordan is a projected blow-out unfortunately and not something any of the fans wants to see. SF lost by 1-score to VC in a tight game and is looking towards their game with Serra coming up. Riordan coming off a huge win over S.I. in which the Crusader's hung in there and capitalized with their defense in O/T and then a good coaching call on offense throwing the "jump-ball" pass into the endzone against an over-matched S.I. DB [great call!].
Riordan simply staying close to SF would be a "moral victory" looking ahead to SHC [yes I hate the term "moral victory", but as a fan prefer a competitive game over a blow-out with running clock - hate the running clock].
The line is a whopping 39-points or 6 scores. The Crusader's will be facing one of the best D's in the league and must play for field position at all times in this game [listening coaches?]. The simple goal is to grind out some first downs and if field position permits use all 4 downs to get the first - there is nothing to lose in doing so when you're a 6-score "dog" in this game. I'd like to see the Crusader's beat the odds set by computers and hold the line at 3-4 scores or even ? I'll go with Crusaders +39
VC vs Serra is the game most fans will be watching and is on BAOSN.TV Saturday. With VC we will see the league's most dominant run game with a big physical O-line and a crew of capable running backs [yes "crew" as VC uses up to 6 RB's with Charlie Bostic being the league's leading rusher averaging almost 13-yards per carry. VC rarely passes but when they do their athletic WR Alton Julian is their big strike weapon. QB Juan Turner is accurate when he does pass and very efficient in directing the VC run game. WHat Turner is not is a running QB and VC does not utilize their QB with designed run plays. The VC D is very good and right up there with SF. They will be tough against the run, but have not yet played a passing team such as Serra.
Serra has not had any close games in league and that could be good or could not be good. Serra has the #1 QB in Bottari, and the #2 RB in Isaiah Kendrick [though he bruised a thigh against SHC last week]. Serra also has the league's leading WR in Patrick Nunn and several other good WR's although Serra's top WR Shane Villeroman has been dinged up lately. The biggest question mark for me will be the Serra D. Early in the year the Padre D-line was a bit soft on the run and since adjustments have been made. VC is going to run, run again & run some more and thats what everyone is expecting. If Serra has success on offense and can even slow down the potent VC run game then the game favors Serra in outscoring Valley Christian. I'll go with Serra since I picked them pre-season as my #1 team to win league this season. Serra minus -4 over VC.